cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jobi Malary /James Madison

Jobi Malary

RB · James Madison · Sr · #28

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

349 RUSH YDS · 4 RUSH TD · 43 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to James Madison for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to James Madison for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · James Madison

Returning around him

  • 78% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (37 in / 30 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

James Madison · Last season: 12-2 (AP #19) · Talent rank #127 · 2026 recruiting class #108

RB · JAMES MADISON · SUN BELT

Jobi Malary

  • 4
  • #28
  • 5-11 | 236 lb
  • Gresham, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

58

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 99th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#1311

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
James Madison
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey28
Measurements5-11 | 236 lb
HometownGresham, OR
Primary teamJames Madison

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#1311Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#1122Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jobi Malary

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

50

Mixed Sentiment

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "From Portland State to James Madison: How Jobi Malary’s journey led back to Oreg"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jobi Malary

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the rushing totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 8g
349Rush yards
43Carries
4Rush TDs
Per game
43.6Rush yards
5Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
567.1Rush yards
70Carries
6Rush TDs

To hit 750-yard season (currently 349): needs 80.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 349): needs 130.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 349): needs 230.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 1.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 2.2/game over remaining 5.

To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 4): needs 3.2/game over remaining 5.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jobi Malary's story is about how role and output meet each other. For James Madison, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #1311 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 7.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 349 349 rush | -- rec | #234/735 (68th pct)
Rush TD 4 43 carries | #154/739 (79th pct)
Yards/carry 8.1 Per-rush efficiency | #25/735 (97th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Efficient runner against FBS RB peers.

Efficient runner

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
43 55th
YDS
349 68th
YPC
8.1 97th
TD
4 79th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 8 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-10vs Weber State5316.2016
Wk 8W 63-27vs Old Dominion111.001
Wk 10W 52-20@ Texas State3103.3011
Wk 12W 58-10vs App State810513.13593 rushing TDs
Wk 13W 24-20vs Washington State6172.8011
Wk 14W 59-10@ Coastal Carolina1215412.8173Season-high 154 yds
Wk 15W 31-14vs Troy6254.207
BowlL 34-51@ Oregon263.005
Total433495.8473
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025James Madison12-2HC: Bob Chesney · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025James Madison433498.14--
Career1 loaded season433498.14--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work -- -- rec yds
Usage 7.3% 12.6% rush share | #416/738 (44th pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.26 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #15/362 (96th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 349 #234/735 68th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #154/739 79th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 8.1 #25/735 97th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.26 #15/362 96th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 40 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 7.3% #416/738 44th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 73 #44/733 94th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 43 #333/739 55th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 12.6% #407/738 45th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 9.2% #370/738 50th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.2% #421/738 43rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 7.6% #438/738 41st pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 5.2% #432/738 42nd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 2.9% #574/738 22nd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 0.0% #564/738 24th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 8 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home5g35.85.50.6
Road3g56.76.40.3

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins7g49.06.20.6
Losses1g6.03.00.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-72g18.54.60.0
Weeks 8+6g52.06.20.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

58Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: yards / carry (98th). Strength: long run (87th). Concern: carries (3rd).

Yards / carry#4 / 349 · 99th pct
8.1rush
Long run#40 / 349 · 88th pct
73rush
Rush TDs#153 / 349 · 50th pct
4rush
Rush yards#234 / 349 · 33rd pct
349rush
Carries#334 / 349 · 4th pct
43rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_rushing0.26Elite (≥p90) (n=178)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jobi MalaryJames MadisonDaylan SmothersNC State· 55% simJevon JacksonUAB· 54% simAlex TeczaNavy· 53% sim
Yards / carry
99
Malary
84
Smothers
68
Jackson
79
Tecza
Long run
88
Malary
78
Smothers
70
Jackson
91
Tecza
Rush TDs
50
Malary
72
Smothers
62
Jackson
89
Tecza
Rush yards
33
Malary
86
Smothers
85
Jackson
85
Tecza
Carries
4
Malary
84
Smothers
85
Jackson
83
Tecza

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Speed Merchant

Cuts upfield fast. Designed to find the crease, not run through the line.

RB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jahmyl Jeter’s 2020 season.

Jahmyl Jeter

37%match

Texas State · 2020

#2

DeWayne McBride

UAB · 2020

NFL Rd 7
29%
#3

Kendre Miller

TCU · 2021

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 8
36%
#4

Byron Cardwell

Oregon · 2021

34%
#5

Braylen Russell

Arkansas · 2024

32%

Matches Jahmyl on

Class year
Weight

Differs from Jahmyl on

Rush TD rate (higher)
Yards / carry (higher)
Height (lower)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Michael Carter’s path through North Carolina.

Michael Carter

98%match

North Carolina · 2020

#2

Jake Funk

Maryland · 2020

All-Big TenNFL Rd 7
87%
#3

Eden James

Howard · 2025

75%
#4

Trey Sermon

Ohio State · 2020

All-Big TenNFL Rd 3 · Pk 25
75%
#5

Khalil Herbert

Virginia Tech · 2020

All-ACCNFL Rd 6
67%

Matches Michael on

Yards per carry

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Ja'Quinden Jackson's sophomore season at Utah (2022).

Ja'Quinden Jackson

48%match

Utah · 2022

#2

Kendre Miller

TCU · 2021

All-Big 12NFL Rd 3 · Pk 8
42%
#3

Tahj Brooks

Texas Tech · 2021

NFL Rd 6
40%
#4

Lee Beebe

UAB · 2023

38%
#5

Jalen White

Georgia Southern · 2021

All-Sun Belt
38%

Matches Ja'Quinden on

Weight

Differs from Ja'Quinden on

Height (lower)
Yards / carry (higher)
Rush TD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bob Chesney

Pass share

39.7%

385 pass / 584 run

Plays / game

69.2

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

269 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Bob Chesney
James Madison

Played his entire career under Bob Chesney.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownGresham, OR
Height5'11"
Weight236 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey28

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 James Madison RB4 #1311 #1122 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 James Madison Sun Belt RB 4 No. 28 | 5-11 | 236 lb | Gresham, OR
2024 James Madison Sun Belt RB 4 No. 28 | 5-11 | 236 lb | Gresham, OR