CFB Zeitgeist Score
6
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush tds at the 13th percentile.
Jordan Lyle
The Hope Economyas of 2026-06-22
Jordan Lyle carries five-star expectation into Miami's season — promise, not yet proof.
108RUSH YDS1RUSH TD35CARRIES
4★ · NATIONAL RECRUIT
No.133
recruiting national rank
Miami fans frame him as a player to bet on — the case is potential, not production.
medium confidence2 sources
Read the story so far
AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data
2026 Outlook
Returning to Miami for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Miami
Returning around him
- 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 9 Miami players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -6 net (13 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Miami · Last season: 13-3 (AP #10) · Talent rank #15 · 2026 recruiting class #13
RB · MIAMI · ACC
Jordan Lyle
- 2
- #2
- 6-0 | 190 lb
- Fort Lauderdale, FL
Heisman Heat
#119
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025-73%
Sharp dropoff (-73%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Miami
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 4-star | 0.9403 | No. 133 recruit | HighSchool | Miami |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Miami
Composite
0.9403
#133 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jordan Lyle
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
68
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=30
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Lyle
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 6g
108Rush yards
35Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
18Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
234Rush yards
76Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 108): needs 91.7/game over remaining 7.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 108): needs 127.4/game over remaining 7.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 108): needs 198.9/game over remaining 7.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 1.3/game over remaining 7.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2/game over remaining 7.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.7/game over remaining 7.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jordan Lyle's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Miami, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
35 51st
YDS
108 43rd
YPC
3.1 16th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
3 33rd
YDS
22 32nd
YPR
7.3 56th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 6 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 27-24vs Notre Dame | 5 | 11 | 2.2 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 28-22@ Florida State | 7 | 18 | 2.6 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 8 | L 21-24vs Louisville | 5 | 15 | 3.0 | 0 | 12 | |
| Wk 9 | W 42-7vs Stanford | 4 | 24 | 6.0 | 1 | 17 | Season-high 24 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 20-26@ SMU | 7 | 23 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-10vs Syracuse | 7 | 17 | 2.4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Total | 35 | 108 | 3.2 | 1 | 17 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Miami13-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 108 | #422/735 | 43rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.1 | #619/735 | 16th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 3 | #371/552 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 22 | #373/548 | 32nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.05 | #298/362 | 18th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 35 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.8% | #293/738 | 60th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 35 | #362/739 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 17 | #434/733 | 41st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 9 | #425/540 | 21st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.3 | #241/548 | 56th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 19.3% | #269/738 | 64th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.2% | #264/738 | 64th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 12.8% | #272/738 | 63rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.1% | #262/738 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.6% | #417/738 | 44th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 4.6% | #458/738 | 38th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.6% | #351/738 | 53rd pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 6 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home4g | 16.8 | 3.4 | 0.2 |
| Road2g | 20.5 | 3.0 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 17.5 | 3.3 | 0.2 |
| Losses2g | 19.0 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-72g | 14.5 | 2.4 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+4g | 19.8 | 3.7 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
6Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.05Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jordan LyleMiamiTae MeadowsTroy· 46% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 45% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 45% sim
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Receptions
Long run
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mario Cristobal
Pass share
47.2%
496 pass / 554 run
Plays / game
65.6
16 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.1%
245 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Mario Cristobal
Miami
2025
Mario Cristobal
Miami
Played his entire career under Mario Cristobal.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownFort Lauderdale, FL
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey2
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamMiami
ConferenceACC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Miami | RB2 | #119 | #93 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.