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OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaydon Blue /Texas

Jaydon Blue

RB · Texas · Jr · #23

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLDallas — drafted 2025, Rd 5, Pick 12, #149 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

DallasEntering 2nd NFL season

#149Rd 5 · Pick 12
DallasEntering 2nd NFL season

RB · TEXAS · SEC

Jaydon Blue

  • 3
  • #23
  • 6-0 | 200 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist RB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#27

1.1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

1.1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

3 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R08 Watch-list name · 2024

2022

Texas · RB

2023

Texas · RB

2024

Texas · RB

R08 · Watch-list name

Recognized

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 5, Pick 12 · #149 overall · Dallas

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2022–2024
33.02022
3982023
7302024

+2112%

Up 2112% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#195 national
CFB
College
Texas
2022–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R5 · #149
Dallas · 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class3
Jersey23
Measurements6-0 | 200 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamTexas

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 195 recruit
Composite rating 0.9226 HighSchool
Signed with Texas 2022
Origin Klein Cain Houston, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 4-star | 0.9226 No. 195 recruit | HighSchool | Texas

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#27Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#20Where the full season sim points
Win probability1.1%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability47.2%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Texas

Composite

0.9226

#195 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 5, Pick 12

#149 overall · Dallas

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaydon Blue

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaydon Blue

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is more than a rushing profile

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaydon Blue is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 730 rushing yards, 42 catches, and 0 return yards for Texas. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.

Current place #27 1.1% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 17.1% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 195 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 1,098 730 rush | 368 rec | #84/735 (89th pct)
Rush TD 8 134 carries | #51/739 (93rd pct)
Yards/carry 5.4 Per-rush efficiency | #206/735 (72nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Workhorse | Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.

WorkhorsePassing-game back

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
134 88th
YDS
730 89th
YPC
5.4 72nd
TD
8 93rd

Receiving

REC
42 99th
YDS
368 98th
YPR
8.8 68th
TD
6 100th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Texas8-5HC: Steve Sarkisian · Run-leaning
2023Texas12-2HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced
2024Texas13-3HC: Steve Sarkisian · Balanced, fast tempo
SeasonTeam
2024Texas1347305.48--
2023Texas653986.13--
2022Texas15332.20--
Career3 loaded seasons2141,1615.411--
SeasonTeam
2024Texas423688.86--
2023Texas141359.61--
2022Texas----------
Career3 loaded seasons565039.07--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 42 368 rec yds | #5/552 (99th pct)
Usage 17.1% 25.5% rush share | #129/738 (83rd pct)
Rushing WEPA +0.22 Opponent-adjusted rush value | #43/362 (88th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 730 #84/735 89th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 8 #51/739 93rd pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 5.4 #206/735 72nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 42 #5/552 99th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 368 #12/548 98th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.22 #43/362 88th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 142 weighted playsvs FBS RB
Usage Role share 17.1% #129/738 83rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 134 #89/739 88th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 77 #31/733 96th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 45 #55/540 90th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 8.8 #175/548 68th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 6 #2/552 100th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 25.5% #173/738 77th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 19.7% #100/738 87th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 18.4% #166/738 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 18.4% #157/738 79th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.4% #75/738 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.1% #167/738 78th pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 9.2% #42/738 94th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #250/256 3rd pct Turnoversvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Steve Sarkisian

Pass share

50.2%

419 pass / 415 run

Plays / game

64.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

288 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2024

1 coach
2022
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2023
Steve Sarkisian
Texas
2024
Steve Sarkisian
Texas

Played his entire career under Steve Sarkisian.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height6'0"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey23

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas RB3 #27 #20 1.1% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Texas RB3 #171 #125 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Texas RB3 #1689 #1392 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Texas SEC RB 3 No. 23 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Houston, TX
2023 Texas Big 12 RB 3 No. 23 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Houston, TX
2022 Texas Big 12 RB 3 No. 23 | 6-0 | 200 lb | Houston, TX