cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan Mosley /Mississippi State

Jordan Mosley

WR · Mississippi State · Sr · #4

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

168 REC YDS · 8 REC · 1 REC TD

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Mississippi State → Colorado State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Colorado State

2025Mississippi State
2026Colorado State

WR · MISSISSIPPI STATE · SEC

Jordan Mosley

  • 4
  • #4
  • 6-0 | 195 lb
  • Mobile, AL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

40

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4017

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
7.02021
43.02022
45.02023
1682025

+2300%

Up 2300% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#319 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey4
Measurements6-0 | 195 lb
HometownMobile, AL
Primary teamMississippi State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 319 recruit
Composite rating 0.8998 HighSchool
Signed with Northwestern 2021
Origin McGill Toolen Mobile, AL, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.8998 No. 319 recruit | HighSchool | Northwestern

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Colorado State 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Mississippi State -> Colorado State 4-star | Immediate
2022 Northwestern -> Mississippi State 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4017Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4424Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Northwestern

Composite

0.8998

#319 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan Mosley

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Mosley

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
168Rec yards
8Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
33.6Rec yards
2Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
436.8Rec yards
21Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 168): needs 66.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 168): needs 104/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 8): needs 6.5/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 8): needs 9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.1/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordan Mosley's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Mississippi State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4017 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 319 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 8 1 rec TD | #631/1110 (43rd pct)
Receiving yards 168 21.0 per catch | #512/1107 (54th pct)
Scrimmage yards 168 Total offensive yardage | #512/1107 (54th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
8 43rd
YDS
168 54th
YPR
21.0 95th
TD
1 64th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 34-17@ Southern Miss2199.5016
Wk 3W 63-0vs Alcorn State17575.0175Season-high 75 yds
Wk 4W 38-10vs Northern Illinois14545.0045
Wk 5L 34-41vs Tennessee3206.7017
Wk 8L 21-23@ Florida199.009
Total816829.0175
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Northwestern3-9HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Run-leaning
2022Mississippi State9-4HC: Mike Leach · Pass-heavy
2023Mississippi State5-7HC: Greg Knox · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Mississippi State5-8HC: Jeff Lebby · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Mississippi State816821.01--
2023Mississippi State34515.01--
2022Mississippi State24321.50--
2021Northwestern177.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1426318.82--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.4% 8.2% pass-game share | #591/1137 (48th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 8 #631/1110 43rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 168 #512/1107 54th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 21.0 #61/1106 95th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 8.2% #591/1137 48th pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 75 #47/1105 96th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.9% #403/1137 65th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 3.8% #828/1137 27th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.4% #696/1137 39th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 3.2% #647/1137 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 3.1% #692/1137 39th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 0.0% #937/1137 18th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g1.746.742.20.3
Road2g1.514.09.20.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g1.346.343.20.3
Losses2g2.014.57.80.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-74g1.839.834.00.2
Weeks 8+1g1.09.09.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

40Mid-pack
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / catch (98th). Strength: long catch (90th). Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#10 / 558 · 98th pct
21.0rece
Long catch#43 / 558 · 91st pct
75rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rec yards#503 / 558 · 10th pct
168rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
8rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jordan MosleyMississippi StateNik McMillanBuffalo· 41% simHarrison Wallace IIIOle Miss· 40% simChris Dawn Jr.Texas State· 39% sim
Yards / catch
98
Mosley
84
McMillan
78
III
80
Jr.
Long catch
91
Mosley
65
McMillan
65
III
96
Jr.
Rec TDs
24
Mosley
57
McMillan
68
III
68
Jr.
Rec yards
10
Mosley
96
McMillan
94
III
96
Jr.
Receptions
0
Mosley
90
McMillan
90
III
93
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jeff Lebby

Pass share

41.8%

390 pass / 543 run

Plays / game

71.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.7%

308 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Mike Leach
Mississippi State
2022
Mike Leach
Mississippi State
2023
Greg Knox
Mississippi State
era →
2025
Jeff Lebby
Mississippi State
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Mike Leach, Greg Knox, and Jeff Lebby. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMobile, AL
Height6'0"
Weight195 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Mississippi State WR4 #4017 #4424 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Mississippi State WR4 #2197 #2509 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Mississippi State WR4 #1587 #1479 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Northwestern WR4 #3366 #3416 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL
2024 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL
2023 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL
2022 Mississippi State SEC WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL
2021 Northwestern Big Ten WR 4 No. 4 | 6-0 | 195 lb | Mobile, AL