cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Junior Sherrill /Vanderbilt

Junior Sherrill

WR · Vanderbilt · Jr

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

784 REC YDS · 54 REC · 7 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Vanderbilt for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Vanderbilt for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · Vanderbilt

Returning around him

  • 86% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Vanderbilt player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -1 net (18 in / 19 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Vanderbilt · Last season: 10-3 (AP #13) · Talent rank #55 · 2026 recruiting class #76

WR · VANDERBILT · SEC

Junior Sherrill

  • 3
  • 5-11 | 188 lb
  • Nashville, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

77

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 87th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#383

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
2932023
4112024
7842025

+168%

Up 168% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1286 national
CFB
College
Vanderbilt
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey--
Measurements5-11 | 188 lb
HometownNashville, TN
Primary teamVanderbilt

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1286 recruit
Composite rating 0.8542 HighSchool
Signed with Vanderbilt 2023
Origin Lipscomb Academy Nashville, TN, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8542 No. 1286 recruit | HighSchool | Vanderbilt

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#383Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#502Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Vanderbilt

Composite

0.8542

#1286 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Junior Sherrill

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +50 · "Junior Sherrill: “I want to be the most dynamic person with the ball in my hands"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Junior Sherrill

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 13g
784Rec yards
54Receptions
7Rec TDs
Per game
60.3Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Final
784Rec yards
54Receptions
7Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 784.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about Junior Sherrill is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #383 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 9.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk All-purpose load The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 54 7 rec TD | #94/1110 (92nd pct)
Receiving yards 784 14.5 per catch | #73/1107 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 800 Total offensive yardage | #73/1107 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
54 92nd
YDS
784 93rd
YPR
14.5 73rd
TD
7 97th

Rushing

CAR
4 74th
YDS
16 60th
YPC
4.0 47th
TD
1 96th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Charleston Southern33311.0117Season-high 123 yds
Wk 2W 44-20@ Virginia Tech23216.0021
Wk 3W 31-7@ South Carolina3144.715
Wk 4W 70-21vs Georgia State35518.3040
Wk 5W 55-35vs Utah State69115.23213 TD catches
Wk 6L 14-30@ Alabama6498.2015
Wk 8W 31-24vs LSU23015.0025
Wk 9W 17-10vs Missouri188.008
Wk 10L 31-34@ Texas58316.6027
Wk 11W 45-38vs Auburn47518.8121
Wk 13W 45-17vs Kentucky811514.4137
Wk 14W 45-24@ Tennessee37625.3032
BowlL 27-34vs Iowa812315.4046
Total5478414.4746
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Vanderbilt2-10HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Vanderbilt7-6HC: Clark Lea · Run-heavy
2025Vanderbilt10-3HC: Clark Lea · Balanced, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Vanderbilt5478414.57--
2024Vanderbilt2941114.23--
2023Vanderbilt2029314.73--
Career3 loaded seasons1031,48814.413--
SeasonTeam
2025Vanderbilt416------
2024Vanderbilt716427----
2023Vanderbilt429------
Career3 loaded seasons1561427----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 9.4% 17.2% pass-game share | #158/1137 (86th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 8 Across offense and returns | #37/1111 (97th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 54 #94/1110 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 784 #73/1107 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 7 #37/1111 97th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.5 #302/1106 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 17.2% #158/1137 86th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 19 #77/346 78th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 16 #160/397 60th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 4 #108/407 74th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 4.0 #211/393 47th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 1 #19/411 96th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 46 #325/1105 71st pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 13.6% #80/1137 93rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 10.1% #88/1137 92nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 9.4% #124/1137 89th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 9.0% #164/1137 86th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.9% #307/1137 73rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.9% #157/1137 86th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.1% #179/1137 84th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/302 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g4.466.214.50.8
Road5g3.850.814.20.2

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g3.552.914.70.7
Losses3g6.385.013.40.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-77g4.456.712.70.7
Weeks 8+6g3.864.516.40.3

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

77All-Conference
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (91st). Strength: rec yards (87th).

Rec TDs#37 / 558 · 92nd pct
7rece
Rec yards#73 / 558 · 87th pct
784rece
Rush TDs#19 / 287 · 85th pct
1rush
Receptions#94 / 558 · 83rd pct
54rece
Fumbles lost#1 / 218 · 81st pct
0fumb
Yards / catch#163 / 558 · 71st pct
14.5rece
Rush yards#128 / 287 · 55th pct
16rush
Long catch#285 / 558 · 48th pct
46rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Junior SherrillVanderbiltElijah SarrattIndiana· 87% simKevin ConcepcionTexas A&M· 87% simGermie BernardAlabama· 83% sim
Rec TDs
92
Sherrill
100
Sarratt
97
Concepcion
92
Bernard
Rec yards
87
Sherrill
88
Sarratt
93
Concepcion
91
Bernard
Rush TDs
85
Sherrill
85
Concepcion
96
Bernard
Receptions
83
Sherrill
93
Sarratt
90
Concepcion
93
Bernard
Fumbles lost
81
Sherrill
81
Concepcion
Yards / catch
71
Sherrill
46
Sarratt
77
Concepcion
57
Bernard
Rush yards
55
Sherrill
88
Concepcion
93
Bernard
Long catch
48
Sherrill
55
Sarratt
52
Concepcion
39
Bernard

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Slot Technician

Runs precise routes in tight quarters. Volume player who keeps chains moving.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kevin Concepcion’s 2025 season.

Kevin Concepcion

81%match

Texas A&M · 2025

#2

DeMeer Blankumsee

Memphis · 2023

78%
#3

Jerjuan Newton

Toledo · 2024

All-MAC
76%
#4

Jay Maclin

North Texas · 2023

76%
#5

Tahj Washington

Memphis · 2020

NFL Rd 7
68%

Matches Kevin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Kevin on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Kevin Concepcion's junior season at Texas A&M (2025).

Kevin Concepcion

86%match

Texas A&M · 2025

All-ACC
#2

Jordan Addison

USC · 2022

BiletnikoffConsensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 1 · Pk 24
80%
#3

Mac Hippenhammer

Miami (OH) · 2022

All-MAC
78%
#4

Jerjuan Newton

Toledo · 2022

All-MAC
77%
#5

Jordan Moore

Duke · 2023

All-ACC
76%

Matches Kevin on

Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate

Differs from Kevin on

EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Clark Lea

Pass share

50.4%

400 pass / 394 run

Plays / game

61.1

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.3%

274 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2024
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt
2025
Clark Lea
Vanderbilt

Played his entire career under Clark Lea.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNashville, TN
Height5'11"
Weight188 lb
Class3
PositionWR

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Vanderbilt WR3 #383 #502 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Vanderbilt WR3 #1304 #2037 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Vanderbilt SEC WR 3 5-11 | 188 lb | Nashville, TN
2024 Vanderbilt SEC WR 3 5-11 | 188 lb | Nashville, TN
2023 Vanderbilt SEC WR 3 5-11 | 188 lb | Nashville, TN