cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jayden Dixon-Veal /California

Jayden Dixon-Veal

WR · California · Sr · #10

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

47 REC YDS · 4 REC · 1 REC TD

IN PORTALIn transfer portal — destination TBD (from California)

In Portal · 2026

In transfer portal

2025California
DestinationTBD

WR · CALIFORNIA · ACC

Jayden Dixon-Veal

  • 4
  • #10
  • 6-0 | 190 lb
  • Rancho Cucamonga, CA

CFB Zeitgeist Score

17

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 37th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2981

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2023–2025
1422023
23.02024
47.02025

-67%

Sharp dropoff (-67%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1522 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey10
Measurements6-0 | 190 lb
HometownRancho Cucamonga, CA
Primary teamCalifornia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 126 recruit
Composite rating 0.8317 JUCO
Signed with Oregon State 2023
Origin College of San Mateo Rancho Cucamonga, CA, USA
Class Profile Context
2023 3-star | 0.8317 No. 126 recruit | JUCO | Oregon State
2020 3-star | 0.8400 No. 1522 recruit | HighSchool | Sacramento State

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination -- 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 17, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 California -> -- 3-star | Immediate
2025 Purdue -> California 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2981Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3506Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Oregon State

Composite

0.8317

#126 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jayden Dixon-Veal

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jayden Dixon-Veal

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
47Rec yards
4Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
11.8Rec yards
1Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
152.8Rec yards
13Receptions
3Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 47): needs 72.6/game over remaining 9.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 47): needs 105.9/game over remaining 9.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 4): needs 6.2/game over remaining 9.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 4): needs 8.4/game over remaining 9.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 0.8/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1/game over remaining 9.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jayden Dixon-Veal's story is about how role and output meet each other. For California, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2981 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 3.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 4 1 rec TD | #767/1110 (31st pct)
Receiving yards 47 11.8 per catch | #793/1107 (28th pct)
Scrimmage yards 49 Total offensive yardage | #793/1107 (28th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
4 31st
YDS
47 28th
YPR
11.8 49th
TD
1 64th

Rushing

CAR
1 35th
YDS
2 24th
YPC
2.0 28th
TD
0 81st

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 2W 35-3vs Texas Southern11414.0114
Wk 10L 21-31vs Virginia133.003
Wk 13L 10-31@ Stanford12424.0024Season-high 24 yds
Wk 14W 38-35vs SMU166.006
Total44711.8124
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Purdue4-8HC: Ryan Walters · Run-leaning
2024Purdue1-11HC: Ryan Walters · Balanced, slow tempo
2025California7-6HC: Justin Wilcox · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025California44711.81--
2024Purdue3237.70--
2023Purdue161428.91--
Career3 loaded seasons232129.22--
SeasonTeam
2025California12------
2024Purdue----------
2023Purdue----------
Career3 loaded seasons12------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 3.0% 4.6% pass-game share | #896/1137 (21st pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 1 Across offense and returns | #396/1111 (64th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 4 #767/1110 31st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 47 #793/1107 28th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #396/1111 64th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 11.8 #562/1106 49th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 4.6% #896/1137 21st pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing LONG 2 #314/346 10th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Rushing Rushing yards 2 #302/397 24th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Yards / carry 2.0 #283/393 28th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Rushing Carries 1 #264/407 35th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Rushing Rush TD 0 #81/411 81st pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 24 #689/1105 38th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 4.8% #531/1137 53rd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 4.5% #754/1137 34th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage Role share 3.0% #767/1137 33rd pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 2.4% #787/1137 31st pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 2.3% #847/1137 26th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 1.7% #906/1137 20th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.8% #225/1137 80th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home3g1.07.77.70.3
Road1g1.024.024.00.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins2g1.010.010.00.5
Losses2g1.013.513.50.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-71g1.014.014.01.0
Weeks 8+3g1.011.011.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

17Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Rush TDs#67 / 287 · 39th pct
0rush
Yards / catch#349 / 558 · 37th pct
11.8rece
Rec TDs#373 / 558 · 24th pct
1rece
Rush yards#218 / 287 · 23rd pct
2rush
Long catch#509 / 558 · 8th pct
24rece
Rec yards#558 / 558 · 0th pct
47rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
4rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jayden Dixon-VealCaliforniaMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 55% simJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 47% simChauncy CobbArkansas State· 47% sim
Rush TDs
39
Dixon-Veal
39
III
39
Gibson
39
Cobb
Yards / catch
37
Dixon-Veal
9
III
15
Gibson
25
Cobb
Rec TDs
24
Dixon-Veal
24
III
7
Gibson
24
Cobb
Rush yards
23
Dixon-Veal
6
III
76
Gibson
12
Cobb
Long catch
8
Dixon-Veal
16
III
56
Gibson
58
Cobb
Rec yards
0
Dixon-Veal
70
III
74
Gibson
87
Cobb
Receptions
0
Dixon-Veal
92
III
92
Gibson
98
Cobb

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Justin Wilcox

Pass share

57.0%

502 pass / 379 run

Plays / game

67.8

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.2%

353 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Justin Wilcox
California
2024
Justin Wilcox
California
2025
Justin Wilcox
California

Played his entire career under Justin Wilcox.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownRancho Cucamonga, CA
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey10

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Purdue WR4 #2981 #3506 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big Ten
2023 Purdue WR4 #2446 #2894 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 California ACC WR 4 No. 10 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Rancho Cucamonga, CA
2024 Purdue Big Ten WR 4 No. 10 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Rancho Cucamonga, CA
2023 Purdue Big Ten WR 4 No. 10 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Rancho Cucamonga, CA