cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / John Paul Richardson /TCU

John Paul Richardson

WR · TCU · Sr · #7

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

CAREER COMPLETETCU 2024 — college career complete

WR · TCU · BIG 12

John Paul Richardson

  • 4
  • #7
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Missouri City, TX

CFB Zeitgeist WR Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#552

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2024
1682021
5032022
5362023
7332024

+336%

Up 336% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1073 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey7
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownMissouri City, TX
Primary teamTCU

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1073 recruit
Composite rating 0.8544 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Ridge Point Missouri City, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8544 No. 1073 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination TCU 2023
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 3, 2023
Season Move Context
2023 Oklahoma State -> TCU 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#552Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#684Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8544

#1073 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on John Paul Richardson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about John Paul Richardson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the profile pops beyond receiving

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The most interesting thing about John Paul Richardson is that he shows up in multiple game states. He is a receiver first, but the profile also includes designed touches and return-game juice, which means his value is not limited to a conventional route tree.

Current place #552 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 57 2 rec TD | #78/1110 (93rd pct)
Receiving yards 733 12.9 per catch | #90/1107 (92nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 736 Total offensive yardage | #90/1107 (92nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet | All-purpose weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnetAll-purpose weapon

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
57 93rd
YDS
733 92nd
YPR
12.9 58th
TD
2 75th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
3 26th
YPC
3.0 36th
TD
0 81st

Returns

PR YDS
252 95th
PR AVG
11.0 73rd
RET TD
1 89th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oklahoma State11-2HC: Mike Gundy · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Oklahoma State7-6HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced, fast tempo
2023TCU5-7HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2024TCU9-4HC: Sonny Dykes · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024TCU5773312.92--
2023TCU4653611.73--
2022Oklahoma State4950310.34--
2021Oklahoma State231687.32--
Career4 loaded seasons1751,94011.111--
SeasonTeam
2024TCU13--2521
2023TCU312--83--
2022Oklahoma State1-1021----
2021Oklahoma State1-1------
Career4 loaded seasons64213351
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 7.7% 13.1% pass-game share | #317/1137 (72nd pct)
Return yards 252 1 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #281/1111 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 57 #78/1110 93rd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 733 #90/1107 92nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #281/1111 75th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.9 #465/1106 58th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return yards 252 #12/224 95th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 13.1% #317/1137 72nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #299/346 14th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 3 #293/397 26th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 3.0 #254/393 36th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 38 #486/1105 56th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Returns Punt returns 23 #6/237 98th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Returns Punt return avg 11.0 #60/222 73rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Returns Punt return TD 1 #4/27 89th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 9.7% #249/1137 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 8.6% #146/1137 87th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 7.8% #403/1137 65th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 7.7% #230/1137 80th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 7.7% #171/1137 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 5.6% #442/1137 61st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 1.0% #195/1137 83rd pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR
Ball Security Fumbles lost 2 #274/302 10th pct Turnoversvs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sonny Dykes

Pass share

51.9%

460 pass / 426 run

Plays / game

68.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

5.6%

340 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

2 coaches
2021
Gary Patterson
TCU
2022
Sonny Dykes
TCU
era →
2023
Sonny Dykes
TCU
2024
Sonny Dykes
TCU

Coaching transition mid-career: Gary Patterson → Sonny Dykes. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMissouri City, TX
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey7

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 TCU WR4 #552 #684 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 TCU WR4 #752 #917 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma State WR4 #716 #830 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Oklahoma State WR4 #855 #682 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Missouri City, TX
2023 TCU Big 12 WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Missouri City, TX
2022 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Missouri City, TX
2021 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 4 No. 7 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Missouri City, TX