cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jalen Milroe /Alabama

Jalen Milroe

QB · Alabama · Jr · #4

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

NOW IN NFLSeattle — drafted 2025, Rd 3, Pick 28, #92 overall

Where He Ended Up · NFL

SeattleEntering 2nd NFL season

#92Rd 3 · Pick 28
SeattleEntering 2nd NFL season

QB · ALABAMA · SEC

Jalen Milroe

  • 3
  • #4
  • 6-2 | 225 lb
  • Katy, TX

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#3

7.3% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

7.3%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

In contention

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 5 · Apex

R15 · POTY finalist

Position-of-the-Year finalist. Among the nation's elite at the position.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R15 POTY finalist · 2023

2021

Alabama · QB

2022

Alabama · QB

2023

Alabama · QB

R15 · POTY finalist

Apex

2024

Alabama · QB

R15 · POTY finalist

Apex

NFL Draft 2025 · Rd 3, Pick 28 · #92 overall · Seattle

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2024
41.02021
2972022
2,8342023
2,8442024

+6837%

Up 6837% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#82 national
CFB
College
Alabama
2021–2024
NFL
NFL Draft
R3 · #92
Seattle · 2025

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey4
Measurements6-2 | 225 lb
HometownKaty, TX
Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 82 recruit
Composite rating 0.9631 HighSchool
Signed with Alabama 2021
Origin Tompkins Katy, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 4-star | 0.9631 No. 82 recruit | HighSchool | Alabama

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3Where the full season sim points
Win probability7.3%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability41.2%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability99.2%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to Alabama

Composite

0.9631

#82 national

NFL Draft

2025 · Rd 3, Pick 28

#92 overall · Seattle

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jalen Milroe

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jalen Milroe

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why this is a two-channel quarterback case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The unusual part of Jalen Milroe's case is that the production comes in two channels, not one. For Alabama, he has 2,844 passing yards and 16 touchdown passes, but he also adds 726 rushing yards and 20 rushing scores. That kind of dual-threat load tends to create a more resilient Heisman case because the offense can tilt the game in multiple ways.

Current place #3 7.3% win | 41.2% finalist
Role load 57.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 82 recruit

2024 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2024 season snapshot | final

2024 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,844 16 TD | 11 INT | #45/382 (88th pct)
Completion rate 64.3% 205/319 completions | #143/383 (63rd pct)
Yards/attempt 8.9 Explosiveness through the air | #53/382 (86th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-volume passer | Vertical threat | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

High-volume passerVertical threatDual-threat

2024 Season · Final

2024 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
205 84th
ATT
319 83rd
CMP%
64.3% 63rd
Y/A
8.9 86th

Passing Production

YDS
2,844 88th
TD
16 85th
INT
11 5th

Rushing

CAR
168 97th
YDS
726 97th
YPC
4.3 70th
TD
20 100th

Game Log

Week-by-week box

No per-game rows for this season yet — the table fills in as box scores arrive.

Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Alabama12-1HC: Nick Saban · Balanced, fast tempo
2022Alabama11-2HC: Nick Saban · Balanced
2023Alabama12-2HC: Nick Saban · Run-heavy
2024Alabama9-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2024Alabama20531964.3%2,8448.91611148.8----
2023Alabama18728465.8%2,83410.0236172.2----
2022Alabama315358.5%2975.653125.4----
2021Alabama3742.9%415.910139.2----
Career4 loaded seasons42666364.3%6,0169.14520156.8----
SeasonTeam
2024Alabama1687264.320--
2023Alabama1615313.312--
2022Alabama312658.51--
2021Alabama15573.80--
Career4 loaded seasons3751,5794.233--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 726 20 rush TD | #15/408 (97th pct)
Usage 57.8% 90.2% pass share | 31.8% rush share | #23/428 (95th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.46 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #11/200 (95th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,844 #45/382 88th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 16 #63/407 85th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 205 #63/383 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 64.3% #143/383 63rd pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 8.9 #53/382 86th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 726 #15/408 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.46 #11/200 95th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 341 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 57.8% #23/428 95th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 319 #72/407 83rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 11 #386/407 5th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 168 #13/408 97th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 72 #10/391 98th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 20 #1/408 100th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.3 #125/407 70th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 90.2% #57/428 87th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 78.1% #8/428 98th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 75.6% #17/428 96th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 55.8% #41/428 91st pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 51.7% #23/428 95th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 50.1% #32/428 93rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 31.8% #14/428 97th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.58 #1/140 100th pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 164 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 6 #258/258 0th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits

Per-game splits

Splits fill in once box scores from at least three games land for this season.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2024

2 coaches
2021
Nick Saban
Alabama
2022
Nick Saban
Alabama
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownKaty, TX
Height6'2"
Weight225 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey4

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

3 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2024)

All-SEC

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

2 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2024 Campbell position_award Campbell winner | ATH
2024 All-SEC all_conference Alabama | SEC QB
2023 All-SEC all_conference Alabama | SEC QB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Alabama QB3 #3 #3 7.3% 41.2% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Alabama QB3 #4 #6 7.1% 37.9% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 Alabama QB3 #95 #55 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC
2021 Alabama QB3 #232 #102 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | SEC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 Alabama SEC QB 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Katy, TX
2023 Alabama SEC QB 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Katy, TX
2022 Alabama SEC QB 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Katy, TX
2021 Alabama SEC QB 3 No. 4 | 6-2 | 225 lb | Katy, TX