CFB Zeitgeist Score
48
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by completion % at the 50th percentile.
Kaidon Salter
Filling the Shoesas of 2026-06-22
Kaidon Salter arrives at Colorado with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.
1,414PASS YDS10PASS TD357RUSH YDS
PRODUCES ABOVE PERCEPTION · PCTL GAP
+28
perception vs production percentile · 2025
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Colorado for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Colorado · editorial
Returning around him
- 7% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: +4 net (42 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
- Davey O'Brien
Colorado · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #30 · 2026 recruiting class #37
QB · COLORADO · BIG 12
Kaidon Salter
- 4
- #3
- 6-1 | 190 lb
- Cedar Hill, TX
Heisman Heat
#85
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 4 · EliteR12 · All-American
All-American. Named to an NCAA-recognized All-America team.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Liberty · QB
—
2022
Liberty · QB
—
★
2023
Liberty · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
Liberty · QB
—
2025
Colorado · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+3526%
Up 3526% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 4-star | 0.9375 | No. 143 recruit | HighSchool | Tennessee |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Liberty -> Colorado | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
| 2024 | Liberty -> -- | 4-star | 0.9200 | Withdrawn |
| 2021 | Tennessee -> Liberty | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (357).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Tennessee
Composite
0.9375
#143 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Kaidon Salter
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
- Rivals · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Kaidon Salter
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)
+0.369
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches
National rank #24 of 57
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 280 touches 59th
Why it matters
#24 of 57 P4 + Notre Dame QBs in combined passing + rushing weighted-EPA per play — +0.369 EPA on 316 touches.
Vs cohort
This player +0.369 (59th)
MODERATE · n=316 cohort 57
- Also strong
- QB rushing weighted-EPA#20 / 46
- Completion %#46 / 72
- Yards per attempt#53 / 72
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 9g
1,414Pass yards
10Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
157.1Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,042Pass yards
14Pass TDs
10INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 1,414): needs 396.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 1,414): needs 646.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 3.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 10): needs 6.2/game over remaining 4.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Kaidon Salter's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Colorado, he has 1,414 passing yards and 10 touchdown passes, but he also adds 357 rushing yards and 5 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
127 69th
ATT
204 71st
CMP%
62.3% 55th
Y/A
6.9 52nd
Passing Production
YDS
1,414 69th
TD
10 74th
INT
7 23rd
Rushing
CAR
104 88th
YDS
357 87th
YPC
3.4 58th
TD
5 86th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 20-27vs Georgia Tech | 17/28 | 159 | 1 | 0 | 5.7 | 57.6 | |
| Wk 2 | W 31-7vs Delaware | 13/16 | 102 | 0 | 0 | 6.4 | 72.2 | |
| Wk 4 | W 37-20vs Wyoming | 18/28 | 304 | 3 | 0 | 10.9 | 93.8 | Season-high 304 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 21-24vs BYU | 11/16 | 119 | 1 | 1 | 7.4 | 65.0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-35@ TCU | 18/29 | 217 | 2 | 3 | 7.5 | 63.4 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Wk 7 | W 24-17vs Iowa State | 16/25 | 255 | 2 | 0 | 10.2 | 88.1 | Clean 2-TD game |
| Wk 9 | L 7-53@ Utah | 9/22 | 37 | 0 | 1 | 1.7 | 10.7 | |
| Wk 10 | L 17-52vs Arizona | 11/15 | 49 | 1 | 1 | 3.3 | 49.1 | |
| Wk 14 | L 14-24@ Kansas State | 14/25 | 172 | 0 | 1 | 6.9 | 77.1 | |
| Total | 127/204 | 1414 | 10 | 7 | 6.7 | 64.1 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Liberty7-5HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
2022Liberty8-5HC: Hugh Freeze · Run-leaning
2023Liberty13-1HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2024Liberty8-4HC: Jamey Chadwell · Run-heavy
2025Colorado3-9HC: Deion Sanders · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 1,414 | #120/382 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 10 | #105/407 | 74th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 127 | #120/383 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 62.3% | #174/383 | 55th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 6.9 | #186/382 | 52nd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 357 | #53/408 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.38 | #31/200 | 85th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 229 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 51.6% | #65/428 | 85th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 204 | #121/407 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 7 | #316/407 | 23rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 104 | #48/408 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 35 | #90/391 | 77th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 5 | #59/408 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.4 | #171/407 | 58th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 83.6% | #103/428 | 76th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 65.8% | #64/428 | 85th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 64.8% | #80/428 | 82nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 55.7% | #42/428 | 90th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 44.6% | #78/428 | 82nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 41.7% | #98/428 | 77th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 26.3% | #27/428 | 94th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.34 | #28/140 | 81st pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 87 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #69/258 | 74th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 165 | 1.3 | 7.3 | 0.3 |
| Road3g | 142 | 0.7 | 5.4 | 1.7 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 220 | 1.7 | 9.2 | 0.0 |
| Losses6g | 126 | 0.8 | 5.4 | 1.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 193 | 1.5 | 8.0 | 0.7 |
| Weeks 8+3g | 86.0 | 0.3 | 4.0 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
48Mid-pack
Production sits in the middle of the position cohort across the board.
