CFB Zeitgeist Score
42
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 78th percentile.
Jaylon Guilbeau
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
40 TACKLES · 0 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Texas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive back · Texas
Returning around him
- 28% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 6 Texas players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -6 net (22 in / 28 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Texas · Last season: 10-3 (AP #14) · Talent rank #4 · 2026 recruiting class #1
DB · TEXAS · SEC
Jaylon Guilbeau
- 4
- #3
- 6-0 | 183 lb
- Port Arthur, TX
Heisman Heat
#2105
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Texas
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 4-star | 0.9365 | No. 160 recruit | HighSchool | Texas |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Texas
Composite
0.9365
#160 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jaylon Guilbeau
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jaylon Guilbeau
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 11g
40Tackles
1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
47Tackles
1.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 40): needs 20/game over remaining 2.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 40): needs 30/game over remaining 2.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 3/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 5/game over remaining 2.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jaylon Guilbeau is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Texas's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 1.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
40 82nd
SOLO
22 80th
TFL
1.0 59th
SACK
0.0 65th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
3 76th
INT
1 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-14@ Ohio State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 2 | W 38-7vs San José State | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Wk 3 | W 27-10vs UTEP | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 55-0vs Sam Houston | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 6 | L 21-29@ Florida | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 23-6vs Oklahoma | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 8 | W 16-13@ Kentucky | 6 | 4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 9 | W 45-38@ Mississippi State | 9 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | Season-high 9 tackles |
| Wk 10 | W 34-31vs Vanderbilt | 6 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-35@ Georgia | 4 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 52-37vs Arkansas | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 40 | 22 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 3 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Texas8-5HC: Steve Sarkisian · Run-leaning
2023Texas12-2HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Texas10-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 40 | #906/4942 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 1.0 | #2051/4972 | 59th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.0 | #1762/4972 | 65th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 1 | #308/869 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 3 | #521/2184 | 76th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 22 | #902/4584 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 2.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Road5g | 5.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins8g | 3.8 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Losses3g | 3.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 5.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort
42Mid-pack
Concern: qb hurries (22nd).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jaylon GuilbeauTexasTyler MartinMassachusetts· 81% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 79% simBrevin HamblinUtah State· 72% sim
Passes defended
Tackles
Solo tackles
Interceptions
Tackles for loss
Sacks
QB hurries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Hybrid Nickel
Moves between deep coverage and the slot — the modern positionless DB.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Gavin Gibson’s 2025 season.
Gavin Gibson
92%match
#2
Jerrin Thompson
89%
#3
Chester Kimbrough
90%
#4
Jack Kane
88%
#5
Jalen Ware
86%
Matches Gavin on
Class year
Height
PD rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Gavin Gibson's senior season at North Carolina (2025).
Gavin Gibson
94%match
#2
Jack Kane
88%
#3
Quinton Newsome
88%
#4
Kanion Williams
88%
#5
Jordan Huff
88%
Matches Gavin on
Class year
Height
Weight
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Steve Sarkisian
Pass share
50.2%
419 pass / 415 run
Plays / game
64.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
288 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
1 coach2022
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2023
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2024
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2025
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
Played his entire career under Steve Sarkisian.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownPort Arthur, TX
Height6'0"
Weight183 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey3
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.