CFB Zeitgeist QB Score
Awaiting
Joe Milton III
Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.
Where He Ended Up · NFL
New EnglandEntering 3rd NFL season
#193Rd 6 · Pick 17
New EnglandEntering 3rd NFL season
QB · TENNESSEE · SEC
Joe Milton III
- 4
- #7
- 6-5 | 235 lb
- Pahokee, FL
Heisman Heat
#26
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 3 · RecognizedR11 · National watch / fringe AA
National watch / fringe All-America. Knocking on the All-America door.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
3 seasons on the ladder
2021
Tennessee · QB
—
★
2022
Tennessee · QB
R08 · Watch-list name
Recognized
2023
Tennessee · QB
—
NFL Draft 2024 · Rd 6, Pick 17 · #193 overall · New England
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2023+650%
Up 650% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Tennessee
NFL
NFL Draft
R6 · #193
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2018 | 4-star | 0.9202 | No. 204 recruit | HighSchool | Michigan |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2023 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 19Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Michigan
Composite
0.9202
#204 national
NFL Draft
2024 · Rd 6, Pick 17
#193 overall · New England
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Joe Milton III
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Joe Milton III
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Joe Milton III's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Tennessee, he has 2,814 passing yards and 20 touchdown passes, but he also adds 299 rushing yards and 7 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2023 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2023 season snapshot | final
2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume passer | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2023 Season · Final
2023 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
230 88th
ATT
355 87th
CMP%
64.8% 66th
Y/A
7.9 74th
Passing Production
YDS
2,814 88th
TD
20 90th
INT
5 32nd
Rushing
CAR
78 80th
YDS
299 86th
YPC
3.8 63rd
TD
7 90th
Game Log
Week-by-week box
No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Tennessee7-5HC: Josh Heupel · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2022Tennessee11-2HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
2023Tennessee9-4HC: Josh Heupel · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,814 | #46/382 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 20 | #42/407 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 230 | #48/383 | 88th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 64.8% | #133/383 | 66th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.9 | #99/382 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 299 | #60/408 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.30 | #82/200 | 60th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 71 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 15.2% | #236/428 | 45th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 355 | #54/407 | 87th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 5 | #276/407 | 32nd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 81 | #3/391 | 99th pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 78 | #83/408 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 7 | #43/408 | 90th pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.8 | #153/407 | 63rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 26.9% | #228/428 | 47th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 24.3% | #223/428 | 48th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 23.6% | #227/428 | 47th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 16.2% | #226/428 | 47th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.6% | #245/428 | 43rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.5% | #249/428 | 42nd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 6.5% | #236/428 | 45th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits
Per-game splits
Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2023
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Josh Heupel
Pass share
47.3%
437 pass / 486 run
Plays / game
71.0
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
5.4%
334 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023
1 coach2021
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2022
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
2023
Josh Heupel
Tennessee
Played his entire career under Josh Heupel.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPahokee, FL
Height6'5"
Weight235 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey7
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTennessee
ConferenceSEC
Joined2023
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.