cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaheem Joseph /UNLV

Jaheem Joseph

S · UNLV · Jr · #3

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

73 TACKLES · 3.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to UNLV for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Safety · UNLV

Returning around him

  • 15% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (15 in / 15 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

UNLV · Last season: 10-4 · Talent rank #51 · 2026 recruiting class #95

S · UNLV · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jaheem Joseph

  • 3
  • #3
  • 5-10 | 200 lb
  • Miami, FL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

75

All-Conference in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 91st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#14301

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DB AWARD

Jim Thorpe

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#908 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionS
Class3
Jersey3
Measurements5-10 | 200 lb
HometownMiami, FL
Primary teamUNLV

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 908 recruit
Composite rating 0.8607 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2020
Origin Monsignor Pace Opa Locka, FL, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 3-star | 0.8607 No. 908 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination UNLV 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 10, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 West Virginia -> UNLV 3-star | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#14301Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#14318Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8607

#908 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaheem Joseph

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaheem Joseph

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

final
Through 13g
73Tackles
8Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks
Per game
6Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.3Sacks
Final
73Tackles
8Tackles for loss
3.5Sacks

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaheem Joseph is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on UNLV's defense, with 3.5 sacks, 8.0 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #14301 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 73 44 solo | #227/4942 (95th pct)
TFL 8.0 Backfield disruption | #198/4972 (96th pct)
Sacks 3.5 Pass-rush finish | #233/4972 (95th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender | High-volume tackler against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defenderHigh-volume tackler

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
73 95th
SOLO
44 97th
TFL
8.0 96th
SACK
3.5 95th

Coverage & Takeaways

PD
3 76th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 38-31vs Idaho State442.00.01
Wk 1W 38-21@ Sam Houston330.00.00
Wk 2W 30-23vs UCLA630.50.50
Wk 4W 41-38@ Miami (OH)971.00.00
Wk 6W 31-17@ Wyoming321.00.01
Wk 7W 51-48vs Air Force1030.00.00Season-high 10 tackles
Wk 8L 31-56@ Boise State330.00.00
Wk 10L 35-40vs New Mexico611.51.00
Wk 11W 42-10@ Colorado State430.00.01
Wk 12W 29-26vs Utah State770.00.00
Wk 14W 42-17@ Nevada522.02.002 sacks
Wk 15L 21-38@ Boise State610.00.00
BowlL 10-17@ Ohio750.00.00
Total73448.03.53
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Northwestern3-9HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Run-leaning
2022Northwestern1-11HC: Pat Fitzgerald · Balanced
2023Northwestern8-5HC: David Braun · Run-leaning
2025UNLV10-4HC: Dan Mullen · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025UNLV73448.03.53----
2023Northwestern23180.00.013--
2022Northwestern970.00.01----
2021Northwestern4--0.00.0------
Career4 loaded seasons109698.03.553--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 3 Coverage disruption | #521/2184 (76th pct)
QB pressures 0 Quarterback hurries
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 73 #227/4942 95th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 8.0 #198/4972 96th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 3.5 #233/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Pass breakups 3 #521/2184 76th pct Coveragevs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 44 #137/4584 97th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 1 #103/736 86th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home5g6.60.80.30.2
Road8g5.00.50.20.2

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins9g5.70.70.30.3
Losses4g5.50.40.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g6.00.60.10.3
Weeks 8+6g5.20.60.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the S cohort

75All-Conference
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: solo tackles (95th). Strength: tackles for loss (92nd). Concern: qb hurries (22nd).

Solo tackles#137 / 2975 · 95th pct
44defe
Tackles for loss#198 / 2975 · 93rd pct
8.0defe
Tackles#227 / 2975 · 92nd pct
73defe
Sacks#233 / 2975 · 91st pct
3.5defe
Passes defended#517 / 2975 · 78th pct
3defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
QB hurries#1662 / 2975 · 22nd pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · S · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jaheem JosephUNLVChris JonesSouthern Miss· 94% simMichael MontgomerySouthern Miss· 92% simOwen LongColorado State· 91% sim
Solo tackles
95
Joseph
97
Jones
82
Montgomery
99
Long
Tackles for loss
93
Joseph
96
Jones
85
Montgomery
80
Long
Tackles
92
Joseph
100
Jones
99
Montgomery
100
Long
Sacks
91
Joseph
91
Jones
89
Montgomery
80
Long
Passes defended
78
Joseph
67
Jones
67
Montgomery
91
Long
Forced fumbles
47
Joseph
47
Long
QB hurries
22
Joseph
22
Jones
22
Montgomery
22
Long

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Box Safety

Lives near the line of scrimmage as a de facto extra linebacker.

S

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Marquel Broughton’s 2020 season.

Marquel Broughton

88%match

Army · 2020

#2

Tykee Smith

Georgia · 2023

All-SECNFL Rd 3 · Pk 26
88%
#3

Christian Izien

Rutgers · 2021

86%
#4

Shawn Asbury II

Indiana · 2024

83%
#5

Ahmaad Moses

SMU · 2024

83%

Matches Marquel on

PD rate
Tackle volume
Height

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a graduate, his production profile tracks closest to Marcus Williams's graduate season at Rice (2025).

Marcus Williams

65%match

Rice · 2025

#2

Johnny Hodges

TCU · 2024

All-Big 12
36%
#3

Jyron Gilmore

Georgia Tech · 2025

32%
#4

J'Dan Burnett

Tulsa · 2025

20%
#5

Isaac Walker

Jacksonville State · 2025

All-Sun Belt
16%

Matches Marcus on

Class year
Weight
Tackle volume

Differs from Marcus on

PD rate (lower)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Dan Mullen

Pass share

46.5%

423 pass / 487 run

Plays / game

65.0

14 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.8%

283 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

3 coaches
2021
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2022
Marcus Arroyo
UNLV
2023
Barry Odom
UNLV
era →
2025
Dan Mullen
UNLV
era →

Played under 3 different head coaches: Marcus Arroyo, Barry Odom, and Dan Mullen. Multi-era developmental context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMiami, FL
Height5'10"
Weight200 lb
Class3
PositionS
Jersey3

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 West Virginia S3 #14301 #14318 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Northwestern S3 #10246 #10315 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Northwestern S3 #13142 #13310 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten
2021 Northwestern S3 #12182 #12150 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 UNLV Mountain West S 3 No. 3 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Miami, FL
2024 West Virginia Big 12 S 3 No. 3 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Miami, FL
2023 Northwestern Big Ten S 3 No. 3 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Miami, FL
2022 Northwestern Big Ten S 3 No. 3 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Miami, FL
2021 Northwestern Big Ten S 3 No. 3 | 5-10 | 200 lb | Miami, FL