cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jayden Wayne /California

Jayden Wayne

LB · California · Jr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

26 TACKLES · 3 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to California for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to California for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Linebacker · California

Returning around him

  • 22% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 California player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -4 net (32 in / 36 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

California · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #36 · 2026 recruiting class #69

LB · CALIFORNIA · ACC

Jayden Wayne

  • 3
  • #10
  • 6-5 | 255 lb
  • Tacoma, WA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

66

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 89th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#11067

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP LB AWARD

Butkus

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#80 national
CFB
College
3 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionLB
Class3
Jersey10
Measurements6-5 | 255 lb
HometownTacoma, WA
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 80 recruit
Composite rating 0.9600 HighSchool
Signed with Miami 2023
Origin IMG Academy Bradenton, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 4-star | 0.9600 No. 80 recruit | HighSchool | Miami

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#11067Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#10962Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Miami

Composite

0.9600

#80 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jayden Wayne

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Wayne

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
26Tackles
4.5Tackles for loss
3Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.4Tackles for loss
0.2Sacks
Projected (13g)
28Tackles
4.9Tackles for loss
3.2Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 26): needs 54/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 26): needs 74/game over remaining 1.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 3): needs 3/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 3): needs 7/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jayden Wayne is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on California's defense, with 3.0 sacks, 4.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #11067 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 80 recruit

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 26 9 solo | #1609/4942 (67th pct)
TFL 4.5 Backfield disruption | #648/4972 (87th pct)
Sacks 3.0 Pass-rush finish | #292/4972 (94th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
26 67th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
4.5 87th
SACK
3.0 94th
QBH
5 90th

Coverage & Takeaways

FF
1 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 34-15@ Oregon State201.00.50
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern100.00.00
Wk 4L 0-34@ San Diego State110.00.00
Wk 5W 28-24@ Boston College100.00.00
Wk 6L 21-45vs Duke311.51.00
Wk 8W 21-18vs North Carolina400.00.00Season-high 4 tackles
Wk 9L 34-42@ Virginia Tech321.01.00
Wk 10L 21-31vs Virginia301.00.50
Wk 11W 29-26@ Louisville330.00.00
Wk 13L 10-31@ Stanford420.00.00
Wk 14W 38-35vs SMU
BowlL 31-35@ Hawai'i100.00.00
Total2694.53.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024Washington6-7HC: Jedd Fisch · Balanced
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California2694.53.0----1
2024Washington640.00.01----
2023Miami1340.50.5------
Career3 loaded seasons45175.03.51--1
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 5 Quarterback hurries | #188/1878 (90th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 26 #1609/4942 67th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 4.5 #648/4972 87th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.0 #292/4972 94th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 5 #188/1878 90th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Forced fumbles 1 #8/45 84th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Butkus award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g2.20.50.30.0
Road7g2.10.30.20.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.80.20.10.0
Losses6g2.50.60.40.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g1.50.40.20.0
Weeks 8+6g2.80.30.20.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the LB cohort

66Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: forced fumbles (96th). Strength: qb hurries (92nd). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Forced fumbles#8 / 687 · 97th pct
1fumb
QB hurries#188 / 2975 · 92nd pct
5defe
Sacks#291 / 2975 · 89th pct
3.0defe
Tackles for loss#648 / 2975 · 77th pct
4.5defe
Tackles#1609 / 2975 · 45th pct
26defe
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · LB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jayden WayneCaliforniaMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 62% simMaverick BaranowskiMinnesota· 61% simOumar DiomandeUConn· 60% sim
Forced fumbles
97
Wayne
47
Parker
QB hurries
92
Wayne
88
Parker
82
Baranowski
92
Diomande
Sacks
89
Wayne
80
Parker
89
Baranowski
96
Diomande
Tackles for loss
77
Wayne
87
Parker
95
Baranowski
93
Diomande
Tackles
45
Wayne
98
Parker
98
Baranowski
99
Diomande
Solo tackles
26
Wayne
96
Parker
98
Baranowski
100
Diomande
Passes defended
18
Wayne
18
Parker
48
Baranowski
48
Diomande

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Thumper

Downhill striker who fills the run lane and blitzes off the edge.

LB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to John Pius’s 2024 season.

John Pius

75%match

Wisconsin · 2024

#2

Robert Beal Jr.

Georgia · 2022

NFL Rd 5
69%
#3

Deshawn Holt

Maryland · 2021

69%
#4

Demon Clowney

Charlotte · 2024

All-AAC
68%
#5

Andre Jones

Louisiana · 2022

68%

Matches John on

Tackle volume
Sack rate
Weight

Differs from John on

Height (higher)
Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Da'Shawn Womack's junior season at Ole Miss (2025).

Da'Shawn Womack

85%match

Ole Miss · 2025

#2

Vontroy Malone

Tulsa · 2024

80%
#3

James Williams

Florida State · 2025

79%
#4

A.J. Hoffler

Georgia Tech · 2025

78%
#5

Fadil Diggs

Texas A&M · 2022

NFL Rd 7
75%

Matches Da'Shawn on

Class year
Tackle volume
TFL rate

Differs from Da'Shawn on

Sack rate (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTacoma, WA
Height6'5"
Weight255 lb
Class3
PositionLB
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Washington LB3 #11067 #10962 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Miami LB3 #10301 #10101 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC LB 3 No. 10 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Tacoma, WA
2024 Washington Big Ten LB 3 No. 10 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Tacoma, WA
2023 Miami ACC LB 3 No. 10 | 6-5 | 255 lb | Tacoma, WA