cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / John Copenhaver /North Carolina

John Copenhaver

TE · North Carolina · Sr · #81

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSNorth Carolina 2023 alumnus

TE · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

John Copenhaver

  • 4
  • #81
  • 6-3 | 240 lb
  • Roswell, GA

CFB Zeitgeist TE Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3034

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2023
9.02021
2222022
2792023

+3000%

Up 3000% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#430 national
CFB
College
North Carolina
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class4
Jersey81
Measurements6-3 | 240 lb
HometownRoswell, GA
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 430 recruit
Composite rating 0.8870 HighSchool
Signed with North Carolina 2020
Origin Roswell Roswell, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8870 No. 430 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3034Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3047Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to North Carolina

Composite

0.8870

#430 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on John Copenhaver

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about John Copenhaver

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

John Copenhaver's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3034 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 1.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 18 4 rec TD | #124/475 (74th pct)
Receiving yards 279 15.5 per catch | #78/475 (84th pct)
Scrimmage yards 282 Total offensive yardage | #78/475 (84th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Big-play receiver against FBS receiving peers.

Big-play receiver

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
18 74th
YDS
279 84th
YPR
15.5 91st
TD
4 95th

Rushing

YDS
3 47th
TD
0 69th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Carolina6-6HC: Mack Brown · Run-leaning
2022North Carolina9-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2023North Carolina8-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2023North Carolina1827915.54--
2022North Carolina1522214.80--
2021North Carolina294.51--
Career3 loaded seasons3551014.65--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 1.4% 3.2% pass-game share | #393/468 (16th pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 4 Across offense and returns | #27/475 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 18 #124/475 74th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 279 #78/475 84th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 4 #27/475 95th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 15.5 #42/475 91st pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 3.2% #393/468 16th pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing LONG 3 #27/50 48th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Rushing Rushing yards 3 #29/53 47th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Rushing Rush TD 0 #20/62 69th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 40 #70/475 85th pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 8.0% #53/468 89th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 2.5% #301/468 36th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage Role share 1.4% #438/468 7th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 1.0% #429/468 9th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 0.0% #401/468 15th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 0.0% #400/468 15th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2022
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2023
Mack Brown
North Carolina

Played his entire career under Mack Brown.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRoswell, GA
Height6'3"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey81

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Carolina TE4 #3034 #3047 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 North Carolina TE4 #525 #560 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 North Carolina TE4 #1229 #1221 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 North Carolina TE4 #2761 #2705 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 North Carolina ACC TE 4 No. 81 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Roswell, GA
2023 North Carolina ACC TE 4 No. 81 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Roswell, GA
2022 North Carolina ACC TE 4 No. 81 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Roswell, GA
2021 North Carolina ACC TE 4 No. 81 | 6-3 | 240 lb | Roswell, GA