cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kameron Courtney /Virginia

Kameron Courtney

WR · Virginia · So · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

234 REC YDS · 25 REC · 0 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from Virginia)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025Virginia
DestinationTBD

WR · VIRGINIA · ACC

Kameron Courtney

  • 2
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 193 lb
  • Manassas, VA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

31

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 85th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1337

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2024–2025
1142024
2342025

+105%

Up 105% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1240 national
CFB
College
Virginia
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class2
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 193 lb
HometownManassas, VA
Primary teamVirginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1240 recruit
Composite rating 0.8592 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2024
Origin Freedom Woodbridge, VA, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8592 No. 1240 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Withdrawn Jan 16, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Virginia -> -- 3-star | Withdrawn

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1337Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1570Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8592

#1240 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kameron Courtney

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kameron Courtney

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Yards per reception

9.4

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #449 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 16th

Why it matters

#449 of 531 All FBS WRs at 9.4 yards per reception (25 catches).

Vs cohort

This player 9.4 (16th)

MODERATE · n=25 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving yards (total)#464 / 531
  • Receiving TDs#476 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 3 vs William & Mary — 67 ypr

Result W 55-16

The week the volume broke through — put up 67 yds vs William & Mary.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
234Rec yards
25Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
18Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Final
234Rec yards
25Receptions
0Rec TDs

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Kameron Courtney is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #1337 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 4.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load 57 return yds

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 25 0 rec TD | #347/1110 (69th pct)
Receiving yards 234 9.4 per catch | #426/1107 (62nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 272 Total offensive yardage | #426/1107 (62nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
25 69th
YDS
234 62nd
YPR
9.4 28th
TD
0 45th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
38 80th
YPC
9.5 85th
TD
1 96th

Returns

KR YDS
38 42nd
KR AVG
38.0 99th
PR YDS
19 33rd
PR AVG
6.3 38th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 48-7vs Coastal Carolina
Wk 2L 31-35@ NC State3279.0014
Wk 3W 55-16vs William & Mary46716.8030Season-high 67 yds
Wk 4W 48-20vs Stanford
Wk 5W 46-38vs Florida State11010.0010
Wk 8W 22-20vs Washington State3113.705
Wk 9W 17-16@ North Carolina122.002
Wk 10W 31-21@ California11212.0012
Wk 11L 9-16vs Wake Forest23618.0034
Wk 12W 34-17@ Duke2115.509
Wk 14W 27-7vs Virginia Tech6508.3031
Wk 15L 20-27vs Duke155.005
BowlW 13-7@ Missouri133.003
Total252348.5034
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Virginia5-7HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
2025Virginia11-3HC: Tony Elliott · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia252349.40--
2024Virginia121149.50--
Career2 loaded seasons373489.40--
SeasonTeam
2025Virginia4383819--
2024Virginia2-6------
Career2 loaded seasons6323819--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 4.3% 8.2% pass-game share | #591/1137 (48th pct)
Return yards 57 0 return TD | #140/238 (42nd pct)
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 25 #347/1110 69th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 234 #426/1107 62nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 9.4 #799/1106 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 38 #140/238 42nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 19 #152/224 33rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.2% #591/1137 48th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 38 #80/397 80th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 23 #53/346 85th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 9.5 #59/393 85th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 34 #548/1105 50th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 38.0 #3/236 99th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 6.3 #138/222 38th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 3 #141/237 41st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.4% #375/1137 67th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 5.0% #707/1137 38th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 4.9% #648/1137 43rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 4.3% #566/1137 50th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.0% #522/1137 54th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.0% #805/1137 29th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.9% #211/1137 82nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g2.122.410.30.0
Road5g1.611.06.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g1.916.67.70.0
Losses3g2.022.710.70.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.517.89.70.0
Weeks 8+7g2.318.17.80.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

31Below cohort
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rush tds (85th). Strength: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: rec tds (6th).

Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Rush yards#72 / 287 · 75th pct
38rush
Receptions#347 / 558 · 37th pct
25rece
Rec yards#425 / 558 · 24th pct
234rece
Long catch#447 / 558 · 19th pct
34rece
Yards / catch#488 / 558 · 12th pct
9.4rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Kameron CourtneyVirginiaAaron TurnerRice· 64% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 64% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 60% sim
Rush TDs
85
Courtney
99
Turner
39
Gibson
39
Jr.
Fumbles lost
81
Courtney
81
Turner
Rush yards
75
Courtney
98
Turner
76
Gibson
89
Jr.
Receptions
37
Courtney
92
Turner
92
Gibson
94
Jr.
Rec yards
24
Courtney
48
Turner
74
Gibson
84
Jr.
Long catch
19
Courtney
65
Turner
56
Gibson
56
Jr.
Yards / catch
12
Courtney
1
Turner
15
Gibson
28
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Courtney
68
Turner
7
Gibson
24
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Ben Ratzlaff’s 2021 season.

Ben Ratzlaff

90%match

Western Kentucky · 2021

#2

Errol Rogers Jr.

Louisiana · 2021

87%
#3

Keyon Lesane

NC State · 2023

84%
#4

Kameron Courtney

Virginia · 2024

83%
#5

Cade Sutherland

South Alabama · 2020

77%

Matches Ben on

EPA / play (adj)
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Owen Glascoe’s path through Long Island University.

Owen Glascoe

99%match

Long Island University · 2023

#2

Nazeviah Burris

Florida International · 2024

99%
#3

Landon Wolf

Oklahoma State · 2020

97%
#4

Caleb Burke

New Hampshire · 2025

97%
#5

Latrell Williams

South Florida · 2021

96%

Matches Owen on

Yards per reception

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ben Ratzlaff's sophomore season at Western Kentucky (2021).

Ben Ratzlaff

86%match

Western Kentucky · 2021

#2

Errol Rogers Jr.

Louisiana · 2021

82%
#3

Diore Hubbard

West Virginia · 2025

81%
#4

Jacob Emmers

Tulsa · 2025

80%
#5

Kirby Vorhees

Washington State · 2025

78%

Matches Ben on

TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception

Differs from Ben on

Reception volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Tony Elliott

Pass share

48.0%

492 pass / 534 run

Plays / game

73.3

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Tony Elliott
Virginia
2025
Tony Elliott
Virginia

Played his entire career under Tony Elliott.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownManassas, VA
Height5'11"
Weight193 lb
Class2
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Virginia WR2 #1337 #1570 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Virginia ACC WR 2 No. 5 | 5-11 | 193 lb | Manassas, VA
2024 Virginia ACC WR 2 No. 5 | 5-11 | 193 lb | Manassas, VA