cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jordan Botelho /Notre Dame

Jordan Botelho

DL · Notre Dame · Sr · #12

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

20 TACKLES · 1 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Notre Dame for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Notre Dame

Returning around him

  • 37% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • 6 Notre Dame players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -8 net (7 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Notre Dame · Last season: 10-2 (AP #9) · Talent rank #9 · 2026 recruiting class #12

DL · NOTRE DAME · FBS INDEPENDENTS

Jordan Botelho

  • 4
  • #12
  • 6-3 | 260 lb
  • Honolulu, HI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

44

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 63rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4921

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#120 national
CFB
College
Notre Dame
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey12
Measurements6-3 | 260 lb
HometownHonolulu, HI
Primary teamNotre Dame

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 120 recruit
Composite rating 0.9478 HighSchool
Signed with Notre Dame 2020
Origin St. Louis Honolulu, HI, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.9478 No. 120 recruit | HighSchool | Notre Dame

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4921Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#4476Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Notre Dame

Composite

0.9478

#120 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jordan Botelho

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jordan Botelho

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
20Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
1Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
32Tackles
2.4Tackles for loss
1.6Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 20): needs 12/game over remaining 5.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 20): needs 16/game over remaining 5.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jordan Botelho is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Notre Dame's defense, with 1.0 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #4921 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 120 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 20 10 solo | #1998/4942 (60th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 1.0 Pass-rush finish | #872/4972 (82nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Defensive contributor against FBS defenders.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
20 60th
SOLO
10 56th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
1.0 82nd
QBH
2 66th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 3L 40-41vs Texas A&M200.00.00
Wk 5W 56-13@ Arkansas321.01.00
Wk 6W 28-7vs Boise State430.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 7W 36-7vs NC State210.00.00
Wk 8W 34-24vs USC110.00.00
Wk 11W 49-10vs Navy200.50.00
Wk 12W 37-15@ Pittsburgh220.00.00
Wk 14W 49-20@ Stanford410.00.00
Total20101.51.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Notre Dame11-1HC: Brian Kelly · Balanced
2022Notre Dame9-4HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-heavy
2023Notre Dame10-3HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Notre Dame10-2HC: Marcus Freeman · Run-leaning, slow tempo
SeasonTeam
2025Notre Dame20101.51.0------
2023Notre Dame29154.54.0------
2022Notre Dame1196.54.5------
2021Notre Dame18113.02.0------
Career4 loaded seasons784515.511.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 2 Quarterback hurries | #647/1878 (66th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 20 #1998/4942 60th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 1.0 #872/4972 82nd pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 2 #647/1878 66th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 10 #1996/4584 56th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.10.00.0
Road3g3.00.30.30.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins7g2.60.20.10.0
Losses1g2.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g2.80.20.20.0
Weeks 8+4g2.20.10.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

44Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#634 / 2975 · 72nd pct
2defe
Sacks#847 / 2975 · 63rd pct
1.0defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Tackles#1998 / 2975 · 32nd pct
20defe
Solo tackles#1996 / 2975 · 31st pct
10defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jordan BotelhoNotre DameMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 56% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 55% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 54% sim
QB hurries
72
Botelho
88
Parker
82
Davey
72
Wingate
Sacks
63
Botelho
80
Parker
63
Davey
74
Wingate
Tackles for loss
39
Botelho
87
Parker
91
Davey
87
Wingate
Tackles
32
Botelho
98
Parker
99
Davey
98
Wingate
Solo tackles
31
Botelho
96
Parker
99
Davey
99
Wingate
Passes defended
18
Botelho
18
Parker
18
Davey
48
Wingate

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Two-Gap Base

Stout at the point of attack; controls his gap and stacks blocks.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Cormontae Hamilton’s 2023 season.

Cormontae Hamilton

92%match

Memphis · 2023

#2

Deontae Craig

Iowa · 2023

90%
#3

Sam Miller

Northwestern · 2021

89%
#4

Nick Anderson

Tulane · 2022

All-AAC
88%
#5

Jason Mercier

Florida International · 2021

88%

Matches Cormontae on

Weight
Height
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Marcus Freeman

Pass share

44.0%

321 pass / 409 run

Plays / game

60.8

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

4.7%

257 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Brian Kelly
Notre Dame
2022
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
era →
2023
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame
2025
Marcus Freeman
Notre Dame

Coaching transition mid-career: Brian Kelly → Marcus Freeman. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHonolulu, HI
Height6'3"
Weight260 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey12

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Notre Dame DL4 #4921 #4476 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | FBS Independents
2023 Notre Dame DL4 #3659 #3923 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | FBS Independents
2022 Notre Dame DL4 #5993 #6506 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents
2021 Notre Dame DL4 #2859 #2901 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | FBS Independents

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Honolulu, HI
2024 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Honolulu, HI
2023 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Honolulu, HI
2022 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Honolulu, HI
2021 Notre Dame FBS Independents DL 4 No. 12 | 6-3 | 260 lb | Honolulu, HI