cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaivion Green /Stanford

Jaivion Green

S · Stanford · Jr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

38 TACKLES · 0 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Stanford for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · Stanford

Returning around him

  • 19% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 2 Stanford players drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: -6 net (6 in / 12 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Stanford · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #46 · 2026 recruiting class #56

S · STANFORD · ACC

Jaivion Green

  • 3
  • #5
  • 6-3 | 215 lb
  • Houston, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 94th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13703

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1454 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey5
Measurements6-3 | 215 lb
HometownHouston, TX
Primary teamStanford

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1454 recruit
Composite rating 0.8422 HighSchool
Signed with Washington 2022
Origin Lamar Houston, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8422 No. 1454 recruit | HighSchool | Washington

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13703Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13793Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Washington

Composite

0.8422

#1454 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaivion Green

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaivion Green

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 10g
38Tackles
2.5Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Per game
4Tackles
0.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
49Tackles
3.2Tackles for loss
0Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 38): needs 14/game over remaining 3.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 38): needs 20.7/game over remaining 3.

To hit 6-sack season (currently 0): needs 2/game over remaining 3.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 0): needs 3.3/game over remaining 3.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaivion Green is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Stanford's defense, with 0.0 sacks, 2.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13703 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 38 24 solo | #976/4942 (80th pct)
TFL 2.5 Backfield disruption | #1236/4972 (75th pct)
Sacks 0.0 Pass-rush finish | #1762/4972 (65th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Coverage splash | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

Coverage splashHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
38 80th
SOLO
24 83rd
TFL
2.5 75th
SACK
0.0 65th
QBH
1 44th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
6 93rd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 10 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1L 20-23@ Hawai'i550.00.00Season-high 5 tackles
Wk 2L 3-27@ BYU420.00.00
Wk 3W 30-20vs Boston College420.00.00
Wk 4L 20-48@ Virginia520.00.00
Wk 5W 30-29vs San José State441.00.03
Wk 7L 10-34@ SMU220.00.00
Wk 8W 20-13vs Florida State430.00.02
Wk 11L 15-20@ North Carolina510.50.00
Wk 13W 31-10vs California421.00.01
Wk 14L 20-49vs Notre Dame110.00.00
Total38242.50.06
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Washington11-2HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
2023Washington14-1HC: Kalen DeBoer · Pass-leaning
2024Stanford3-9HC: Troy Taylor · Run-leaning
2025Stanford4-8HC: Frank Reich · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Stanford38242.50.06----
2024Stanford1780.50.0--1--
2023Washington1290.00.01----
2022Washington540.00.01----
Career4 loaded seasons72453.00.081--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 6 Coverage disruption | #144/2184 (93rd pct)
QB pressures 1 Quarterback hurries | #1051/1878 (44th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 38 #976/4942 80th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 2.5 #1236/4972 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 0.0 #1762/4972 65th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 6 #144/2184 93rd pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 1 #1051/1878 44th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 24 #790/4584 83rd pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Defense Defensive TD 1 #23/200 89th pct Scoringvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 10 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g3.40.40.01.2
Road5g4.20.10.00.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins4g4.00.50.01.5
Losses6g3.70.10.00.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-76g4.00.20.00.5
Weeks 8+4g3.50.40.00.8

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

57Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: passes defended (93rd). Concern: sacks (23rd).

Passes defended#144 / 2975 · 94th pct
6defe
Solo tackles#790 / 2975 · 73rd pct
24defe
Tackles#976 / 2975 · 67th pct
38defe
Tackles for loss#1222 / 2975 · 56th pct
2.5defe
QB hurries#1007 / 2975 · 55th pct
1defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Sacks#1575 / 2975 · 24th pct
0.0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jaivion GreenStanfordBryce LlewellynEastern Michigan· 81% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 80% simTahj Ra-ElPurdue· 80% sim
Passes defended
94
Green
86
Llewellyn
86
Fitzgerald
91
Ra-El
Solo tackles
73
Green
95
Llewellyn
100
Fitzgerald
100
Ra-El
Tackles
67
Green
99
Llewellyn
99
Fitzgerald
99
Ra-El
Tackles for loss
56
Green
80
Llewellyn
85
Fitzgerald
56
Ra-El
QB hurries
55
Green
72
Llewellyn
55
Fitzgerald
22
Ra-El
Forced fumbles
47
Green
47
Llewellyn
47
Fitzgerald
47
Ra-El
Sacks
24
Green
24
Llewellyn
24
Fitzgerald
24
Ra-El

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Centerfielder

Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Malik Dunlap’s 2023 season.

Malik Dunlap

84%match

Texas Tech · 2023

#2

Rayshad Williams

Texas Tech · 2022

83%
#3

Al Walcott

Baylor · 2021

72%
#4

Azizi Hearn

UCLA · 2022

72%
#5

Antonio Stevens

Kennesaw State · 2025

70%

Matches Malik on

Height
Tackle volume
Weight

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Dylahn McKinney's senior season at Colorado (2025).

Dylahn McKinney

75%match

Colorado · 2025

#2

Jaylen Clark

Boise State · 2023

72%
#3

Jhamal Shelby Jr.

Louisiana Tech · 2025

72%
#4

Amier Boyd-Matthews

Texas Tech · 2025

66%
#5

James Kreutz

Illinois · 2025

63%

Matches Dylahn on

Class year
PD rate
Tackle volume

Differs from Dylahn on

Weight (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Frank Reich

Pass share

50.4%

391 pass / 385 run

Plays / game

64.7

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

12.5%

337 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

3 coaches
2022
David Shaw
Stanford
2023
Troy Taylor
Stanford
era →
2024
Troy Taylor
Stanford
2025
Frank Reich
Stanford
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: David Shaw, Troy Taylor, and Frank Reich. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHouston, TX
Height6'3"
Weight215 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Stanford S3 #13703 #13793 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Washington S3 #5556 #5478 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Pac-12
2022 Washington S3 #10489 #10153 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Pac-12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Stanford ACC S 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Houston, TX
2024 Stanford ACC S 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Houston, TX
2023 Washington Pac-12 S 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Houston, TX
2022 Washington Pac-12 S 3 No. 5 | 6-3 | 215 lb | Houston, TX