cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Keanu Mailoto /Boise State

Keanu Mailoto

DL · Boise State · Sr · #94

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

4 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Boise State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Boise State

Returning around him

  • 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62

DL · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Keanu Mailoto

  • 4
  • #94
  • 6-5 | 280 lb
  • Auburn, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

18

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 48th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#12006

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#120 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey94
Measurements6-5 | 280 lb
HometownAuburn, WA
Primary teamBoise State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 120 recruit
Composite rating 0.8356 JUCO
Signed with Arizona 2023
Origin Mt. San Antonio College Auburn, WA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8356 No. 120 recruit | JUCO | Arizona

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Boise State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 26, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Arizona -> Boise State 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#12006Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#12061Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Arizona

Composite

0.8356

#120 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Keanu Mailoto

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Keanu Mailoto

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 3g
4Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
17Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 4): needs 7.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 4): needs 9.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.6/game over remaining 10.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1/game over remaining 10.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Keanu Mailoto is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Boise State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #12006 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 4 0 solo | #3693/4942 (25th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
4 25th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 3 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 4W 49-37@ Air Force200.00.01Season-high 2 tackles
Wk 12L 7-17@ San Diego State100.00.00
Wk 14W 25-24@ Utah State100.00.00
Total400.00.01
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Arizona10-3HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2024Arizona4-8HC: Brent Brennan · Pass-leaning
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Boise State4--0.00.01----
2024Arizona621.00.0------
2023Arizona1--0.00.0------
Career3 loaded seasons1121.00.01----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 4 #3693/4942 25th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 3 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Road3g1.30.00.00.3

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g1.50.00.00.5
Losses1g1.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-71g2.00.00.01.0
Weeks 8+2g1.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

18Below cohort
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles (0th).

Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe
Solo tackles#2975 / 2975 · 0th pct
0defe
Tackles#2976 / 2975 · 0th pct
4defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Keanu MailotoBoise StateTyler MartinMassachusetts· 41% simBlake FletcherAir Force· 37% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 37% sim
Passes defended
48
Mailoto
67
Martin
67
Fletcher
91
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Mailoto
24
Martin
24
Fletcher
24
Ra-El
QB hurries
22
Mailoto
22
Martin
92
Fletcher
22
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
7
Mailoto
63
Martin
28
Fletcher
56
Ra-El
Solo tackles
0
Mailoto
87
Martin
91
Fletcher
100
Ra-El
Tackles
0
Mailoto
98
Martin
99
Fletcher
99
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Spencer Danielson

Pass share

46.6%

472 pass / 540 run

Plays / game

72.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.4%

358 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
2024
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State

Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAuburn, WA
Height6'5"
Weight280 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey94

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arizona DL4 #12006 #12061 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Arizona DL4 #9283 #8759 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Boise State Mountain West DL 4 No. 94 | 6-5 | 280 lb | Auburn, WA
2024 Arizona Big 12 DL 4 No. 94 | 6-5 | 280 lb | Auburn, WA
2023 Arizona Pac-12 DL 4 No. 94 | 6-5 | 280 lb | Auburn, WA