cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Justyn Reid /Tulane

Justyn Reid

TE · Tulane · Jr · #88

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

200 REC YDS · 17 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Tulane for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Tulane

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -7 net (20 in / 27 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Tulane · Last season: 11-3 (AP #17) · Talent rank #68 · 2026 recruiting class #74

TE · TULANE · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Justyn Reid

  • 3
  • #88
  • 6-5 | 255 lb
  • Newnan, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

49

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 66th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#5336

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
13.02023
2002025

+1438%

Up 1438% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1820 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey88
Measurements6-5 | 255 lb
HometownNewnan, GA
Primary teamTulane

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1820 recruit
Composite rating 0.8336 HighSchool
Signed with Southern Miss 2023
Origin Newnan Newnan, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8336 No. 1820 recruit | HighSchool | Southern Miss

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#5336Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#6030Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Southern Miss

Composite

0.8336

#1820 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Justyn Reid

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Justyn Reid

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
200Rec yards
17Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
16.7Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
216.7Rec yards
18Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 200): needs 500/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 200): needs 800/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 17): needs 43/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 17): needs 63/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Justyn Reid's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Tulane, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #5336 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.2% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 17 3 rec TD | #129/475 (73rd pct)
Receiving yards 200 11.8 per catch | #112/475 (77th pct)
Scrimmage yards 200 Total offensive yardage | #112/475 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
17 73rd
YDS
200 77th
YPR
11.8 71st
TD
3 91st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 23-3vs Northwestern34715.7133Season-high 47 yds
Wk 2W 33-31@ South Alabama155.005
Wk 4L 10-45@ Ole Miss177.007
Wk 5W 31-14@ Tulsa11414.0014
Wk 7W 26-19vs East Carolina11919.0019
Wk 8W 24-17vs Army22211.0011
Wk 10L 26-48@ UTSA2168.0010
Wk 11W 38-32@ Memphis11313.0013
Wk 12W 35-24vs Florida Atlantic11515.0015
Wk 13W 37-13@ Temple252.514
Wk 14W 27-0vs Charlotte188.008
BowlL 10-41@ Ole Miss12929.0129
Total1720012.3333
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Southern Miss3-9HC: Will Hall · Run-leaning
2025Tulane11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Tulane1720011.83--
2023Southern Miss11313.00--
Career2 loaded seasons1821311.83--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.2% 6.8% pass-game share | #187/468 (60th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #45/475 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 17 #129/475 73rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 200 #112/475 77th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #45/475 91st pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 11.8 #139/475 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 6.8% #187/468 60th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 33 #111/475 77th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 3.9% #208/468 56th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 3.8% #202/468 57th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.2% #227/468 52nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 3.2% #200/468 57th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 3.0% #213/468 55th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 2.7% #259/468 45th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home5g1.622.213.70.2
Road7g1.312.711.20.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins9g1.416.411.50.2
Losses3g1.317.314.70.3

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.320.215.00.3
Weeks 8+6g1.513.29.60.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

49Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (24th).

Yards / catch#56 / 175 · 68th pct
11.8rece
Rec TDs#45 / 175 · 66th pct
3rece
Long catch#94 / 175 · 45th pct
33rece
Rec yards#111 / 175 · 37th pct
200rece
Receptions#129 / 175 · 25th pct
17rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Justyn ReidTulaneLuke LindenmeyerNebraska· 73% simDecker DeGraafWashington· 71% simEthan ConnerTroy· 70% sim
Yards / catch
68
Reid
53
Lindenmeyer
62
DeGraaf
81
Conner
Rec TDs
66
Reid
43
Lindenmeyer
43
DeGraaf
66
Conner
Long catch
45
Reid
23
Lindenmeyer
39
DeGraaf
61
Conner
Rec yards
37
Reid
63
Lindenmeyer
72
DeGraaf
79
Conner
Receptions
25
Reid
66
Lindenmeyer
75
DeGraaf
72
Conner

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Move TE

Lined up out wide as often as inline. Creates mismatches downfield.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Matthew Hibner’s 2024 season.

Matthew Hibner

68%match

SMU · 2024

NFL Rd 4
#2

Patrick Herbert

Oregon · 2023

67%
#3

Austin Stogner

Oklahoma · 2021

67%
#4

Michael Masunas

Michigan State · 2025

67%
#5

Isaac Rex

BYU · 2021

66%

Matches Matthew on

TD rate

Differs from Matthew on

Recruiting rating (lower)
Total EPA (college ability) (lower)
Weight (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Michael Masunas's junior season at Michigan State (2025).

Michael Masunas

76%match

Michigan State · 2025

#2

Jeremy Tate Jr.

Middle Tennessee · 2023

73%
#3

Kyirin Heath

Southern Miss · 2025

All-Sun Belt
71%
#4

Jacob Petersen

Toledo · 2025

70%
#5

Matthew Hibner

SMU · 2024

NFL Rd 4
70%

Matches Michael on

Weight
Total EPA (college ability)
TD rate

Differs from Michael on

EPA / play (adj) (lower)
Yards / reception (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jon Sumrall

Pass share

45.8%

424 pass / 501 run

Plays / game

66.1

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.4%

294 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Slade Nagle
Tulane
2025
Jon Sumrall
Tulane
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Slade Nagle → Jon Sumrall. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNewnan, GA
Height6'5"
Weight255 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey88

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Southern Miss TE3 #5336 #6030 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Southern Miss TE3 #4792 #5365 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tulane American Athletic TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Newnan, GA
2024 Southern Miss Sun Belt TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Newnan, GA
2023 Southern Miss Sun Belt TE 3 No. 88 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Newnan, GA