cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Justin Weaver /Army

Justin Weaver

CB · Army · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

25 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Army for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Army for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Cornerback · Army

Returning around him

  • 25% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -2 net (0 in / 2 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Army · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #134 · 2026 recruiting class #130

CB · ARMY · AMERICAN ATHLETIC

Justin Weaver

  • 4
  • #5
  • 5-11 | 190 lb
  • Decatur, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

34

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 67th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#8227

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★
#2494 national
CFB
College
Army
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionCB
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements5-11 | 190 lb
HometownDecatur, GA
Primary teamArmy

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 2-star No. 2494 recruit
Composite rating 0.7956 HighSchool
Signed with Army 2021
Origin Decatur Decatur, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 2-star | 0.7956 No. 2494 recruit | HighSchool | Army

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#8227Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#8242Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★☆☆☆

to Army

Composite

0.7956

#2494 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Justin Weaver

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Justin Weaver

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
25Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
32Tackles
0Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 25): needs 18.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 25): needs 25/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Justin Weaver is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Army's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 0.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #8227 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 0.0 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 25 18 solo | #1667/4942 (66th pct)
TFL 0.0 Backfield disruption | #3020/4972 (39th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
25 66th
SOLO
18 74th
TFL
0.0 39th
SACK
0.0 65th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 27-30vs Tarleton State420.00.01Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 2W 24-21@ Kansas State110.00.00
Wk 4L 38-45vs North Texas440.00.00
Wk 5L 6-28@ East Carolina110.00.01
Wk 6W 31-13@ UAB210.00.00
Wk 7W 24-7vs Charlotte220.00.00
Wk 13L 25-26vs Tulsa100.00.00
Wk 14W 27-24@ UTSA420.00.00
Wk 16L 16-17@ Navy430.00.010
BowlW 41-16vs UConn220.00.00
Total25180.00.012
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Army12-2HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
2025Army7-6HC: Jeff Monken · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025Army25180.00.021--
2024Army33272.50.0--2--
Career2 loaded seasons58452.50.023--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 25 #1667/4942 66th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 0.0 #3020/4972 39th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 18 #1178/4584 74th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.60.00.00.2
Road5g2.40.00.00.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins5g2.20.00.00.0
Losses5g2.80.00.00.4

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.30.00.00.3
Weeks 8+3g3.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the CB cohort

34Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: tackles for loss (7th).

Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Solo tackles#1178 / 2975 · 59th pct
18defe
Tackles#1667 / 2975 · 43rd pct
25defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe
Tackles for loss#2548 / 2975 · 7th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · CB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Justin WeaverArmyTyler MartinMassachusetts· 69% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 64% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 61% sim
Passes defended
67
Weaver
67
Martin
91
Ra-El
98
Hamblin
Solo tackles
59
Weaver
87
Martin
100
Ra-El
99
Hamblin
Tackles
43
Weaver
98
Martin
99
Ra-El
99
Hamblin
Interceptions
31
Weaver
31
Martin
31
Hamblin
Sacks
24
Weaver
24
Martin
24
Ra-El
74
Hamblin
QB hurries
22
Weaver
22
Martin
22
Ra-El
22
Hamblin
Tackles for loss
7
Weaver
63
Martin
56
Ra-El
56
Hamblin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Cover Corner

Steady in coverage; doesn't get beat deep and rarely gives up the big play.

CB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Elijah Culp’s 2024 season.

Elijah Culp

89%match

Charlotte · 2024

#2

Adrian Cole

Florida International · 2023

87%
#3

Trent Henry

Troy · 2024

86%
#4

Faybian Marks

Utah · 2021

85%
#5

Lionell Whitaker

Coastal Carolina · 2025

87%

Matches Elijah on

PD rate
Interceptions
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Marcus Clarke's sophomore season at Miami (2021).

Marcus Clarke

96%match

Miami · 2021

#2

Kevin Knowles II

Florida State · 2022

96%
#3

Corey Hightower

New Mexico · 2021

93%
#4

Rolliann Sturkey

Central Michigan · 2021

92%
#5

Chris Chukwuneke

James Madison · 2023

93%

Matches Marcus on

Class year
Height
Tackle volume

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Monken

Pass share

14.5%

125 pass / 740 run

Plays / game

66.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

3.8%

104 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Jeff Monken
Army
2025
Jeff Monken
Army

Played his entire career under Jeff Monken.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownDecatur, GA
Height5'11"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionCB
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Army CB4 #8227 #8242 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | American Athletic
2023 Army CB4 #13441 #13326 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Army CB4 #12441 #12275 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Army American Athletic CB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Decatur, GA
2024 Army American Athletic CB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Decatur, GA
2023 Army FBS Independents CB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Decatur, GA
2022 Army FBS Independents CB 4 No. 5 | 5-11 | 190 lb | Decatur, GA