CFB Zeitgeist Score
36
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 50th percentile.
Jordan Mcdonald
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
397 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 94 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Boston College for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Boston College
Returning around him
- 62% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 4 Boston College players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -4 net (26 in / 30 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boston College · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #69 · 2026 recruiting class #59
RB · BOSTON COLLEGE · ACC
Jordan Mcdonald
- 4
- #5
- 6-1 | 211 lb
- Alpharetta, GA
Heisman Heat
#1614
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025+823%
Up 823% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8770 | No. 622 recruit | HighSchool | UCF |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UCF -> Boston College | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to UCF
Composite
0.8770
#622 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jordan Mcdonald
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Mcdonald
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Rushing WEPA per carry
+0.080
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
National rank #51 of 66
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries 23rd
Why it matters
#51 of 66 P4 + Notre Dame RBs by rushing weighted- EPA per carry — +0.080 EPA/carry on 88 carries.
Vs cohort
This player +0.080 (23th)
MODERATE · n=88 cohort 66
- Also strong
- Yards per carry#59 / 69
- Rushing yards (total)#62 / 69
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 12g
397Rush yards
94Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
33.1Rush yards
8Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
430.1Rush yards
102Carries
4Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 397): needs 353/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 397): needs 603/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 397): needs 1,103/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 6/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 11/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 16/game over remaining 1.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jordan Mcdonald's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Boston College, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
94 75th
YDS
397 72nd
YPC
4.2 38th
TD
4 79th
Receiving
REC
13 71st
YDS
84 64th
YPR
6.5 45th
TD
2 97th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 66-10vs Fordham | 6 | 20 | 3.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 2 | L 40-42@ Michigan State | 5 | 12 | 2.4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 3 | L 20-30@ Stanford | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 5 | L 24-28vs California | 2 | 4 | 2.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-48@ Pittsburgh | 5 | 31 | 6.2 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 7 | L 10-41vs Clemson | 4 | 17 | 4.3 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 8 | L 23-38vs UConn | 24 | 123 | 5.1 | 0 | 17 | Season-high 123 yds |
| Wk 9 | L 24-38@ Louisville | 19 | 80 | 4.2 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 10 | L 10-25vs Notre Dame | 3 | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 11 | L 13-45vs SMU | 8 | 30 | 3.8 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 12 | L 34-36vs Georgia Tech | 9 | 34 | 3.8 | 1 | 14 | |
| Wk 14 | W 34-12@ Syracuse | 5 | 28 | 5.6 | 2 | 14 | |
| Total | 94 | 397 | 3.8 | 4 | 17 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022UCF9-5HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2023UCF6-7HC: Gus Malzahn · Run-leaning
2025Boston College2-10HC: Bill O'Brien · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boston College | 94 | 397 | 4.2 | 4 | -- |
| 2023 | UCF | 18 | 56 | 3.1 | 3 | -- |
| 2022 | UCF | 11 | 43 | 3.9 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 123 | 496 | 4.0 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boston College | 13 | 84 | 6.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | UCF | 1 | 33 | 33.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | UCF | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 14 | 117 | 8.4 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 397 | #209/735 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #154/739 | 79th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.2 | #455/735 | 38th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 13 | #160/552 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 84 | #198/548 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.08 | #247/362 | 32nd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 88 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 11.3% | #274/738 | 63rd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 94 | #185/739 | 75th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 17 | #434/733 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 16 | #277/540 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.5 | #302/548 | 45th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 23.3% | #208/738 | 72nd pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 13.9% | #244/738 | 67th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.8% | #254/738 | 66th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.3% | #296/738 | 60th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.0% | #397/738 | 46th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 4.9% | #456/738 | 38th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.7% | #340/738 | 54th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 33.1 | 3.4 | 0.1 |
| Road5g | 33.0 | 4.4 | 0.6 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 24.0 | 4.4 | 1.0 |
| Losses10g | 34.9 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 16.3 | 3.6 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 49.8 | 4.0 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
36Mid-pack
Concern: long run (7th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.08Low (p25–p50) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jordan McdonaldBoston CollegeTae MeadowsTroy· 72% simSeth McGowanKentucky· 72% simKamari MoultonIowa· 70% sim
Receptions
Rush TDs
Rec yards
Carries
Rush yards
Yards / carry
Long run
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Lopini Katoa’s 2022 season.
Lopini Katoa
78%match
#2
Jalen Berger
77%
#3
Donovan Edwards
75%
#4
Al-Jay Henderson
74%
#5
Dominic Richardson
74%
Matches Lopini on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Yards / reception
Differs from Lopini on
Rush TD rate (higher)
Class year (higher)
Through 4 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to CJ Marable’s path through Coastal Carolina.
CJ Marable
97%match
#2
Corey Taylor II
94%
#3
Julius Loughridge
94%
#4
Maurice Burkley
92%
#5
Cooper Wallace
91%
Matches CJ on
Yards per carry
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dean Connors's senior season at Houston (2025).
Dean Connors
80%match
#2
Donovan Edwards
78%
#3
Alton McCaskill
All-AAC
74%
#4
Matt Jones
74%
#5
Demie Sumo
74%
Matches Dean on
Receiving share
Weight
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Bill O'Brien
Pass share
54.8%
454 pass / 374 run
Plays / game
69.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.9%
349 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Jeff Hafley
Boston College
2023
Jeff Hafley
Boston College
2025era →
Bill O'Brien
Boston College
Coaching transition mid-career: Jeff Hafley → Bill O'Brien. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAlpharetta, GA
Height6'1"
Weight211 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBoston College
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boston College | RB4 | #1614 | #1548 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | UCF | RB4 | #977 | #1012 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | UCF | RB4 | #2077 | #1953 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boston College | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 211 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2024 | Boston College | ACC | RB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 211 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2023 | UCF | Big 12 | RB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 211 lb | Alpharetta, GA |
| 2022 | UCF | American Athletic | RB | 4 | No. 5 | 6-1 | 211 lb | Alpharetta, GA |