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds58%of completions
53 comp6.2 yds avg3 TD
Middle
10–19 yds27%of completions
25 comp13.3 yds avg1 TD
Deep
20+ yds14%of completions
13 comp38.0 yds avg5 TD
Overall 64.1% completion on 142 attempts · 13 deep completions averaging 38.0 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.38Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.34Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Kaidon SalterColoradoAvery JohnsonKansas State· 83% simJohn MateerOklahoma· 79% simJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 78% sim
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Fumbles lost
Completion %
Interceptions
Yards / att
Pass TDs
Pass yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Scrambler
Makes plays with feet when the pocket collapses. Efficiency still on the rise.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Luke Altmyer’s 2023 season.
Luke Altmyer
68%match
#2
Kaidon Salter
67%
#3
Zevi Eckhaus
66%
#4
Austin Kendall
66%
#5
Malik Cunningham
65%
Matches Luke on
Completion %
Height
Differs from Luke on
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
Weight (lower)
Rush usage (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Sam Ehlinger’s path through Texas.
Sam Ehlinger
90%match
All-Big 12NFL Rd 6
#2
Malik Willis
88%
#3
Dequan Finn
All-MAC
86%
#4
Carlos Davis
86%
#5
Logan Bonner
84%
Matches Sam on
Yards per attempt
Recruiting rating
Completion %
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Zevi Eckhaus's graduate season at Washington State (2025).
Zevi Eckhaus
60%match
#2
Parker Navarro
All-MAC
59%
#3
Ta'Quan Roberson
53%
#4
Blake Shapen
50%
#5
Hajj-Malik Williams
All-Mountain West
41%
Matches Zevi on
INT rate
Height
Differs from Zevi on
Weight (lower)
EPA / dropback (adj) (higher)
Rush usage (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Deion Sanders
Pass share
45.6%
356 pass / 424 run
Plays / game
65.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
12.5%
320 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
3 coaches2021
Karl Dorrell
Colorado
2022era →
Mike Sanford Jr.
Colorado
2023era →
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2024
Deion Sanders
Colorado
2025
Deion Sanders
Colorado
Played under 3 different head coaches: Karl Dorrell, Mike Sanford Jr., and Deion Sanders. Multi-era developmental context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownCedar Hill, TX
Height6'1"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-Conference USA
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-Conference USA | all_conference | Liberty | Conference USA | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Liberty | QB4 | #85 | #95 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2023 | Liberty | QB4 | #8 | #10 | 4.7% | 23.5% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Conference USA |
| 2022 | Liberty | QB4 | #198 | #243 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
| 2021 | Liberty | QB4 | #497 | #377 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | FBS Independents |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Cedar Hill, TX |
| 2024 | Liberty | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Cedar Hill, TX |
| 2023 | Liberty | Conference USA | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Cedar Hill, TX |
| 2022 | Liberty | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Cedar Hill, TX |
| 2021 | Liberty | FBS Independents | QB | 4 | No. 3 | 6-1 | 190 lb | Cedar Hill, TX |