CFB Zeitgeist Score
62
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 73rd percentile.
Jalon Daniels
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
2,504 PASS YDS · 22 PASS TD · 423 RUSH YDS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Kansas for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Quarterback · Kansas · editorial
Returning around him
- 41% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
- 2 Kansas players drafted to NFL
- Transfer portal: +5 net (31 in / 26 out)
2026 Award watch
- Davey O'Brien
- Heisman Watch
Kansas · Last season: 5-7 · Talent rank #48 · 2026 recruiting class #72
QB · KANSAS · BIG 12
Jalon Daniels
- 4
- #6
- 6-0 | 220 lb
- Lawndale, CA
Heisman Heat
#69
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP QB AWARD
Davey O'Brien
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Kansas · QB
—
★
2022
Kansas · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2023
Kansas · QB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
2024
Kansas · QB
—
2025
Kansas · QB
—
Development Trajectory · passing yards
2021–2025+191%
Up 191% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
Kansas
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8170 | No. 2278 recruit | HighSchool | Kansas |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Volume King 1.3% Volume King 2,500+ passing yards, 1,200+ rushing yards, or 900+ receiving yards in a single season (position-appropriate threshold). Held by 1.3% of the 2025 pool. 2504 passing yards — clears the 2,500-QB volume bar.
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in rushing yards (423).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kansas
Composite
0.8170
#2278 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jalon Daniels
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
56
Mixed Sentiment
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Per-cohort trajectory lands when historical bucket data is aggregated.
Cohort divergence map
- Own fans · n=9
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jalon Daniels
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
WEPA per dropback
+0.420
EPA
P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks
National rank #15 of 58
Percentile vs P4 + Notre Dame QBs, min 250 dropbacks 75th
Why it matters
#15 of 58 P4 + Notre Dame QBs by weighted EPA per dropback (min 250 dropbacks) — +0.420 EPA/play.
Vs cohort
This player +0.420 (75th)
MODERATE · n=313 cohort 58
- Also strong
- Combined WEPA per play (pass + rush)#19 / 57
- Total weighted-EPA passing#26 / 58
- TD : INT ratio#20 / 72
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the passing totals stand
Through 12g
2,504Pass yards
22Pass TDs
7INT
Per game
208.7Pass yards
2Pass TDs
1INT
Projected (13g)
2,713Pass yards
24Pass TDs
8INT
To hit 3,000-yard season (currently 2,504): needs 496/game over remaining 1.
To hit 4,000-yard season (currently 2,504): needs 1,496/game over remaining 1.
To hit 25 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 3/game over remaining 1.
To hit 30 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 35 passing TDs (currently 22): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a two-channel quarterback case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The unusual part of Jalon Daniels's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Kansas, he has 2,504 passing yards and 22 touchdown passes, but he also adds 423 rushing yards and 4 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
QB season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Steady volume | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Passing Efficiency
CMP
198 82nd
ATT
319 83rd
CMP%
62.1% 54th
Y/A
7.8 73rd
Passing Production
YDS
2,504 84th
TD
22 92nd
INT
7 23rd
Rushing
CAR
117 91st
YDS
423 89th
YPC
3.6 61st
TD
4 82nd
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CMP/ATT | YDS | TD | INT | YPA | QBR | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 31-7vs Fresno State | 18/20 | 176 | 3 | 0 | 8.8 | 87.6 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 1 | W 46-7vs Wagner | 18/25 | 280 | 4 | 1 | 11.2 | 80.7 | 4 TD passes |
| Wk 2 | L 31-42@ Missouri | 18/30 | 223 | 2 | 1 | 7.4 | 66.3 | |
| Wk 4 | W 41-10vs West Virginia | 12/24 | 138 | 3 | 0 | 5.8 | 91.9 | 3 TD passes |
| Wk 5 | L 34-37vs Cincinnati | 19/28 | 445 | 4 | 0 | 15.9 | 59.4 | Season-high 445 yds |
| Wk 6 | W 27-20@ UCF | 18/26 | 235 | 0 | 0 | 9.0 | 78.0 | |
| Wk 7 | L 17-42@ Texas Tech | 27/33 | 228 | 2 | 0 | 6.9 | 72.5 | |
| Wk 9 | L 17-42vs Kansas State | 17/35 | 129 | 0 | 1 | 3.7 | 41.3 | |
| Wk 10 | W 38-21vs Oklahoma State | 13/19 | 110 | 2 | 0 | 5.8 | 85.4 | |
| Wk 11 | L 20-24@ Arizona | 15/29 | 199 | 1 | 0 | 6.9 | 57.4 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-38@ Iowa State | 13/23 | 154 | 0 | 1 | 6.7 | 33.3 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-31vs Utah | 10/27 | 187 | 1 | 3 | 6.9 | 34.3 | 3 INTs — rough day |
| Total | 198/319 | 2504 | 22 | 7 | 7.9 | 65.7 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Kansas2-10HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2022Kansas6-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Kansas9-4HC: Lance Leipold · Run-heavy, slow tempo
2024Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
2025Kansas5-7HC: Lance Leipold · Run-leaning
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.
