cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Josh Cameron /Baylor

Josh Cameron

WR · Baylor · Sr · #34

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

872 REC YDS · 69 REC · 9 REC TD

2026 NFL DRAFTDrafted by Jacksonville — Rd 6, Pick 10, #191 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

#191Rd 6 · Pick 10
Jacksonville2026 NFL rookie season

WR · BAYLOR · BIG 12

Josh Cameron

  • 4
  • #34
  • 6-1 | 224 lb
  • Cedar Park, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

74

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 92nd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#294

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2024

2022

Baylor · WR

2023

Baylor · WR

2024

Baylor · WR

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

2025

Baylor · WR

NFL Draft 2026 · Rd 6, Pick 10 · #191 overall · Jacksonville

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
3862022
2242023
7542024
8722025

+126%

Up 126% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Baylor
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 &middot; #191
Jacksonville &middot; 2026

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey34
Measurements6-1 | 224 lb
HometownCedar Park, TX
Primary teamBaylor

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#294Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#430Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (872).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

NFL Draft

2026 · Rd 6, Pick 10

#191 overall · Jacksonville

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Josh Cameron

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Baylor offers 2030 WR Cameron Wallace &nbsp;&nbsp; 247Sports"Own fansNational: 1 mentions · belief +100 · "Welcome to the 2025 Big 12 Uniform Season Review! What a roller coaster season i"National
  • Own fans · n=1
  • National · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Josh Cameron

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving yards (total)

872

yds

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #44 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 92nd

Why it matters

#44 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 872 yards on 69 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 872 (92th)

HIGH · n=69 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Receiving TDs#17 / 531
  • Yards per reception#249 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 12 vs Utah — 165 receiving_yards_total

Result L 28-55

The week the volume broke through — put up 165 yds vs Utah.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
872Rec yards
69Receptions
9Rec TDs
Per game
72.7Rec yards
6Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
944.7Rec yards
75Receptions
10Rec TDs

✓ Hit 700-yard receiver · finished with 872.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 872): needs 128/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 60-catch season · finished with 69.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 69): needs 11/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 9.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 9): needs 1/game over remaining 1.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Josh Cameron already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #294 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 10.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 69 9 rec TD | #25/1110 (98th pct)
Receiving yards 872 12.6 per catch | #47/1107 (96th pct)
Scrimmage yards 872 Total offensive yardage | #47/1107 (96th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
69 98th
YDS
872 96th
YPR
12.6 56th
TD
9 99th

Returns

PR YDS
141 83rd
PR AVG
7.8 50th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 24-38vs Auburn25427.0027
Wk 2W 48-45@ SMU915116.82482 TD catches
Wk 3W 42-7vs Samford4399.8115
Wk 4L 24-27vs Arizona State66510.8023
Wk 5W 45-27@ Oklahoma State69816.3040
Wk 6W 35-34vs Kansas State5499.8016
Wk 8L 36-42@ TCU88610.8016
Wk 9L 20-41@ Cincinnati4348.5116
Wk 10W 30-3vs UCF351.713
Wk 12L 28-55vs Utah1316512.7229Season-high 165 yds
Wk 13L 17-41@ Arizona67111.8130
Wk 14L 24-31vs Houston35518.3131
Total6987212.9948
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Baylor6-7HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2023Baylor3-9HC: Dave Aranda · Balanced
2024Baylor8-5HC: Dave Aranda · Run-leaning
2025Baylor5-7HC: Dave Aranda · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor6987212.69--
2024Baylor5275414.510--
2023Baylor2122410.70--
2022Baylor2838613.80--
Career4 loaded seasons1702,23613.219--
SeasonTeam
2025Baylor------141--
2024Baylor----8290--
2023Baylor21--201--
2022Baylor11------
Career4 loaded seasons328632--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 10.4% 17.9% pass-game share | #140/1137 (88th pct)
Return yards 141 0 return TD
Touchdowns 9 Across offense and returns | #17/1111 (99th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 69 #25/1110 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 872 #47/1107 96th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 9 #17/1111 99th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.6 #486/1106 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 141 #40/224 83rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 17.9% #140/1137 88th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 48 #298/1105 73rd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 18 #21/237 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 7.8 #111/222 50th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 14.1% #68/1137 94th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 13.5% #80/1137 93rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 10.4% #81/1137 93rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 9.8% #98/1137 91st pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.8% #183/1137 84th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 8.8% #109/1137 91st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #301/302 1st pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home7g5.161.712.90.7
Road5g6.688.012.80.8

