cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keith Adams Jr. /Clemson

Keith Adams Jr.

RB · Clemson · Jr · #19

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

71 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 14 CARRIES

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Clemson → Georgia State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Georgia State

2025Clemson
2026Georgia State

RB · CLEMSON · ACC

Keith Adams Jr.

  • 3
  • #19
  • 5-9 | 215 lb
  • St. George, UT

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 58th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#638

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2025
21.02022
60.02023
1222024
71.02025

+238%

Up 238% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1461 national
CFB
College
Clemson
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey19
Measurements5-9 | 215 lb
HometownSt. George, UT
Primary teamClemson

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1461 recruit
Composite rating 0.8419 HighSchool
Signed with Clemson 2022
Origin Pine View St. George, UT, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8419 No. 1461 recruit | HighSchool | Clemson

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Georgia State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 18, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Clemson -> Georgia State 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#638Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#573Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Clemson

Composite

0.8419

#1461 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keith Adams Jr.

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Former Clemson running back Keith Adams Jr. lands at Georgia State &nbsp;&nbsp; "Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keith Adams Jr.

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
71Rush yards
14Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
17.8Rush yards
4Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
230.8Rush yards
46Carries
3Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 71): needs 75.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 71): needs 103.2/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 71): needs 158.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keith Adams Jr.'s story is about how role and output meet each other. For Clemson, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #638 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.9% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 71 71 rush | -- rec | #476/735 (35th pct)
Rush TD 1 14 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 5.1 Per-rush efficiency | #257/735 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
14 33rd
YDS
71 35th
YPC
5.1 65th
TD
1 56th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 10-17vs LSU1-2-2.000
Wk 6W 38-10@ North Carolina3206.709
Wk 7W 41-10@ Boston College7497.0112Season-high 49 yds
Wk 13W 45-10vs Furman341.305
Total14713.2112
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Clemson11-3HC: Dabo Swinney · Run-leaning
2023Clemson9-4HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced, fast tempo
2024Clemson10-4HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Clemson7-6HC: Dabo Swinney · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Clemson14715.11--
2024Clemson301224.11--
2023Clemson11605.50--
2022Clemson3217.00--
Career4 loaded seasons582744.72--
SeasonTeam
2025Clemson----------
2024Clemson144.00--
2023Clemson----------
2022Clemson----------
Career4 loaded seasons144.00--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 4.9% 11.0% rush share | #546/738 (26th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 71 #476/735 35th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.1 #257/735 65th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 4.9% #546/738 26th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 14 #495/739 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 12 #531/733 28th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 11.0% #453/738 39th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.3% #458/738 38th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 5.2% #556/738 25th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 5.0% #553/738 25th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 4.0% #520/738 30th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 2.0% #597/738 19th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home2g1.0-0.30.0
Road2g34.56.80.5

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins3g24.35.00.3
Losses1g-2.0-2.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-73g22.33.90.3
Weeks 8+1g4.01.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

17Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#139 / 349 · 58th pct
5.1rush
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Long run#347 / 349 · 1st pct
12rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
71rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
14rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Keith Adams Jr.ClemsonRashod DubinionApp State· 41% simKamari MoultonIowa· 40% simTae MeadowsTroy· 37% sim
Yards / carry
58
Jr.
53
Dubinion
62
Moulton
29
Meadows
Rush TDs
13
Jr.
50
Dubinion
62
Moulton
72
Meadows
Long run
1
Jr.
39
Dubinion
33
Moulton
53
Meadows
Rush yards
0
Jr.
84
Dubinion
84
Moulton
74
Meadows
Carries
0
Jr.
87
Dubinion
86
Moulton
84
Meadows

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dabo Swinney

Pass share

53.8%

474 pass / 407 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2023
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2024
Dabo Swinney
Clemson
2025
Dabo Swinney
Clemson

Played his entire career under Dabo Swinney.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownSt. George, UT
Height5'9"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Clemson RB3 #638 #573 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Clemson RB3 #1315 #1115 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Clemson RB3 #975 #646 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Clemson ACC RB 3 No. 19 | 5-9 | 215 lb | St. George, UT
2024 Clemson ACC RB 3 No. 19 | 5-9 | 215 lb | St. George, UT
2023 Clemson ACC RB 3 No. 19 | 5-9 | 215 lb | St. George, UT
2022 Clemson ACC RB 3 No. 19 | 5-9 | 215 lb | St. George, UT