cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / JJ Hawkins /Southern Miss

JJ Hawkins

DL · Southern Miss · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

21 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Southern Miss for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Southern Miss

Returning around him

  • 52% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +9 net (37 in / 28 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Southern Miss · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #83 · 2026 recruiting class #105

DL · SOUTHERN MISS · SUN BELT

JJ Hawkins

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-2 | 280 lb
  • Lawrenceville, GA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

56

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#10649

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#756 national
CFB
College
4 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-2 | 280 lb
HometownLawrenceville, GA
Primary teamSouthern Miss

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 756 recruit
Composite rating 0.8663 HighSchool
Signed with Ole Miss 2021
Origin Discovery Lawrenceville, GA, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8663 No. 756 recruit | HighSchool | Ole Miss

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#10649Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10969Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Ole Miss

Composite

0.8663

#756 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on JJ Hawkins

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about JJ Hawkins

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
21Tackles
5.5Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Projected (13g)
27Tackles
7.2Tackles for loss
3.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 21): needs 19.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 21): needs 26.3/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 1/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 2.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

JJ Hawkins is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Southern Miss's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 5.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #10649 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 21 8 solo | #1929/4942 (61st pct)
TFL 5.5 Backfield disruption | #477/4972 (90th pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
21 61st
SOLO
8 50th
TFL
5.5 90th
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
6 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 17-34vs Mississippi State621.51.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 2W 38-20vs Jackson State111.00.00
Wk 3W 38-22vs App State200.00.00
Wk 4L 20-30@ Louisiana Tech311.00.00
Wk 5W 42-25vs Jacksonville State531.01.00
Wk 7W 38-35@ Georgia Southern111.01.00
Wk 9W 49-21vs UL Monroe000.00.00
Wk 11W 27-21@ Arkansas State100.00.00
Wk 13L 35-42@ South Alabama200.00.00
BowlL 16-27vs Western Kentucky1
Total2185.53.010
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Ole Miss8-5HC: Lane Kiffin · Run-heavy, fast tempo
2023Colorado4-8HC: Deion Sanders · Pass-leaning
2024Marshall10-3HC: Charles Huff · Run-leaning
2025Southern Miss7-6HC: Charles Huff · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Southern Miss2185.53.0--1--
2024Marshall2242.01.03----
2023Colorado530.00.0------
2022Ole Miss111.01.0------
Career4 loaded seasons49168.55.031--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 6 Quarterback hurries | #117/1878 (94th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 21 #1929/4942 61st pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 5.5 #477/4972 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 6 #117/1878 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return avg 10.0 #361/578 38th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense INT return yards 10 #411/578 29th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 8 #2283/4584 50th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g2.30.60.30.0
Road4g1.80.50.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.70.50.30.0
Losses4g2.80.60.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g2.60.80.40.0
Weeks 8+3g1.00.00.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

56Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (94th). Strength: sacks (88th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

QB hurries#117 / 2975 · 95th pct
6defe
Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#477 / 2975 · 83rd pct
5.5defe
Tackles#1929 / 2975 · 34th pct
21defe
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Solo tackles#2282 / 2975 · 21st pct
8defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
JJ HawkinsSouthern MissMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 63% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 61% simDaniel WingateMaryland· 59% sim
QB hurries
95
Hawkins
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
72
Wingate
Sacks
89
Hawkins
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
74
Wingate
Tackles for loss
83
Hawkins
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
87
Wingate
Tackles
34
Hawkins
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
98
Wingate
Interceptions
31
Hawkins
31
Parker
31
Wesloski
31
Wingate
Solo tackles
21
Hawkins
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Wingate
Passes defended
18
Hawkins
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Wingate

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Branson Deen’s 2023 season.

Branson Deen

90%match

Miami · 2023

#2

Devin Morgan

Buffalo · 2025

89%
#3

C.J. Wright

Georgia Southern · 2021

88%
#4

T.J. Jackson

Troy · 2022

All-Sun Belt
88%
#5

Eriq Kitchen

Southern Miss · 2021

88%

Matches Branson on

TFL rate
Height
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to DeSean Brown's senior season at Oklahoma State (2025).

DeSean Brown

75%match

Oklahoma State · 2025

#2

Anthony Holmes Jr.

Texas Tech · 2025

73%
#3

Grayson Murphy

UCLA · 2023

73%
#4

Jahzon Jacks

Fresno State · 2025

65%
#5

Santana Hopper

Tulane · 2025

All-Sun Belt
60%

Matches DeSean on

Class year
Height
Weight

Differs from DeSean on

Sack rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Charles Huff

Pass share

49.9%

454 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

70.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.3%

315 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2023
Will Hall
Southern Miss
2024
Reed Stringer
Southern Miss
era →
2025
Charles Huff
Southern Miss
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Will Hall, Reed Stringer, and Charles Huff. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLawrenceville, GA
Height6'2"
Weight280 lb
Class3
PositionDL
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Marshall DL3 #10649 #10969 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Colorado DL3 #14172 #14251 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Ole Miss DL3 #10053 #9889 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Southern Miss Sun Belt DL 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 280 lb | Lawrenceville, GA
2024 Marshall Sun Belt DL 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 280 lb | Lawrenceville, GA
2023 Colorado Pac-12 DL 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 280 lb | Lawrenceville, GA
2022 Ole Miss SEC DL 3 No. 5 | 6-2 | 280 lb | Lawrenceville, GA