cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaleel Johnson /Oklahoma State

Jaleel Johnson

DE · Oklahoma State · Jr · #95

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

16 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Oklahoma State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Oklahoma State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive end · Oklahoma State

Returning around him

  • 44% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -10 net (55 in / 65 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Oklahoma State · Last season: 1-11 · Talent rank #49 · 2026 recruiting class #53

DE · OKLAHOMA STATE · BIG 12

Jaleel Johnson

  • 3
  • #95
  • 6-5 | 265 lb
  • Oklahoma City, OK

CFB Zeitgeist Score

38

Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by qb hurries at the 88th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13598

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1109 national
CFB
College
Oklahoma State
2023–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Heisman futures · live sportsbook odds

#29 in market ▼ from #23 · 5 books

+35002.8% implied▲ tightened from +6600

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDE
Class3
Jersey95
Measurements6-5 | 265 lb
HometownOklahoma City, OK
Primary teamOklahoma State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1109 recruit
Composite rating 0.8556 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2022
Origin Putnam City North Oklahoma City, OK, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8556 No. 1109 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13598Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13514Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8556

#1109 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaleel Johnson

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaleel Johnson

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 4g
16Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
52Tackles
8.1Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 16): needs 7.1/game over remaining 9.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 16): needs 9.3/game over remaining 9.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 9.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 1.1/game over remaining 9.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaleel Johnson is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Oklahoma State's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13598 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Defensive rarity 0.0 sacks | 2.5 TFL

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 16 7 solo | #2295/4942 (54th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
16 54th
SOLO
7 48th
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
4 85th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 4 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 27-7vs UT Martin542.50.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 2L 3-69@ Oregon300.00.00
Wk 4L 12-19vs Tulsa420.00.00
Wk 5L 27-45vs Baylor410.00.00
Total1672.50.00
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2023Oklahoma State10-4HC: Mike Gundy · Pass-leaning
2025Oklahoma State1-11HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Oklahoma State1672.50.0------
2023Oklahoma State1241.01.0------
Career2 loaded seasons28113.51.0------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 4 Quarterback hurries | #291/1878 (85th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 16 #2295/4942 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 4 #291/1878 85th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 7 #2403/4584 48th pct Volumevs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 4 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home3g4.30.80.00.0
Road1g3.00.00.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins1g5.02.50.00.0
Losses3g3.70.00.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-74g4.00.60.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DE cohort

38Mid-pack
6 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: qb hurries (87th). Concern: solo tackles (16th).

QB hurries#288 / 2975 · 88th pct
4defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe
Tackles#2295 / 2975 · 21st pct
16defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe
Solo tackles#2397 / 2975 · 17th pct
7defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 6 metrics
Jaleel JohnsonOklahoma StateBlake FletcherAir Force· 50% simMicah DaveyUTEP· 49% simMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 48% sim
QB hurries
88
Johnson
92
Fletcher
82
Davey
88
Parker
Tackles for loss
56
Johnson
28
Fletcher
91
Davey
87
Parker
Sacks
24
Johnson
24
Fletcher
63
Davey
80
Parker
Tackles
21
Johnson
99
Fletcher
99
Davey
98
Parker
Passes defended
18
Johnson
67
Fletcher
18
Davey
18
Parker
Solo tackles
17
Johnson
91
Fletcher
99
Davey
96
Parker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Versatile End

Holds up against run and pass without a single dominant trait.

EDGE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Amorie Morrison’s 2023 season.

Amorie Morrison

83%match

Old Dominion · 2023

#2

Alex Bray

Kansas · 2025

81%
#3

Coleman Coco

Rice · 2023

80%
#4

Zach Petersen

Iowa State · 2021

79%
#5

Amorie Morrison

UAB · 2025

79%

Matches Amorie on

Weight
Sack rate
TFL rate

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Alex Bray's junior season at Kansas (2025).

Alex Bray

87%match

Kansas · 2025

#2

Travion Ford

Toledo · 2023

85%
#3

Matt Hoffman

UConn · 2025

81%
#4

Braxten Croteau

California · 2022

75%
#5

Terrell Jones

Virginia · 2024

75%

Matches Alex on

Class year
Sack rate
TFL rate

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Mike Gundy

Pass share

47.5%

365 pass / 403 run

Plays / game

64.0

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

9.9%

223 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025

1 coach
2023
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State
2025
Mike Gundy
Oklahoma State

Played his entire career under Mike Gundy.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownOklahoma City, OK
Height6'5"
Weight265 lb
Class3
PositionDE
Jersey95

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Oklahoma State DE3 #13598 #13514 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Oklahoma State DE3 #10812 #10835 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma State DE3 #11426 #11320 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Oklahoma State Big 12 DE 3 No. 95 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2024 Oklahoma State Big 12 DE 3 No. 95 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2023 Oklahoma State Big 12 DE 3 No. 95 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Oklahoma City, OK
2022 Oklahoma State Big 12 DE 3 No. 95 | 6-5 | 265 lb | Oklahoma City, OK