cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jared Badie /San Diego State

Jared Badie

EDGE · San Diego State · Jr · #31

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

8 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS

2026 TRANSFERTransferred San Diego State → Ball State for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Ball State

2025San Diego State
2026Ball State

EDGE · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jared Badie

  • 3
  • #31
  • 6-3 | 230 lb
  • Aurora, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

36

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 88th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14722

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#663 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionEDGE
Class3
Jersey31
Measurements6-3 | 230 lb
HometownAurora, IL
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 663 recruit
Composite rating 0.8748 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Oswego East Oswego, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8748 No. 663 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Ball State 2026
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Feb 4, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 San Diego State -> Ball State 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2024 Illinois -> San Diego State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14722Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14802Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8748

#663 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jared Badie

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jared Badie

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 7g
8Tackles
1.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
1Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0.1Sacks
Projected (13g)
15Tackles
2.8Tackles for loss
0.9Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 8): needs 12/game over remaining 6.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 8): needs 15.3/game over remaining 6.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 0.9/game over remaining 6.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 1.6/game over remaining 6.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jared Badie is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on San Diego State's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 1.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14722 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 8 3 solo | #3089/4942 (38th pct)
TFL 1.5 Backfield disruption | #1771/4972 (64th pct)
Sacks 0.5 Pass-rush finish | #1501/4972 (70th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
8 38th
SOLO
3 28th
TFL
1.5 64th
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
4 85th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 7 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook100.50.50
Wk 5W 6-3@ Northern Illinois100.00.00
Wk 6W 45-24vs Colorado State100.00.00
Wk 10W 24-7vs Wyoming110.00.00
Wk 12W 17-7vs Boise State100.00.00
Wk 13W 25-3vs San José State111.00.00
Wk 14L 17-23@ New Mexico210.00.00Season-high 2 tackles
Total831.50.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Illinois8-5HC: Bret Bielema · Run-leaning
2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State831.50.5------
2022Illinois110.00.0------
Career2 loaded seasons941.50.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 8 #3089/4942 38th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 1.5 #1771/4972 64th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.5 #1501/4972 70th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 3 #3280/4584 28th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 7 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g1.00.30.10.0
Road2g1.50.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins6g1.00.20.10.0
Losses1g2.00.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-73g1.00.20.20.0
Weeks 8+4g1.20.20.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the EDGE cohort

36Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th). Concern: tackles (0th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Sacks#1367 / 2975 · 51st pct
0.5defe
Tackles for loss#1711 / 2975 · 39th pct
1.5defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2892 / 2975 · 2nd pct
3defe
Tackles#2976 / 2975 · 0th pct
8defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · EDGE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jared BadieSan Diego StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 41% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 40% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 39% sim
QB hurries
88
Badie
92
Fletcher
88
Parker
82
Davey
Sacks
51
Badie
24
Fletcher
80
Parker
63
Davey
Tackles for loss
39
Badie
28
Fletcher
87
Parker
91
Davey
Passes defended
18
Badie
67
Fletcher
18
Parker
18
Davey
Solo tackles
2
Badie
91
Fletcher
96
Parker
99
Davey
Tackles
0
Badie
99
Fletcher
98
Parker
99
Davey

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Brady Hoke
San Diego State
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Brady Hoke → Sean Lewis. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownAurora, IL
Height6'3"
Weight230 lb
Class3
PositionEDGE
Jersey31

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 San Diego State EDGE3 #14722 #14802 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Illinois EDGE3 #13021 #12951 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Illinois EDGE3 #9198 #8830 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West EDGE 3 No. 31 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Aurora, IL
2024 San Diego State Mountain West EDGE 3 No. 31 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Aurora, IL
2023 Illinois Big Ten EDGE 3 No. 31 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Aurora, IL
2022 Illinois Big Ten EDGE 3 No. 31 | 6-3 | 230 lb | Aurora, IL