cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Justin Williams /Indiana

Justin Williams

WR · Indiana · Sr · #5

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETEIndiana 2024 — college career complete

WR · INDIANA · BIG TEN

Justin Williams

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-9 | 190 lb
  • Philadelphia, PA

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#175

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 0 · Not on team

R01 · Scout team / redshirt

Scout team / redshirt. Developing behind the depth chart.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2024
4042021
5532022
3842023
4482024

+11%

Modest growth (11%) across the multi-season window.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1853 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#21 in market ▼ from #18 · 6 books

+35002.8% implied▼ lengthened from +3000

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-9 | 190 lb
HometownPhiladelphia, PA
Primary teamIndiana

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1853 recruit
Composite rating 0.8263 HighSchool
Signed with Wake Forest 2019
Origin Armwood Seffner, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2019 3-star | 0.8263 No. 1853 recruit | HighSchool | Wake Forest

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#175Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#141Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Wake Forest

Composite

0.8263

#1853 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Justin Williams

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Justin Williams

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Justin Williams's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Indiana, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #175 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.6% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 39 5 rec TD | #192/1110 (83rd pct)
Receiving yards 448 11.5 per catch | #257/1107 (77th pct)
Scrimmage yards 475 Total offensive yardage | #257/1107 (77th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
39 83rd
YDS
448 77th
YPR
11.5 47th
TD
5 91st

Rushing

CAR
2 53rd
YDS
27 73rd
YPC
13.5 93rd
TD
0 81st

Returns

KR YDS
25 29th
KR AVG
25.0 84th
PR YDS
36 46th
PR AVG
18.0 92nd

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Wake Forest10-3HC: Dave Clawson · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Wake Forest8-5HC: Dave Clawson · Balanced
2023Wake Forest4-8HC: Dave Clawson · Run-leaning
2024Indiana11-2HC: Curt Cignetti · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Indiana3944811.55--
2023Wake Forest3838410.11--
2022Wake Forest3955314.21--
2021Wake Forest2740415.03--
Career4 loaded seasons1431,78912.510--
SeasonTeam
2024Indiana2272536--
2023Wake Forest329187----
2022Wake Forest----240----
2021Wake Forest----15036--
Career4 loaded seasons55660272--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.6% 11.9% pass-game share | #383/1137 (66th pct)
Return yards 61 0 return TD | #169/238 (29th pct)
Touchdowns 5 Across offense and returns | #96/1111 (91st pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 39 #192/1110 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 448 #257/1107 77th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 5 #96/1111 91st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.5 #588/1106 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return yards 25 #169/238 29th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 36 #122/224 46th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.9% #383/1137 66th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 27 #108/397 73rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 14 #122/346 65th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 13.5 #28/393 93rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 2 #194/407 53rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 52 #244/1105 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Kick return avg 25.0 #38/236 84th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 18.0 #18/222 92nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 2 #156/237 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Kick returns 1 #169/243 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.5% #428/1137 62nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.1% #299/1137 74th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 6.7% #483/1137 58th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 5.6% #410/1137 64th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.9% #401/1137 65th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.5% #478/1137 58th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.5% #284/1137 75th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Curt Cignetti

Pass share

38.7%

404 pass / 641 run

Plays / game

65.3

16 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

275 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

2 coaches
2021
Tom Allen
Indiana
2022
Tom Allen
Indiana
2023
Tom Allen
Indiana
2024
Curt Cignetti
Indiana
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Tom Allen → Curt Cignetti. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPhiladelphia, PA
Height5'9"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Indiana WR4 #175 #141 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Wake Forest WR4 #1804 #2372 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Wake Forest WR4 #1029 #1053 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 Wake Forest WR4 #508 #428 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Indiana Big Ten WR 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA
2023 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA
2022 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA
2021 Wake Forest ACC WR 4 No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Philadelphia, PA