CFB Zeitgeist Score
23
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by receptions at the 67th percentile.
Jason Patterson
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
225 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 57 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Kentucky for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · Kentucky
Returning around him
- 27% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- 4 Kentucky players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +2 net (29 in / 27 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Kentucky · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #27 · 2026 recruiting class #29
RB · KENTUCKY · SEC
Jason Patterson
- 1
- #26
- 5-10 | 209 lb
- Sneads, FL
Heisman Heat
#817
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR05 · Part-time starter
Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2024–2025+103%
Up 103% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Kentucky
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 3-star | 0.8881 | No. 503 recruit | HighSchool | Kentucky |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kentucky
Composite
0.8881
#503 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jason Patterson
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jason Patterson
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
Through 9g
225Rush yards
57Carries
1Rush TDs
Per game
25Rush yards
6Carries
0Rush TDs
Projected (13g)
325Rush yards
82Carries
1Rush TDs
To hit 750-yard season (currently 225): needs 131.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 225): needs 193.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 225): needs 318.8/game over remaining 4.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 2.2/game over remaining 4.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 3.5/game over remaining 4.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 1): needs 4.8/game over remaining 4.
What made this player interesting
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jason Patterson's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Kentucky, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
RB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
CAR
57 61st
YDS
225 57th
YPC
3.9 30th
TD
1 56th
Receiving
REC
17 80th
YDS
85 64th
YPR
5.0 26th
TD
1 89th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 9 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 3 | W 48-23vs Eastern Michigan | 13 | 80 | 6.2 | 1 | 29 | Season-high 80 yds |
| Wk 5 | L 13-35@ South Carolina | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | 3 | |
| Wk 6 | L 14-35@ Georgia | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Wk 8 | L 13-16vs Texas | 7 | 20 | 2.9 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 9 | L 34-56vs Tennessee | 16 | 51 | 3.2 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 11 | W 38-7vs Florida | 7 | 21 | 3.0 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 12 | W 42-10vs Tennessee Tech | 4 | 23 | 5.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 13 | L 17-45@ Vanderbilt | 1 | 5 | 5.0 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 14 | L 0-41@ Louisville | 8 | 22 | 2.8 | 0 | 8 | |
| Total | 57 | 225 | 4.0 | 1 | 29 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2024Kentucky4-8HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2025Kentucky5-7HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 225 | #319/735 | 57th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.9 | #516/735 | 30th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #111/552 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 85 | #197/548 | 64th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.07 | #263/362 | 28th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 54 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 10.2% | #311/738 | 58th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 57 | #288/739 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 29 | #303/733 | 59th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 19 | #248/540 | 54th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 5.0 | #406/548 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 57 | #93/200 | 54th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 14.3 | #149/199 | 26th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 4 | #69/206 | 67th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 15.8% | #330/738 | 55th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 13.0% | #270/738 | 64th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 11.0% | #320/738 | 57th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 9.4% | #366/738 | 51st pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 8.2% | #280/738 | 62nd pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.9% | #344/738 | 54th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 5.0% | #156/738 | 79th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 9 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home5g | 39.0 | 4.2 | 0.2 |
| Road4g | 7.5 | 3.6 | 0.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 41.3 | 5.0 | 0.3 |
| Losses6g | 16.8 | 3.4 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-73g | 27.7 | 4.6 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 23.7 | 3.8 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
23Below cohort
Concern: rush yards (9th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_rushing0.07Below (<p25) (n=178)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jason PattersonKentuckyTae MeadowsTroy· 56% simRashod DubinionApp State· 54% simAl-Jay HendersonBuffalo· 54% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Long run
Carries
Rush TDs
Yards / carry
Rush yards
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Satellite Back
Deployed as a receiver as much as a runner. Value is in space, not between the tackles.
RB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Caden Williams’s 2025 season.
Caden Williams
68%match
#2
Jaquari Lewis
68%
#3
Alan Lamar
All-Sun Belt
67%
#4
Kenan Christon II
66%
#5
Charles Kellom
66%
Matches Caden on
Weight
Differs from Caden on
Recruiting rating (higher)
EPA / carry (adj) (lower)
Yards / carry (lower)
Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Bryson Donnell’s path through UTSA.
Bryson Donnell
98%match
#2
Isaiah Johnson
97%
#3
Darius Wilson
94%
#4
Marquavius Weaver
92%
#5
Cam Porter
90%
Matches Bryson on
Height
Yards per carry
Weight
As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Caden Williams's sophomore season at Liberty (2025).
Caden Williams
77%match
#2
Trey Cornist
69%
#3
TJ Horton
69%
#4
Antonio Harris
68%
#5
Davion Gause
66%
Matches Caden on
Weight
Yards / carry
EPA / carry (adj)
Differs from Caden on
Recruiting rating (higher)
Rush TD rate (higher)
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Mark Stoops
Pass share
46.2%
366 pass / 427 run
Plays / game
66.1
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
10.0%
280 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2024–2025
1 coach2024
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
2025
Mark Stoops
Kentucky
Played his entire career under Mark Stoops.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownSneads, FL
Height5'10"
Weight209 lb
Class1
PositionRB
Jersey26
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKentucky
ConferenceSEC
Joined2025
Career arc2 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kentucky | RB1 | #817 | #885 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.