How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing | Passing yards | 2,504 | #61/382 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Pass TD | 22 | #35/407 | 92nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completions | 198 | #71/383 | 82nd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Completion % | 62.1% | #179/383 | 54th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Passing | Yards / attempt | 7.8 | #103/382 | 73rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 423 | #45/408 | 89th pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Value | Passing WEPA | +0.42 | #20/200 | 90th pct | Opponent-adjusted passing value | 313 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Role share | 52.1% | #60/428 | 86th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Attempts | 319 | #72/407 | 83rd pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Passing | Interceptions | 7 | #316/407 | 23rd pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Carries | 117 | #37/408 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 38 | #76/391 | 81st pct | Metricvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 4 | #74/408 | 82nd pct | Scoringvs FBS QB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 3.6 | #161/407 | 61st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Pass share | 90.2% | #57/428 | 87th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 70.3% | #44/428 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 61.3% | #95/428 | 78th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 54.2% | #50/428 | 89th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 46.4% | #55/428 | 87th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS QB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 45.7% | #62/428 | 86th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS QB |
| Usage | Rush share | 21.7% | #55/428 | 87th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS QB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.29 | #43/140 | 70th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 95 weighted playsvs FBS QB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 2 | #163/258 | 37th pct | Turnoversvs FBS QB |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 209 | 2.4 | 8.3 | 0.7 |
| Road5g | 208 | 1.0 | 7.4 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins5g | 188 | 2.4 | 8.1 | 0.2 |
| Losses7g | 224 | 1.4 | 7.8 | 0.9 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | TD/g | YPA | INT/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 246 | 2.6 | 9.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+5g | 156 | 0.8 | 6.0 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort
62Solid starter
Elite: pass tds (80th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)
Where the throws are landing
Short
0–9 yds47%of completions
58 comp5.3 yds avg4 TD
Middle
10–19 yds31%of completions
38 comp13.5 yds avg3 TD
Deep
20+ yds22%of completions
27 comp33.7 yds avg9 TD
Overall 68.3% completion on 180 attempts · 27 deep completions averaging 33.7 yds.
Advanced Savant · QB · 2024
Percentile Card
Elite: EPA / dropback.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
wepa_passing0.42High (p75–p90) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.29Mid (p50–p75) (n=72)
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jalon DanielsKansasJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 86% simAlonza BarnettJames Madison· 83% simNoah FifitaArizona· 83% sim
Pass TDs
Rush yards
Yards / att
Pass yards
Rush TDs
Completion %
Interceptions
Fumbles lost
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Pocket Passer
Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.
QB
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Todd Centeio’s 2022 season.
Todd Centeio
76%match
All-Sun Belt
#2
Diego Pavia
All-Conference USA
71%
#3
Jalon Daniels
All-Big 12
69%
#4
Brett Gabbert
All-MAC
66%
#5
Anthony Colandrea
All-Mountain West
66%
Matches Todd on
INT rate
Differs from Todd on
Recruiting rating (lower)
Class year (higher)
Yards / attempt (lower)
Through 6 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Jack Abraham’s path through Southern Miss.
Jack Abraham
88%match
All-Conference USA
#2
Tyler Huff
87%
#3
Malik Willis
85%
#4
Ian Book
All-ACCNFL Rd 4
85%
#5
John Rhys Plumlee
83%
Matches Jack on
Height
Yards per attempt
Completion %
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Lance Leipold
Pass share
45.1%
344 pass / 419 run
Plays / game
63.6
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.1%
293 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coach2021
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2022
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2023
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2024
Lance Leipold
Kansas
2025
Lance Leipold
Kansas
Played his entire career under Lance Leipold.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLawndale, CA
Height6'0"
Weight220 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey6
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamKansas
ConferenceBig 12
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2023)
All-Big 12
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
2 all-conference honors
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Kansas | Big 12 | QB |
| 2022 | All-Big 12 | all_conference | Big 12 | QB |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Kansas | QB4 | #69 | #119 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2023 | Kansas | QB4 | #151 | #154 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2022 | Kansas | QB4 | #60 | #104 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
| 2021 | Kansas | QB4 | #340 | #560 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big 12 |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Kansas | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Lawndale, CA |
| 2024 | Kansas | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Lawndale, CA |
| 2023 | Kansas | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Lawndale, CA |
| 2022 | Kansas | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Lawndale, CA |
| 2021 | Kansas | Big 12 | QB | 4 | No. 6 | 6-0 | 220 lb | Lawndale, CA |