CFB Zeitgeist Score
29
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 71st percentile.
Jaylen Jenkins
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
170 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 31 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Texas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Texas State
Returning around him
- 93% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
- Transfer portal: -4 net (17 in / 21 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Texas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #76 · 2026 recruiting class #101
RB · TEXAS STATE · SUN BELT
Jaylen Jenkins
- 3
- #5
- 5-8 | 175 lb
- Allen, TX
Heisman Heat
#3363
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2022–2025-57%
Sharp dropoff (-57%) — career inflection point.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8478 | No. 1322 recruit | HighSchool | Washington State |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Washington State
Composite
0.8478
#1322 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jaylen Jenkins
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jaylen Jenkins
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 11g
170Rush yards
31Carries
2Rush TDs
Per game
15.5Rush yards
3Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
200.9Rush yards
37Carries
2Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 170): needs 290/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 170): needs 415/game over remaining 2.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 170): needs 665/game over remaining 2.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 4/game over remaining 2.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 6.5/game over remaining 2.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 9/game over remaining 2.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jaylen Jenkins is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 170 rushing yards, 1 catches, and 622 return yards for Texas State. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
31 48th
YDS
170 51st
YPC
5.5 74th
TD
2 67th
Receiving
REC
1 16th
YDS
5 10th
YPR
5.0 26th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 11 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 52-27vs Eastern Michigan | 5 | 74 | 14.8 | 1 | 58 | Season-high 74 yds |
| Wk 2 | W 43-36@ UTSA | 7 | 52 | 7.4 | 1 | 24 | |
| Wk 3 | L 15-34@ Arizona State | 4 | 14 | 3.5 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 4 | W 35-3vs Nicholls | 9 | 18 | 2.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | L 30-31@ Arkansas State | 3 | 9 | 3.0 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 7 | L 41-48vs Troy | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 37-40@ Marshall | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 10 | L 20-52vs James Madison | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 11 | L 39-42@ Louisiana | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 14 | W 49-26vs South Alabama | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Bowl | W 41-10vs Rice | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 31 | 170 | 5.3 | 2 | 58 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2022Washington State7-6HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning
2023Washington State5-7HC: Jake Dickert · Pass-leaning
2025Texas State7-6HC: G.J. Kinne · Run-heavy
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 31 | 170 | 5.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Washington State | 20 | 62 | 3.1 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Washington State | 67 | 395 | 5.9 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 118 | 627 | 5.3 | 3 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Washington State | 6 | 61 | 10.2 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Washington State | 13 | 98 | 7.5 | 2 | -- |
| Career | 3 loaded seasons | 20 | 164 | 8.2 | 2 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 170 | #361/735 | 51st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.5 | #192/735 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 1 | #467/552 | 16th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 5 | #495/548 | 10th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 7.7% | #395/738 | 47th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 58 | #112/733 | 85th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 31 | #383/739 | 48th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 5 | #482/540 | 11th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.0 | #406/548 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 622 | #1/200 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 27.0 | #18/199 | 91st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 23 | #2/206 | 100th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return TD | 1 | #3/14 | 86th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 12.2% | #417/738 | 44th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 10.3% | #348/738 | 53rd pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.8% | #389/738 | 47th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 8.7% | #393/738 | 47th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 5.3% | #443/738 | 40th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 1.3% | #615/738 | 17th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 0.6% | #547/738 | 26th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 11 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 15.8 | 5.9 | 0.2 |
| Road5g | 15.0 | 4.6 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 29.4 | 6.3 | 0.4 |
| Losses6g | 3.8 | 3.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 24.3 | 5.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+4g | — | — | — |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
29Below cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jaylen JenkinsTexas StateJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 55% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 48% simQuinton JacksonRice· 48% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Rec yards
Receptions
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
G.J. Kinne
Pass share
39.5%
358 pass / 549 run
Plays / game
69.8
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.4%
267 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-heavy.
Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025
2 coaches2022
Jake Spavital
Texas State
2023era →
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
2025
G.J. Kinne
Texas State
Coaching transition mid-career: Jake Spavital → G.J. Kinne. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownAllen, TX
Height5'8"
Weight175 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamTexas State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Texas State | RB3 | #3363 | #3417 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Washington State | RB3 | #1853 | #1988 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Pac-12 |
| 2022 | Washington State | RB3 | #743 | #836 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Pac-12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Texas State | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Allen, TX |
| 2024 | Texas State | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Allen, TX |
| 2023 | Washington State | Pac-12 | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Allen, TX |
| 2022 | Washington State | Pac-12 | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-8 | 175 lb | Allen, TX |