cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Kamari Moulton /Iowa

Kamari Moulton

RB · Iowa · So · #28

Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22

Kamari Moulton is a cornerstone for Iowa — measured against the line he joined.

878RUSH YDS5RUSH TD170CARRIES

RUSHING VALUE · WEPA

+0.12

via your WEPA model · 2025 · 168 plays

Read the story so far

Kamari Moulton arrived as a 3-star prospect. He lines up at RB for Iowa.

On the field, the headline is 878 rush yds, with 5 rush td.

He inherited the RB job from Kaleb Johnson (3-star).

The number to watch: +0.12 — rushing value · wepa.

RB successioncontinuity
  • Inherited fromKaleb Johnson 3★
Why nowThe 2026 outlook is the live story — the offseason looks forward.
  • season totals
  • via your WEPA model · 2025 · 168 plays
  • throne-line + Filling-the-Shoes

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Iowa for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Running back · Iowa

Returning around him

  • 49% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 7 Iowa players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (15 in / 8 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Iowa · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #42 · 2026 recruiting class #38

RB · IOWA · BIG TEN

Kamari Moulton

  • 2
  • #28
  • 5-9 | 205 lb
  • Fort Lauderdale, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 84th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#266

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2023–2025
93.02023
4732024
8782025

+844%

Up 844% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1447 national
CFB
College
Iowa
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class2
Jersey28
Measurements5-9 | 205 lb
HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Primary teamIowa

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1447 recruit
Composite rating 0.8489 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa 2023
Origin Cardinal Gibbons Fort Lauderdale, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8489 No. 1447 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#266Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#327Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (878).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa

Composite

0.8489

#1447 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Kamari Moulton

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Counting Down Iowa Football's Most Indispensable Players: No.18 Kamari Moulton &"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Kamari Moulton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Rushing WEPA per carry

+0.120

EPA

P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries

National rank #39 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 42nd

Why it matters

#39 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.120 EPA/carry on 168 carries.

Vs cohort

This player +0.120 (42th)

HIGH · n=168 cohort 66

  • Also strong
  • Yards per carry#27 / 69
  • Rushing yards (total)#22 / 69

Signature Moment

Week 7 at Wisconsin — 96 ypc

Result W 37-0

The week the volume broke through — put up 96 yds at Wisconsin.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 11g
878Rush yards
170Carries
5Rush TDs
Per game
79.8Rush yards
15Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
1,038Rush yards
201Carries
6Rush TDs

✓ Hit 750-yard season · finished with 878.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 878): needs 61/game over remaining 2.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 878): needs 311/game over remaining 2.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 5/game over remaining 2.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 5): needs 7.5/game over remaining 2.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Kamari Moulton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Iowa, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #266 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 28.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 975 878 rush | 97 rec | #56/735 (93rd pct)
Rush TD 5 170 carries | #115/739 (85th pct)
Yards/carry 5.2 Per-rush efficiency | #240/735 (67th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
170 94th
YDS
878 93rd
YPC
5.2 67th
TD
5 85th

Receiving

REC
16 77th
YDS
97 68th
YPR
6.1 40th
TD
0 70th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 11 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-7vs UAlbany3227.3010
Wk 4W 38-28@ Rutgers14684.9111
Wk 5L 15-20vs Indiana18754.2022
Wk 7W 37-0@ Wisconsin15966.4114
Wk 8W 25-24vs Penn State17995.8021Season-high 99 yds
Wk 9W 41-3vs Minnesota15755.0021
Wk 11L 16-18vs Oregon23873.8016
Wk 12L 21-26@ USC15906.0016
Wk 13W 20-17vs Michigan State18784.3016
Wk 14W 40-16@ Nebraska18935.2234
BowlW 34-27@ Vanderbilt14956.8132
Total1708785.4534
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Iowa10-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2024Iowa8-5HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy
2025Iowa9-4HC: Kirk Ferentz · Run-heavy, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa1708785.25--
2024Iowa844735.63--
2023Iowa27933.42--
Career3 loaded seasons2811,4445.110--
SeasonTeam
2025Iowa16976.10--
2024Iowa11212.00--
2023Iowa----------
Career3 loaded seasons171096.40--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 16 97 rec yds | #127/552 (77th pct)
Usage 28.8% 40.6% rush share | #16/738 (98th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.12 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #173/362 (52nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 878 #56/735 93rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 5 #115/739 85th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.2 #240/735 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 16 #127/552 77th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 97 #175/548 68th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.12 #173/362 52nd pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 168 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 28.8% #16/738 98th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 170 #48/739 94th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 34 #276/733 62nd pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 16 #277/540 49th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.1 #332/548 40th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #169/552 70th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 40.6% #60/738 92nd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 35.2% #13/738 98th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 34.0% #7/738 99th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 32.5% #20/738 97th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 18.7% #24/738 97th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 10.5% #23/738 97th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.1% #232/738 69th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 11 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home6g72.75.10.0
Road5g88.45.91.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins8g78.25.70.6
Losses3g84.04.70.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-75g71.25.90.6
Weeks 8+6g87.05.00.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

64Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: carries (86th). Strength: rush yards (84th).

Carries#48 / 349 · 86th pct
170rush
Rush yards#56 / 349 · 84th pct
878rush
Receptions#119 / 338 · 63rd pct
16rece
Yards / carry#127 / 349 · 62nd pct
5.2rush
Rush TDs#115 / 349 · 62nd pct
5rush
Rec yards#159 / 338 · 53rd pct
97rece
Long run#234 / 349 · 33rd pct
34rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.12Low (p25–p50) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Kamari MoultonIowaJeremiah CobbAuburn· 89% simRashod DubinionApp State· 86% simSire GainesBoise State· 86% sim
Carries
86
Moulton
88
Cobb
87
Dubinion
84
Gaines
Rush yards
84
Moulton
88
Cobb
84
Dubinion
82
Gaines
Receptions
63
Moulton
45
Cobb
86
Dubinion
45
Gaines
Yards / carry
62
Moulton
71
Cobb
53
Dubinion
53
Gaines
Rush TDs
62
Moulton
62
Cobb
50
Dubinion
84
Gaines
Rec yards
53
Moulton
47
Cobb
77
Dubinion
41
Gaines
Long run
33
Moulton
51
Cobb
39
Dubinion
51
Gaines

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Back

Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Emani Bailey’s 2023 season.

Emani Bailey

81%match

TCU · 2023

#2

Brian Smith

Louisiana · 2021

77%
#3

Charvis Thornton

Louisiana Tech · 2022

76%
#4

Jevon Jackson

UAB · 2025

74%
#5

Daelen Alexander

Rice · 2025

72%

Matches Emani on

Rush TD rate
Yards / reception
Receiving share

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to CJ Marable’s path through Coastal Carolina.

CJ Marable

99%match

Coastal Carolina · 2020

#2

Corey Taylor II

Tulsa · 2020

98%
#3

Julius Loughridge

Fordham · 2024

98%
#4

Cooper Wallace

The Citadel · 2024

95%
#5

Davon Booth

Mississippi State · 2025

91%

Matches CJ on

Yards per carry

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to PJ Martin's junior season at South Alabama (2025).

PJ Martin

78%match

South Alabama · 2025

#2

Chase Brown

Illinois · 2022

74%
#3

Ja'shon Benjamin

Rutgers · 2025

74%
#4

Ashton Stredick

California · 2023

72%
#5

Zylan Perry

Louisiana · 2024

72%

Matches PJ on

Weight
Recruiting rating
Total rush EPA (college ability)

Differs from PJ on

Yards / reception (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kirk Ferentz

Pass share

36.6%

286 pass / 495 run

Plays / game

60.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.9%

228 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2024
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa
2025
Kirk Ferentz
Iowa

Played his entire career under Kirk Ferentz.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Height5'9"
Weight205 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Iowa RB2 #266 #327 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Iowa RB2 #1201 #1075 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Iowa Big Ten RB 2 No. 28 | 5-9 | 205 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL
2024 Iowa Big Ten RB 2 No. 28 | 5-9 | 205 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL
2023 Iowa Big Ten RB 2 No. 28 | 5-9 | 205 lb | Fort Lauderdale, FL