CFB Zeitgeist Score
58
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 71st percentile.
Joseph Manjack
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
579 REC YDS · 44 REC · 3 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to TCU for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Wide receiver · TCU
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
TCU · Last season: 9-4 (AP #24) · Talent rank #32 · 2026 recruiting class #24
WR · TCU · BIG 12
CFB Zeitgeist Score
58
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 71st percentile.
Heisman Heat
#722
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP WR AWARD
Biletnikoff
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025Up 764% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | USC -> Houston | 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
13.2
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
Why it matters
#210 of 531 All FBS WRs at 13.2 yards per reception (44 catches).
Vs cohort
HIGH · n=44 cohort 531
Signature Moment
Week 3 vs Abilene Christian — 114 ypr
Result W 42-21
The week the volume broke through — put up 114 yds vs Abilene Christian.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 579): needs 60.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 579): needs 210.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 44): needs 8/game over remaining 2.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 44): needs 18/game over remaining 2.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 2.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 3.5/game over remaining 2.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Joseph Manjack's story is about how role and output meet each other. For TCU, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
Rushing
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 48-14@ North Carolina | 2 | 24 | 12.0 | 0 | 18 | |
| Wk 3 | W 42-21vs Abilene Christian | 4 | 114 | 28.5 | 0 | 51 | Season-high 114 yds |
| Wk 4 | W 35-24vs SMU | 3 | 15 | 5.0 | 1 | 6 | |
| Wk 5 | L 24-27@ Arizona State | 6 | 83 | 13.8 | 0 | 32 | |
| Wk 6 | W 35-21vs Colorado | 5 | 65 | 13.0 | 1 | 25 | |
| Wk 7 | L 28-41@ Kansas State | 1 | 8 | 8.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 11 | L 17-20vs Iowa State | 3 | 48 | 16.0 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 12 | L 13-44@ BYU | 3 | 40 | 13.3 | 0 | 19 | |
| Wk 13 | W 17-14@ Houston | 9 | 95 | 10.6 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 14 | W 45-23vs Cincinnati | 5 | 59 | 11.8 | 1 | 44 | |
| Bowl | W 30-27vs USC | 3 | 28 | 9.3 | 0 | 15 | |
| Total | 44 | 579 | 12.8 | 3 | 51 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.
A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 44 | #153/1110 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 579 | #164/1107 | 85th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 3 | #206/1111 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 13.2 | #428/1106 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Pass share | 16.0% | #202/1137 | 82nd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 6 | #238/346 | 32nd pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Carries | 2 | #194/407 | 53rd pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 0 | #81/411 | 81st pct | Scoringvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | -2.0 | #348/393 | 12th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS WR |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | -4 | #358/397 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS WR |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 51 | #260/1105 | 77th pct | Metricvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.6% | #202/1137 | 82nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 9.0% | #296/1137 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Role share | 8.5% | #178/1137 | 84th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS WR |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 8.2% | #174/1137 | 85th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.0% | #228/1137 | 80th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS WR |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.5% | #180/1137 | 84th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS WR |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.3% | #332/1137 | 71st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS WR |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/302 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS WR |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 3.8 | 54.8 | 13.9 | 0.5 |
| Road5g | 4.2 | 50.0 | 11.5 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 4.4 | 57.1 | 12.9 | 0.4 |
| Losses4g | 3.2 | 44.8 | 12.8 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 3.4 | 48.1 | 12.8 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 5.0 | 60.5 | 12.9 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (80th). Concern: rush yards (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · WR · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Reliable target who converts on critical downs. Not flashy; consistently productive.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Austin Watkins’s 2020 season.
Austin Watkins
Xzavier Henderson
Austin Williams
Rashee Rice
Jared Wayne
Matches Austin on
Differs from Austin on
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jalen McDonald’s path through Merrimack.
Jalen McDonald
Ben Skowronek
DeVontres Dukes
Eli Pancol
Grant DuBose
Matches Jalen on
As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Jahmal Banks's graduate season at Nebraska (2024).
Jahmal Banks
Romello Brinson
J.Michael Sturdivant
Lawrence Arnold
Will Sheppard
Matches Jahmal on
Differs from Jahmal on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Sonny Dykes
Pass share
51.9%
460 pass / 426 run
Plays / game
68.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.6%
340 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Houston | WR4 | #722 | #1089 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Houston | WR4 | #799 | #1151 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Houston | WR4 | #2261 | #2375 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | USC | WR4 | #2412 | #2582 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | TCU | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX |
| 2024 | Houston | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX |
| 2023 | Houston | Big 12 | WR | 4 | No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX |
| 2022 | Houston | American Athletic | WR | 4 | No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX |
| 2021 | USC | Pac-12 | WR | 4 | No. 14 | 6-3 | 205 lb | Tomball, TX |