CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 33rd percentile.
Jalen Berger
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
364 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 81 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to UCLA for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Running back · UCLA
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
UCLA · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #26 · 2026 recruiting class #46
RB · UCLA · BIG TEN
CFB Zeitgeist Score
33
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 33rd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#701
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025Up 314% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9374 | No. 136 recruit | HighSchool | Wisconsin |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Michigan State -> -- | 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate |
| 2022 | Wisconsin -> Michigan State | 3-star | 0.8900 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Wisconsin
Composite
0.9374
#136 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
4.5
yds
P4 + Notre Dame RBs, min 80 carries
Why it matters
#51 of 69 P4 + Notre Dame RBs at 4.5 yards per carry (81 carries).
Vs cohort
MODERATE · n=81 cohort 69
Signature Moment
Week 7 at Michigan State — 89 ypc
Result W 38-13
The week the volume broke through — put up 89 yds at Michigan State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
To hit 750-yard season (currently 364): needs 386/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,000-yard season (currently 364): needs 636/game over remaining 1.
To hit 1,500-yard season (currently 364): needs 1,136/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.
To hit 15 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 13/game over remaining 1.
To hit 20 rushing TDs (currently 2): needs 18/game over remaining 1.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jalen Berger's story is about how role and output meet each other. For UCLA, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 10-43vs Utah | 5 | 7 | 1.4 | 0 | 4 | |
| Wk 2 | L 23-30@ UNLV | 6 | 31 | 5.2 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 3 | L 10-35vs New Mexico | 2 | -2 | -1.0 | 0 | 1 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-17@ Northwestern | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | 5 | |
| Wk 6 | W 42-37vs Penn State | 6 | 29 | 4.8 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 7 | W 38-13@ Michigan State | 12 | 89 | 7.4 | 1 | 24 | Season-high 89 yds |
| Wk 8 | W 20-17vs Maryland | 19 | 65 | 3.4 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 9 | L 6-56@ Indiana | 5 | 17 | 3.4 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 11 | L 21-28vs Nebraska | 5 | 19 | 3.8 | 1 | 7 | |
| Wk 12 | L 10-48@ Ohio State | 4 | 13 | 3.3 | 0 | 6 | |
| Wk 13 | L 14-48vs Washington | 6 | 26 | 4.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 14 | L 10-29@ USC | 7 | 57 | 8.1 | 0 | 23 | |
| Total | 81 | 364 | 3.9 | 2 | 24 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UCLA | 81 | 364 | 4.5 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | UCLA | 48 | 178 | 3.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Michigan State | 25 | 93 | 3.7 | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | Michigan State | 148 | 683 | 4.6 | 6 | -- |
| 2021 | Wisconsin | 24 | 88 | 3.7 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 326 | 1,406 | 4.3 | 10 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UCLA | 10 | 70 | 7.0 | 2 | -- |
| 2024 | UCLA | 10 | 59 | 5.9 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Michigan State | 5 | 40 | 8.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Michigan State | 19 | 128 | 6.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Wisconsin | 2 | 17 | 8.5 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 46 | 314 | 6.8 | 4 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 364 | #227/735 | 69th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.5 | #383/735 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 10 | #217/552 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 70 | #227/548 | 59th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.15 | #126/362 | 65th pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 79 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 12.2% | #244/738 | 67th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 81 | #210/739 | 72nd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 24 | #347/733 | 53rd pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 15 | #296/540 | 45th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 7.0 | #267/548 | 51st pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 2 | #20/552 | 97th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 22.7% | #218/738 | 71st pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 15.8% | #212/738 | 71st pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 14.6% | #226/738 | 70th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 11.0% | #303/738 | 59th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 6.7% | #365/738 | 51st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.3% | #378/738 | 49th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 2.9% | #318/738 | 57th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 1 | #78/256 | 70th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 24.0 | 2.8 | 0.2 |
| Road6g | 36.7 | 5.1 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins3g | 61.0 | 5.2 | 0.3 |
| Losses9g | 20.1 | 3.5 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 27.8 | 3.5 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 32.8 | 4.4 | 0.2 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Concern: long run (18th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jovantae Barnes’s 2024 season.
Jovantae Barnes
Donerio Davenport
Ari Broussard
Darwin Barlow
Carson Hansen
Matches Jovantae on
Differs from Jovantae on
Through 6 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Garrett Groshek’s path through Wisconsin.
Garrett Groshek
Narii Gaither
Joshua Samuel
Jordan Mason
Seth McGowan
Matches Garrett on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Deshaun Foster
Pass share
48.9%
358 pass / 374 run
Plays / game
61.0
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
9.3%
280 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coachesCoaching transition mid-career: Chip Kelly → Deshaun Foster. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | UCLA | RB4 | #701 | #988 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2023 | Michigan State | RB4 | #1831 | #2333 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2022 | Michigan State | RB4 | #501 | #690 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
| 2021 | Wisconsin | RB4 | #1399 | #1384 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | UCLA | Big Ten | RB | 4 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Newark, NJ |
| 2024 | UCLA | Big Ten | RB | 4 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Newark, NJ |
| 2023 | Michigan State | Big Ten | RB | 4 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Newark, NJ |
| 2022 | Michigan State | Big Ten | RB | 4 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Newark, NJ |
| 2021 | Wisconsin | Big Ten | RB | 4 | 6-1 | 215 lb | Newark, NJ |