cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Joshua Josephs /Tennessee

Joshua Josephs

DL · Tennessee · Sr · #19

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

33 TACKLES · 2 SACKS

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Washington — Rd 5, Pick 7, #147 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Washington2026 NFL rookie season

#147Rd 5 · Pick 7
Washington2026 NFL rookie season

DL · TENNESSEE · SEC

Joshua Josephs

  • 4
  • #19
  • 6-3 | 240 lb
  • Kennesaw, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

71

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 80th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1447

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#330 national
CFB
College
Tennessee
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 &middot; #147
Washington &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey19
Measurements6-3 | 240 lb
HometownKennesaw, GA
Primary teamTennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 330 recruit
Composite rating 0.8993 HighSchool
Signed with Tennessee 2022
Origin North Cobb Kennesaw, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.8993 No. 330 recruit | HighSchool | Tennessee

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1447Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1750Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Tennessee

Composite

0.8993

#330 national

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 5, Pick 7

#147 overall · Washington

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Joshua Josephs

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Joshua Josephs

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
33Tackles
5Tackles for loss
2Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.5Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
43Tackles
6.5Tackles for loss
2.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 33): needs 15.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 33): needs 22.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 2): needs 1.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 2): needs 2.7/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Joshua Josephs is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Tennessee's defense, with 2.0 sacks, 5.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #1447 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 330 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 33 17 solo | #1194/4942 (76th pct)
TFL 5.0 Backfield disruption | #553/4972 (89th pct)
Sacks 2.0 Pass-rush finish | #491/4972 (90th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
33 76th
SOLO
17 73rd
TFL
5.0 89th
SACK
2.0 90th
QBH
6 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
2 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 45-26vs Syracuse751.01.00
Wk 2W 72-17vs East Tennessee State111.01.01
Wk 3L 41-44vs Georgia431.00.00
Wk 4W 56-24vs UAB100.00.01
Wk 5W 41-34@ Mississippi State931.50.00Season-high 9 tackles
Wk 7W 34-31vs Arkansas310.00.00
Wk 8L 20-37@ Alabama210.50.00
Wk 9W 56-34@ Kentucky210.00.00
Wk 10L 27-33vs Oklahoma100.00.00
Wk 14L 24-45vs Vanderbilt320.00.00
Total33175.02.02
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Tennessee11-2HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2023Tennessee9-4HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2024Tennessee10-3HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2025Tennessee8-5HC: Josh Heupel · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Tennessee33175.02.02----
2024Tennessee39179.01.53----
2023Tennessee20114.53.01----
2022Tennessee942.51.02----
Career4 loaded seasons1014921.07.58----
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 2 Coverage disruption | #792/2184 (64th pct)
QB pressures 6 Quarterback hurries | #117/1878 (94th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 33 #1194/4942 76th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.0 #553/4972 89th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 2.0 #491/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 2 #792/2184 64th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 6 #117/1878 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 17 #1252/4584 73rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.90.40.30.3
Road3g4.30.70.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g3.80.60.30.3
Losses4g2.50.40.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.20.80.30.3
Weeks 8+4g2.00.10.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

71Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (94th).

QB hurries#117 / 2975 · 95th pct
6defe
Sacks#487 / 2975 · 80th pct
2.0defe
Tackles for loss#553 / 2975 · 80th pct
5.0defe
Passes defended#777 / 2975 · 67th pct
2defe
Tackles#1194 / 2975 · 59th pct
33defe
Solo tackles#1252 / 2975 · 56th pct
17defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Joshua JosephsTennesseeTrey FieldsNorth Texas· 78% simRay ConeyTulsa· 77% simMac HarrisSouth Florida· 77% sim
QB hurries
95
Josephs
95
Fields
88
Coney
97
Harris
Sacks
80
Josephs
63
Fields
80
Coney
97
Harris
Tackles for loss
80
Josephs
87
Fields
90
Coney
91
Harris
Passes defended
67
Josephs
67
Fields
67
Coney
67
Harris
Tackles
59
Josephs
98
Fields
100
Coney
99
Harris
Solo tackles
56
Josephs
96
Fields
93
Coney
98
Harris
Forced fumbles
47
Josephs
47
Fields
47
Harris

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Blaine Spires’s 2022 season.

Blaine Spires

89%match

Bowling Green · 2022

#2

Aeneas DiCosmo

Vanderbilt · 2024

89%
#3

Jaylon Allen

Memphis · 2023

All-AAC
88%
#4

Aeneas DiCosmo

Vanderbilt · 2023

87%
#5

Gabriel Lopez

New Mexico · 2023

86%

Matches Blaine on

Sack rate
Height
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Kobe Stewart's senior season at Buffalo (2025).

Kobe Stewart

94%match

Buffalo · 2025

#2

Nicholas Rinaldi

Vanderbilt · 2025

91%
#3

Jaylon Allen

Memphis · 2023

All-AAC
90%
#4

Aeneas DiCosmo

Vanderbilt · 2024

88%
#5

CJ Bazile

Buffalo · 2023

88%

Matches Kobe on

Class year
Height
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Josh Heupel

Pass share

47.3%

437 pass / 486 run

Plays / game

71.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.4%

334 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2023
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2024
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2025
Josh Heupel
Tennessee

Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKennesaw, GA
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey19

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Tennessee DL4 #1447 #1750 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Tennessee DL4 #6345 #6987 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Tennessee DL4 #4502 #4645 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Tennessee SEC DL 4 No. 19 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Kennesaw, GA
2024 Tennessee SEC DL 4 No. 19 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Kennesaw, GA
2023 Tennessee SEC DL 4 No. 19 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Kennesaw, GA
2022 Tennessee SEC DL 4 No. 19 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Kennesaw, GA