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins5g5.468.410.90.8
Losses7g6.075.714.30.7

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g5.376.015.10.5
Weeks 8+6g6.269.310.61.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

74Solid starter
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (96th). Strength: receptions (95th). Concern: fumbles lost (0th).

Rec TDs#17 / 558 · 97th pct
9rece
Receptions#25 / 558 · 96th pct
69rece
Rec yards#47 / 558 · 92nd pct
872rece
Long catch#260 / 558 · 52nd pct
48rece
Yards / catch#297 / 558 · 46th pct
12.6rece
Fumbles lost#217 / 218 · 0th pct
3fumb

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Josh CameronBaylorGriffin WildeNorthwestern· 98% simElijah SarrattIndiana· 97% simGermie BernardAlabama· 92% sim
Rec TDs
97
Cameron
95
Wilde
100
Sarratt
92
Bernard
Receptions
96
Cameron
97
Wilde
93
Sarratt
93
Bernard
Rec yards
92
Cameron
92
Wilde
88
Sarratt
91
Bernard
Long catch
52
Cameron
55
Wilde
55
Sarratt
39
Bernard
Yards / catch
46
Cameron
44
Wilde
46
Sarratt
57
Bernard
Fumbles lost
0
Cameron

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Possession Receiver

Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Kawaan Baker’s 2020 season.

Kawaan Baker

79%match

South Alabama · 2020

All-Sun BeltNFL Rd 7
#2

Corey Rucker

Arkansas State · 2021

All-Sun Belt
70%
#3

Rashod Owens

Oklahoma State · 2023

69%
#4

Kenny Johnson

Pittsburgh · 2025

68%
#5

Kyren Lacy

LSU · 2024

68%

Matches Kawaan on

TD rate
Yards / reception

Differs from Kawaan on

Reception volume (higher)
Weight (higher)
Class year (higher)

Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Elijah Moore’s path through Ole Miss.

Elijah Moore

99%match

Ole Miss · 2020

Consensus All-AmericanNFL Rd 2 · Pk 2
#2

Kyle Ford

USC · 2024

99%
#3

Adrian Hardy

Louisiana Tech · 2020

All-Conference USA
99%
#4

Julius Young

Lafayette · 2022

97%
#5

Amari Rodgers

Clemson · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 3 · Pk 22
97%

Matches Elijah on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to CJ Williams's senior season at Stanford (2025).

CJ Williams

72%match

Stanford · 2025

#2

Jordan Hudson

SMU · 2025

All-ACC
71%
#3

Lemeke Brockington

Minnesota · 2025

64%
#4

Trell Harris

Virginia · 2025

64%
#5

Mudia Reuben

South Florida · 2025

63%

Matches CJ on

EPA / play (adj)
Reception volume
TD rate

Differs from CJ on

Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dave Aranda

Pass share

55.5%

510 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

76.6

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.0%

417 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning, fast tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

1 coach
2022
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2023
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2024
Dave Aranda
Baylor
2025
Dave Aranda
Baylor

Played his entire career under Dave Aranda.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownCedar Park, TX
Height6'1"
Weight224 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey34

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-Big 12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 All-Big 12 all_conference Baylor | Big 12 RET

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Baylor WR4 #294 #430 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Baylor WR4 #2608 #3264 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Baylor WR4 #1309 #1406 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 34 | 6-1 | 224 lb | Cedar Park, TX
2024 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 34 | 6-1 | 224 lb | Cedar Park, TX
2023 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 34 | 6-1 | 224 lb | Cedar Park, TX
2022 Baylor Big 12 WR 4 No. 34 | 6-1 | 224 lb | Cedar Park, TX