CFB Zeitgeist Score
76
All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 97th percentile.
Jayden Virgin
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
56 TACKLES · 6 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Boise State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Edge · Boise State
Returning around him
- 58% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- 1 Boise State player drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: -8 net (11 in / 19 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Boise State · Last season: 9-5 (AP #25) · Talent rank #81 · 2026 recruiting class #62
EDGE · BOISE STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Jayden Virgin
- 3
- #5
- 6-3 | 253 lb
- San Diego, CA
Heisman Heat
#8068
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DEFENSE AWARD
Nagurski
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Boise State
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 | 3-star | 0.8593 | No. 1022 recruit | HighSchool |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to —
Composite
0.8593
#1022 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jayden Virgin
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Virgin
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 14g
56Tackles
13Tackles for loss
6Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.9Tackles for loss
0.4Sacks
Final
56Tackles
13Tackles for loss
6Sacks
✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jayden Virgin is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Boise State's defense, with 6.0 sacks, 13.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
56 91st
SOLO
27 86th
TFL
13.0 99th
SACK
6.0 99th
QBH
12 99th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 14 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-34@ South Florida | 8 | 2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | — | 0 | Season-high 8 tackles |
| Wk 2 | W 51-14vs Eastern Washington | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 4 | W 49-37@ Air Force | 4 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | W 47-14vs App State | 6 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 6 | L 7-28@ Notre Dame | 2 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-25vs New Mexico | 6 | 5 | 3.5 | 1.0 | — | 0 | 3.5 TFL |
| Wk 8 | W 56-31vs UNLV | 4 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 9 | W 24-3@ Nevada | 3 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 10 | L 7-30vs Fresno State | 8 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 12 | L 7-17@ San Diego State | 1 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | W 49-21vs Colorado State | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | W 25-24@ Utah State | 4 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 15 | W 38-21vs UNLV | 2 | 1 | 1.0 | 1.0 | — | 0 | |
| Bowl | L 10-38@ Washington | 4 | 3 | 3.0 | 2.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 56 | 27 | 13.0 | 6.0 | — | 0 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Boise State8-6HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-heavy
2025Boise State9-5HC: Spencer Danielson · Run-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | 56 | 27 | 13.0 | 6.0 | -- | -- | -- |
| 2023 | Boise State | 23 | 11 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 3 | -- | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 79 | 38 | 15.5 | 6.0 | 3 | -- | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 56 | #468/4942 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 13.0 | #42/4972 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 6.0 | #74/4972 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 12 | #11/1878 | 99th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 27 | #649/4584 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Fumbles recovered | 1 | #103/736 | 86th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/773 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 14 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 4.3 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 3.7 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins9g | 3.7 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Losses5g | 4.6 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Weeks 8+7g | 3.6 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort
76All-Conference
Elite: qb hurries (99th). Strength: tackles for loss (98th). Concern: passes defended (17th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jayden VirginBoise StateMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 88% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 86% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 84% sim
QB hurries
Tackles for loss
Sacks
Tackles
Solo tackles
Forced fumbles
Passes defended
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Versatile End
Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.
EDGE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jereme Robinson’s 2022 season.
Jereme Robinson
86%match
#2
D'Andre Ragin
85%
#3
Uchenna Ezewike
84%
#4
Praise Amaewhule
All-Conference USA
83%
#5
Justin Reed
All-AAC
82%
Matches Jereme on
Sack rate
TFL rate
Class year
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Mi'Quise Grace's junior season at Kentucky (2025).
Mi'Quise Grace
87%match
#2
Langston Hardy
86%
#3
Justin Ellis
All-Sun Belt
85%
#4
Lamondre Brooks
85%
#5
MJ Anderson
84%
Matches Mi'Quise on
Class year
Weight
TFL rate
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Spencer Danielson
Pass share
46.6%
472 pass / 540 run
Plays / game
72.3
14 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.4%
358 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
2025
Spencer Danielson
Boise State
Played his entire career under Spencer Danielson.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSan Diego, CA
Height6'3"
Weight253 lb
Class3
PositionEDGE
Jersey5
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamBoise State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc4 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Boise State | EDGE3 | #8068 | #7863 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2023 | Boise State | EDGE3 | #9812 | #9931 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Mountain West |
| 2022 | Boise State | EDGE3 | #10024 | #9649 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Mountain West |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Boise State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 253 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2024 | Boise State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 253 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2023 | Boise State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 253 lb | San Diego, CA |
| 2022 | Boise State | Mountain West | EDGE | 3 | No. 5 | 6-3 | 253 lb | San Diego, CA |