CFB Zeitgeist Score
60
Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by passes defended at the 98th percentile.
Jahari Rogers
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
31 TACKLES · 0.5 SACKS
2026 Outlook
Returning to Colorado State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Defensive back · Colorado State
Returning around him
- 50% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
- Transfer portal: -7 net (31 in / 38 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Colorado State · Last season: 2-10 · Talent rank #92 · 2026 recruiting class #106
DB · COLORADO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST
Jahari Rogers
- 4
- #4
- 6-0 | 190 lb
- Arlington, TX
Heisman Heat
#6235
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP DB AWARD
Jim Thorpe
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 1 · 2-deepR04 · Rotational
Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★★
CFB
College
2 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 4-star | 0.9630 | No. 87 recruit | HighSchool | Florida |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
No achievements unlocked yet this season.
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★★☆
to Florida
Composite
0.9630
#87 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Jahari Rogers
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Jahari Rogers
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
Awaiting candidate metric
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the defensive totals stand
Through 12g
31Tackles
3.5Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Per game
3Tackles
0.3Tackles for loss
0Sacks
Projected (13g)
34Tackles
3.8Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
To hit 80-tackle season (currently 31): needs 49/game over remaining 1.
To hit 100-tackle season (currently 31): needs 69/game over remaining 1.
To hit 6-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 5.5/game over remaining 1.
To hit 10-sack season (currently 0.5): needs 9.5/game over remaining 1.
Why this is a rare defensive case
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Jahari Rogers is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Colorado State's defense, with 0.5 sacks, 3.5 tackles for loss, and 1 interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
DEF season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Coverage splash against FBS defenders.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Tackling & Disruption
TOT
31 74th
SOLO
21 79th
TFL
3.5 83rd
SACK
0.5 70th
QBH
1 44th
Coverage & Takeaways
PD
8 98th
INT
1 65th
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 12 games
| Wk | Opp | TKL | SOLO | TFL | SACK | INT | PD | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 21-38@ Washington | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 2 | W 21-17vs Northern Colorado | 5 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1 | 1 | Season-high 5 tackles |
| Wk 4 | L 16-17vs UTSA | 4 | 4 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 5 | L 3-20vs Washington State | 3 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 2 | |
| Wk 6 | L 24-45@ San Diego State | 2 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 7 | W 49-21vs Fresno State | 2 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 8 | L 19-31vs Hawai'i | 5 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 9 | L 0-28@ Wyoming | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 11 | L 10-42vs UNLV | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 1 | |
| Wk 12 | L 17-20@ New Mexico | 3 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 13 | L 21-49@ Boise State | 1 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Wk 14 | L 21-42vs Air Force | 2 | 1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0 | |
| Total | 31 | 21 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 1 | 8 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021SMU8-4HC: Jim Leavitt · Balanced
2022SMU7-6HC: Rhett Lashlee · Balanced, fast tempo
2023SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2024SMU11-3HC: Rhett Lashlee · Run-leaning
2025Colorado State2-10HC: Jay Norvell · Balanced
| Season | Team | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | 31 | 21 | 3.5 | 0.5 | 8 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | SMU | 3 | 3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3 | -- | -- |
| 2023 | SMU | 16 | 15 | 1.0 | 0.0 | -- | 1 | -- |
| 2022 | SMU | 24 | 19 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 3 | 2 | -- |
| 2021 | SMU | 26 | 24 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 8 | -- | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 100 | 82 | 5.5 | 0.5 | 22 | 4 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.
Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defense | Total tackles | 31 | #1302/4942 | 74th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | TFL | 3.5 | #869/4972 | 83rd pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Sacks | 0.5 | #1501/4972 | 70th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Interceptions | 1 | #308/869 | 65th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Pass breakups | 8 | #45/2184 | 98th pct | Coveragevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | QB hurries | 1 | #1051/1878 | 44th pct | Disruptionvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | Solo tackles | 21 | #959/4584 | 79th pct | Volumevs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return avg | 16.0 | #267/578 | 54th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
| Defense | INT return yards | 16 | #350/578 | 40th pct | Takeawaysvs FBS DEF |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Thorpe award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 12 games
Home vs Road
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home7g | 3.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.9 |
| Road5g | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.4 |
Win vs Loss
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins2g | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Losses10g | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.6 |
First half vs Second half
| TKL/g | TFL/g | SACK/g | PD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 2.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.8 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 2.3 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the DB cohort
60Solid starter
Elite: passes defended (97th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · DB · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Jahari RogersColorado StateKeaton ThomasBaylor· 76% simRobert FitzgeraldNorthwestern· 76% simBaron HopsonKennesaw State· 76% sim
Passes defended
Tackles for loss
Solo tackles
Tackles
QB hurries
Sacks
Interceptions
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Centerfielder
Single-high range who erases the deep middle of the field.
S
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Decorian Patterson’s 2021 season.
Decorian Patterson
87%match
#2
Marcellas Dial
All-SECNFL Rd 6
85%
#3
Ahmari Harvey
85%
#4
Jaden Robinson
81%
#5
Justin Walley
NFL Rd 3 · Pk 16
82%
Matches Decorian on
PD rate
Weight
Interceptions
Differs from Decorian on
Class year (higher)
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Jay Norvell
Pass share
52.1%
393 pass / 362 run
Plays / game
62.9
12 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
11.1%
315 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Steve Addazio
Colorado State
2022era →
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2023
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2024
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
2025
Jay Norvell
Colorado State
Coaching transition mid-career: Steve Addazio → Jay Norvell. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownArlington, TX
Height6'0"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionDB
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamColorado State
ConferenceMountain West
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
No formal honors on the ledger yet
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | SMU | DB4 | #6235 | #6266 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | SMU | DB4 | #7793 | #7677 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2022 | SMU | DB4 | #12009 | #12282 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
| 2021 | SMU | DB4 | #10043 | #9966 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | American Athletic |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Colorado State | Mountain West | DB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Arlington, TX |
| 2024 | SMU | ACC | DB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Arlington, TX |
| 2023 | SMU | American Athletic | DB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Arlington, TX |
| 2022 | SMU | American Athletic | DB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Arlington, TX |
| 2021 | SMU | American Athletic | DB | 4 | No. 4 | 6-0 | 190 lb | Arlington, TX |