cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Justin Okoronkwo /South Carolina

Justin Okoronkwo

LB · South Carolina · So · #17

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

63 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to South Carolina for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to South Carolina for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · South Carolina

Returning around him

  • 62% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • 3 South Carolina players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (25 in / 24 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

South Carolina · Last season: 4-8 (AP #11) · Talent rank #18 · 2026 recruiting class #18

LB · SOUTH CAROLINA · SEC

Justin Okoronkwo

  • 2
  • #17
  • 6-3 | 231 lb
  • Munich

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 73rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#6263

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#506 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2024–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class2
Jersey17
Measurements6-3 | 231 lb
HometownMunich
Primary teamSouth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 506 recruit
Composite rating 0.8878 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2024
Origin Germany Germany, GERM, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8878 No. 506 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination South Carolina 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Alabama -> South Carolina 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#6263Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5999Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.8878

#506 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Justin Okoronkwo

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Justin Okoronkwo

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
63Tackles
4Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
5Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
68Tackles
4.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 63): needs 17/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 63): needs 37/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 10/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Justin Okoronkwo is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on South Carolina's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 4.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #6263 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 63 39 solo | #360/4942 (93rd pct)
TFL 4.0 Backfield disruption | #738/4972 (85th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
63 93rd
SOLO
39 95th
TFL
4.0 85th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
2 66th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
1 43rd
INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 24-11vs Virginia Tech421.00.00
Wk 2W 38-10vs South Carolina State320.00.00
Wk 3L 7-31vs Vanderbilt420.00.011
Wk 4L 20-29@ Missouri630.00.00
Wk 5W 35-13vs Kentucky420.00.00
Wk 7L 10-20@ LSU510.00.00
Wk 8L 7-26vs Oklahoma640.00.00
Wk 9L 22-29vs Alabama550.00.00
Wk 10L 14-30@ Ole Miss542.00.00
Wk 12L 30-31@ Texas A&M940.00.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 13W 51-7vs Coastal Carolina981.00.00
Wk 14L 14-28vs Clemson320.00.00
Total63394.00.011
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
2025South Carolina4-8HC: Shane Beamer · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025South Carolina63394.00.011--
2024Alabama1450.50.0------
Career2 loaded seasons77444.50.011--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 1 Coverage disruption | #1241/2184 (43rd pct)
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 63 #360/4942 93rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.0 #738/4972 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 1 #1241/2184 43rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 39 #237/4584 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 20.0 #205/578 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 20 #310/578 47th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home8g4.80.20.00.1
Road4g6.20.50.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g5.00.50.00.0
Losses8g5.40.20.00.1

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.30.20.00.2
Weeks 8+6g6.20.50.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

56Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (91st). Strength: tackles (87th). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Solo tackles#237 / 2975 · 91st pct
39defe
Tackles#360 / 2975 · 88th pct
63defe
Tackles for loss#736 / 2975 · 73rd pct
4.0defe
QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Passes defended#1191 / 2975 · 48th pct
1defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Justin OkoronkwoSouth CarolinaRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 83% simTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 80% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 80% sim
Solo tackles
91
Okoronkwo
100
Fitzgerald
96
Fields
99
Wingate
Tackles
88
Okoronkwo
99
Fitzgerald
98
Fields
98
Wingate
Tackles for loss
73
Okoronkwo
85
Fitzgerald
87
Fields
87
Wingate
QB hurries
72
Okoronkwo
55
Fitzgerald
95
Fields
72
Wingate
Passes defended
48
Okoronkwo
86
Fitzgerald
67
Fields
48
Wingate
Interceptions
31
Okoronkwo
31
Fitzgerald
31
Fields
31
Wingate
Sacks
24
Okoronkwo
24
Fitzgerald
63
Fields
74
Wingate

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Balanced Linebacker

Solid in every phase without a signature dimension.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dexter Foster’s 2025 season.

Dexter Foster

82%match

Oregon State · 2025

#2

Edgerrin Cooper

Texas A&M · 2021

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 13
82%
#3

Caleb Woodson

Virginia Tech · 2025

81%
#4

Jackson Bratton

UAB · 2023

81%
#5

Peter McIntyre

Northwestern · 2021

81%

Matches Dexter on

Class year
TFL rate
PD rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Fred Johnson's sophomore season at South Carolina (2025).

Fred Johnson

85%match

South Carolina · 2025

#2

Kieren Douglas

Purdue · 2021

84%
#3

Dexter Foster

Oregon State · 2025

82%
#4

Aaron Chiles

Florida · 2025

80%
#5

Rashad Henry

Massachusetts · 2025

78%

Matches Fred on

Tackle volume
TFL rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Shane Beamer

Pass share

45.5%

340 pass / 407 run

Plays / game

62.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

13.0%

316 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025

1 coach
2024
Shane Beamer
South Carolina
2025
Shane Beamer
South Carolina

Played his entire career under Shane Beamer.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMunich
Height6'3"
Weight231 lb
Class2
PositionLB
Jersey17

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama LB2 #6263 #5999 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 South Carolina SEC LB 2 No. 17 | 6-3 | 231 lb | Munich
2024 Alabama SEC LB 2 No. 17 | 6-3 | 231 lb | Munich