CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 31st percentile.
Jordan Lovett
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
339 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 89 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Troy for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Troy
Returning around him
- 33% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- Transfer portal: -13 net (14 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Troy · Last season: 8-6 · Talent rank #99 · 2026 recruiting class #82
RB · TROY · SUN BELT
Jordan Lovett
- 2
- #1
- 5-10 | 197 lb
- Statesboro, GA
Heisman Heat
#2396
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+606%
Up 606% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
—
CFB
College
Troy
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No recruiting profile is on file for this player. | ||
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jordan Lovett
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- National · n=2
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Lovett
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 13g
339Rush yards
89Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
26.1Rush yards
7Carries
0Rush TDs
Final
339Rush yards
89Carries
2Rush TDs
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jordan Lovett's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Troy, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
89 74th
YDS
339 67th
YPC
3.8 27th
TD
2 67th
Receiving
REC
13 71st
YDS
86 65th
YPR
6.6 46th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 38-20vs Nicholls | 10 | 31 | 3.1 | 0 | 10 | |
| Wk 2 | L 16-27@ Clemson | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Wk 3 | L 7-28vs Memphis | 8 | 50 | 6.3 | 0 | 15 | |
| Wk 4 | W 21-17@ Buffalo | 8 | 27 | 3.4 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 6 | W 31-24vs South Alabama | 8 | 39 | 4.9 | 0 | 21 | |
| Wk 8 | W 37-14@ UL Monroe | 4 | 12 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 9 | W 35-23vs Louisiana | 21 | 113 | 5.4 | 2 | 22 | Season-high 113 yds |
| Wk 10 | L 10-23vs Arkansas State | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 12 | L 0-33@ Old Dominion | 6 | 13 | 2.2 | 0 | 7 | |
| Wk 13 | W 31-19vs Georgia State | 5 | 13 | 2.6 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 14 | W 28-18@ Southern Miss | 5 | 5 | 1.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 15 | L 14-31@ James Madison | 2 | 6 | 3.0 | 0 | 7 | |
| Bowl | L 13-17@ Jacksonville State | 8 | 22 | 2.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Total | 89 | 339 | 3.2 | 2 | 22 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Troy11-3HC: Jon Sumrall · Balanced
2024Troy4-8HC: Gerad Parker · Run-leaning
2025Troy8-6HC: Gerad Parker · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 339 | #241/735 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #534/735 | 27th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 13 | #160/552 | 71st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 86 | #195/548 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.01 | #344/362 | 5th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 80 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.8% | #293/738 | 60th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 89 | #190/739 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 22 | #375/733 | 49th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 26 | #157/540 | 71st pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.6 | #295/548 | 46th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 18.1% | #288/738 | 61st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.9% | #249/738 | 66th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 12.4% | #256/738 | 65th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.9% | #297/738 | 60th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.6% | #263/738 | 64th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 5.2% | #432/738 | 42nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.2% | #215/738 | 71st pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 42.0 | 4.2 | 0.3 |
| Road7g | 12.4 | 2.3 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 34.3 | 3.3 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 16.5 | 3.1 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 28.5 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 24.0 | 2.9 | 0.3 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
29Below cohort
Concern: yards / carry (8th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.01Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jordan LovettTroyTae MeadowsTroy· 67% simKamari MoultonIowa· 64% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 64% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Carries
Rush yards
Rush TDs
Long run
Yards / carry
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Balanced Back
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Andrew Henry’s 2021 season.
Andrew Henry
81%match
#2
Lloyd Avant
78%
#3
King Doerue
75%
#4
Sedrick Alexander
75%
#5
Brandon Hood
75%
Matches Andrew on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / carry
Receiving share
Differs from Andrew on
Class year (lower)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Alexander Diggs's junior season at Kennesaw State (2025).
Alexander Diggs
72%match
#2
Brian Smith
71%
#3
Sesi Vailahi
70%
#4
Jaivian Thomas
70%
#5
Charvis Thornton
70%
Matches Alexander on
Height
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
Differs from Alexander on
Class year (lower)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Gerad Parker
Pass share
47.1%
431 pass / 484 run
Plays / game
65.4
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
17.0%
342 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
2 coaches2023
Jon Sumrall
Troy
2024era →
Gerad Parker
Troy
2025
Gerad Parker
Troy
Coaching transition mid-career: Jon Sumrall → Gerad Parker. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownStatesboro, GA
Height5'10"
Weight197 lb
Class2
PositionRB
Jersey1
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTroy
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.