cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jayden Wilson /UTEP

Jayden Wilson

LB · UTEP · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

92 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UTEP for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UTEP for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · UTEP

Returning around him

  • 100% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (21 in / 20 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UTEP · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #101 · 2026 recruiting class #70

LB · UTEP · CONFERENCE USA

Jayden Wilson

  • 3
  • #10
  • 6-1 | 218 lb
  • El Paso, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

62

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by tackles for loss at the 93rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#15497

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements6-1 | 218 lb
HometownEl Paso, TX
Primary teamUTEP

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UTEP 2025
Transfer stars 2-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 2, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 New Mexico -> UTEP 2-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#15497Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#15626Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jayden Wilson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Wilson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
92Tackles
8Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
8Tackles
0.7Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
100Tackles
8.7Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks

✓ Hit 80-tackle season · finished with 92.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 92): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 5.5/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 9.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jayden Wilson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UTEP's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 8.0 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #15497 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 92 35 solo | #77/4942 (98th pct)
TFL 8.0 Backfield disruption | #198/4972 (96th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
92 98th
SOLO
35 92nd
TFL
8.0 96th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
6 94th

Coverage & Takeaways

INT
1 65th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 16-28@ Utah State540.00.00
Wk 2W 42-17vs UT Martin210.00.00
Wk 3L 10-27@ Texas841.50.00
Wk 4L 25-31vs UL Monroe822.00.00
Wk 5L 11-30vs Louisiana Tech921.00.50
Wk 7L 8-19vs Liberty1652.00.00Season-high 16 tackles
Wk 8W 35-17@ Sam Houston520.00.00
Wk 10L 20-33@ Kennesaw State950.50.010
Wk 11L 27-30vs Jacksonville State510.50.00
Wk 12L 24-38@ Missouri State530.50.00
Wk 13L 31-34vs New Mexico State1040.00.00
Wk 14L 31-61@ Delaware1020.00.00
Total92358.00.510
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023New Mexico4-8HC: Danny Gonzales · Run-leaning
2025UTEP2-10HC: Scotty Walden · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025UTEP92358.00.5--1--
2023New Mexico930.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons101388.00.5--1--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT 1 0 pick-six TD | #308/869 (65th pct)
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 6 Quarterback hurries | #117/1878 (94th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 92 #77/4942 98th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.0 #198/4972 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Interceptions 1 #308/869 65th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 6 #117/1878 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 35 #353/4584 92nd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home6g8.30.90.10.0
Road6g7.00.40.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins2g3.50.00.00.0
Losses10g8.50.80.10.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g8.01.10.10.0
Weeks 8+6g7.30.20.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

62Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: tackles (97th). Strength: qb hurries (94th). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Tackles#77 / 2975 · 97th pct
92defe
QB hurries#117 / 2975 · 95th pct
6defe
Tackles for loss#198 / 2975 · 93rd pct
8.0defe
Solo tackles#353 / 2975 · 88th pct
35defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Interceptions#304 / 817 · 31st pct
1inte
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jayden WilsonUTEPMicah DaveyUTEP· 92% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 91% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 89% sim
Tackles
97
Wilson
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
98
Parker
QB hurries
95
Wilson
82
Davey
95
Wesloski
88
Parker
Tackles for loss
93
Wilson
91
Davey
95
Wesloski
87
Parker
Solo tackles
88
Wilson
99
Davey
99
Wesloski
96
Parker
Sacks
51
Wilson
63
Davey
74
Wesloski
80
Parker
Forced fumbles
47
Wilson
47
Davey
47
Wesloski
47
Parker
Interceptions
31
Wilson
31
Wesloski
31
Parker
Passes defended
18
Wilson
18
Davey
18
Wesloski
18
Parker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Every-Down Linebacker

Leads the team in tackles and rarely leaves the field.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Michael Batton’s 2024 season.

Michael Batton

84%match

Houston · 2024

#2

Charles Willekes

Arkansas State · 2023

83%
#3

Marvin Pierre

Kent State · 2022

83%
#4

Mark Robinson

Ole Miss · 2021

NFL Rd 7
83%
#5

Dequan Jackson

Colorado State · 2021

82%

Matches Michael on

Weight
Height
TFL rate

Differs from Michael on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Taye Brown's junior season at Arizona (2025).

Taye Brown

86%match

Arizona · 2025

All-Big 12
#2

Bronson Olevao

Utah State · 2025

82%
#3

Leon Hart Jr.

Florida Atlantic · 2025

79%
#4

Maverick Baranowski

Minnesota · 2025

78%
#5

Mikel Jones

Syracuse · 2022

78%

Matches Taye on

TFL rate
PD rate
Sack rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Scotty Walden

Pass share

52.4%

410 pass / 372 run

Plays / game

65.2

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

342 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

2 coaches
2023
Dana Dimel
UTEP
2025
Scotty Walden
UTEP
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Dana Dimel → Scotty Walden. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownEl Paso, TX
Height6'1"
Weight218 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 New Mexico LB3 #15497 #15626 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 New Mexico LB3 #15379 #15490 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UTEP Conference USA LB 3 No. 10 | 6-1 | 218 lb | El Paso, TX
2024 New Mexico Mountain West LB 3 No. 10 | 6-1 | 218 lb | El Paso, TX
2023 New Mexico Mountain West LB 3 No. 10 | 6-1 | 218 lb | El Paso, TX