CFB Zeitgeist Score
43
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 79th percentile.
Jayden Limar
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
262 RUSH YDS · 3 RUSH TD · 46 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to Washington
2025Oregon
2026Washington
RB · OREGON · BIG TEN
Jayden Limar
- 3
- #27
- 5-11 | 205 lb
- Lake Stevens, WA
Heisman Heat
#482
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR06 · Starter
Starter. A locked-in starting role.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025+140%
Up 140% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
Oregon
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 4-star | 0.9050 | No. 297 recruit | HighSchool | Oregon |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Oregon -> Washington | 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate |
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Oregon
Composite
0.9050
#297 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jayden Limar
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
50
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=3
- Rivals · n=2
- National · n=1
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Limar
Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 8g
262Rush yards
46Carries
3Rush TDs
Per game
32.8Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
425.8Rush yards
75Carries
5Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 262): needs 97.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 262): needs 147.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 262): needs 247.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 2.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 3): needs 3.4/game over remaining 5.
Why this is more than a rushing profile
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jayden Limar is not a one-lane back. The profile is interesting because the workload spills beyond pure rushing volume: 262 rushing yards, 11 catches, and 15 return yards for Oregon. That kind of all-purpose footprint gives the card a much richer story than a basic carry total.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
46 56th
YDS
262 61st
YPC
5.7 79th
TD
3 73rd
Receiving
REC
11 65th
YDS
75 61st
YPR
6.8 48th
TD
0 70th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 59-13vs Montana State | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 1 | 16 | |
| Wk 2 | W 69-3vs Oklahoma State | 6 | 87 | 14.5 | 1 | 53 | Season-high 87 yds |
| Wk 3 | W 34-14@ Northwestern | 11 | 38 | 3.5 | 1 | 12 | |
| Wk 4 | W 41-7vs Oregon State | 12 | 70 | 5.8 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 5 | W 30-24@ Penn State | 7 | 17 | 2.4 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 7 | L 20-30vs Indiana | 3 | 17 | 5.7 | 0 | 7 | |
| Bowl | W 51-34vs James Madison | 1 | 10 | 10.0 | 0 | 10 | |
| Bowl | W 23-0@ Texas Tech | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0 | 2 | |
| Total | 46 | 262 | 6.2 | 3 | 53 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2023Oregon12-2HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2024Oregon13-1HC: Dan Lanning · Balanced
2025Oregon13-2HC: Dan Lanning · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 262 | #289/735 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 3 | #204/739 | 73rd pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 5.7 | #152/735 | 79th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 11 | #195/552 | 65th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 75 | #215/548 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.20 | #58/362 | 84th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 45 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 11.1% | #281/738 | 62nd pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 53 | #147/733 | 80th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 46 | #324/739 | 56th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 27 | #142/540 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.8 | #287/548 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return avg | 15.0 | #8/27 | 74th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return yards | 15 | #21/27 | 26th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt return TD | 1 | #1/5 | 100th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Punt returns | 1 | #20/29 | 34th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 16.8% | #315/738 | 57th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.8% | #216/738 | 71st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 11.9% | #300/738 | 59th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.3% | #310/738 | 58th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 10.3% | #190/738 | 74th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 7.8% | #297/738 | 60th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.5% | #188/738 | 75th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 40.8 | 8.5 | 0.4 |
| Road3g | 19.3 | 2.3 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins7g | 35.0 | 6.3 | 0.4 |
| Losses1g | 17.0 | 5.7 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-78g | 32.8 | 6.2 | 0.4 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
43Mid-pack
Concern: carries (6th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.2High (p75–p90) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jayden LimarOregonJeremiah CobbAuburn· 58% simJevon JacksonUAB· 57% simTae MeadowsTroy· 57% sim
Yards / carry
Long run
Receptions
Rec yards
Rush TDs
Rush yards
Carries
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Satellite Back
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Israel Abanikanda’s 2021 season.
Israel Abanikanda
76%match
NFL Rd 5
#2
Ethan Payne
71%
#3
Austin Jones
71%
#4
DeCarlos Brooks
71%
#5
Jadyn Ott
70%
Matches Israel on
Total rush EPA (college ability)
Rush TD rate
Receiving share
Differs from Israel on
Class year (higher)
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Anthony Watkins’s path through Tulsa.
Anthony Watkins
94%match
All-AAC
#2
Demetric Felton
NFL Rd 6
93%
#3
Nathaniel Peat
92%
#4
Solomon Beebe
90%
#5
Sam Franklin
90%
Matches Anthony on
Height
Yards per carry
Weight
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Jaydon Blue's junior season at Texas (2024).
Jaydon Blue
76%match
NFL Rd 5
#2
C'Bo Flemister
73%
#3
Tank Bigsby
All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 25
72%
#4
Dontae Smith
72%
#5
Rashod Dubinion
All-Sun Belt
69%
Matches Jaydon on
Yards / carry
Weight
Height
Differs from Jaydon on
Yards / reception (lower)
Receiving share (lower)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dan Lanning
Pass share
44.9%
436 pass / 534 run
Plays / game
64.7
15 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
4.8%
250 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coach2023
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2024
Dan Lanning
Oregon
2025
Dan Lanning
Oregon
Played his entire career under Dan Lanning.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLake Stevens, WA
Height5'11"
Weight205 lb
Class3
PositionRB
Jersey27
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamOregon
ConferenceBig Ten
Joined2025
Career arc3 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.