cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jaden Bray /West Virginia

Jaden Bray

WR · West Virginia · Sr · #5

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

95 REC YDS · 7 REC · 0 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to West Virginia for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to West Virginia for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Wide receiver · West Virginia

Returning around him

  • 26% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • Transfer portal: -16 net (34 in / 50 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

West Virginia · Last season: 4-8 · Talent rank #63 · 2026 recruiting class #43

WR · WEST VIRGINIA · BIG 12

Jaden Bray

  • 4
  • #5
  • 6-2 | 209 lb
  • Norman, OK

CFB Zeitgeist Score

20

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 58th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3402

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R03 · Backup

Backup. On the two-deep, pushing for snaps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2021–2025
2502021
54.02022
3822023
95.02025

-62%

Sharp dropoff (-62%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#969 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class4
Jersey5
Measurements6-2 | 209 lb
HometownNorman, OK
Primary teamWest Virginia

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 969 recruit
Composite rating 0.8578 HighSchool
Signed with -- 2021
Origin Norman Norman, OK, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8578 No. 969 recruit | HighSchool

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination West Virginia 2024
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 11, 2023
Season Move Context
2024 Oklahoma State -> West Virginia 3-star | 0.8700 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3402Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3509Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to —

Composite

0.8578

#969 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jaden Bray

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jaden Bray

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 2g
95Rec yards
7Receptions
0Rec TDs
Per game
47.5Rec yards
4Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
617.5Rec yards
46Receptions
0Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 95): needs 55/game over remaining 11.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 95): needs 82.3/game over remaining 11.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 7): needs 4.8/game over remaining 11.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 7): needs 6.6/game over remaining 11.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.7/game over remaining 11.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 0): needs 0.9/game over remaining 11.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jaden Bray's story is about how role and output meet each other. For West Virginia, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #3402 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.8% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 1 portal move

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 7 0 rec TD | #667/1110 (40th pct)
Receiving yards 95 13.6 per catch | #642/1107 (42nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 95 Total offensive yardage | #642/1107 (42nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
7 40th
YDS
95 42nd
YPR
13.6 64th
TD
0 45th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 2 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 45-3vs Robert Morris3268.7011
Wk 2L 10-17@ Ohio46917.3045Season-high 69 yds
Total79513.0045
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Oklahoma State11-2HC: Mike Gundy · Run-leaning, fast tempo
2022Oklahoma State7-6HC: Mike Gundy · Balanced, fast tempo
2023Oklahoma State10-4HC: Mike Gundy · Pass-leaning
2025West Virginia4-8HC: Rich Rodriguez · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025West Virginia79513.60--
2023Oklahoma State3038212.72--
2022Oklahoma State55410.80--
2021Oklahoma State1325019.22--
Career4 loaded seasons5578114.24--
SeasonTeam
2025West Virginia----------
2023Oklahoma State1-5------
2022Oklahoma State1-2------
2021Oklahoma State----------
Career4 loaded seasons2-7------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.8% 16.1% pass-game share | #197/1137 (83rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 0 Across offense and returns | #615/1111 (45th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 7 #667/1110 40th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 95 #642/1107 42nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 0 #615/1111 45th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 13.6 #400/1106 64th pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.1% #197/1137 83rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 45 #344/1105 69th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 12.0% #132/1137 88th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.1% #179/1137 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.8% #319/1137 72nd pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.8% #291/1137 74th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 5.2% #369/1137 68th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 5.0% #425/1137 63rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 2 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home1g3.026.08.70.0
Road1g4.069.017.30.0

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins1g3.026.08.70.0
Losses1g4.069.017.30.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-72g3.547.513.00.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

20Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#235 / 558 · 58th pct
13.6rece
Long catch#300 / 558 · 45th pct
45rece
Rec TDs#482 / 558 · 7th pct
0rece
Rec yards#552 / 558 · 1st pct
95rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
7rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jaden BrayWest VirginiaJacquon GibsonMassachusetts· 44% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 42% simKevin Coleman Jr.Missouri· 42% sim
Yards / catch
58
Bray
15
Gibson
9
III
28
Jr.
Long catch
45
Bray
56
Gibson
16
III
56
Jr.
Rec TDs
7
Bray
7
Gibson
24
III
24
Jr.
Rec yards
1
Bray
74
Gibson
70
III
84
Jr.
Receptions
0
Bray
92
Gibson
92
III
94
Jr.

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Rich Rodriguez

Pass share

38.7%

327 pass / 517 run

Plays / game

70.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

10.7%

272 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

2 coaches
2021
Neal Brown
West Virginia
2022
Neal Brown
West Virginia
2023
Neal Brown
West Virginia
2025
Rich Rodriguez
West Virginia
era →

Coaching transition mid-career: Neal Brown → Rich Rodriguez. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNorman, OK
Height6'2"
Weight209 lb
Class4
PositionWR
Jersey5

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 West Virginia WR4 #3402 #3509 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Big 12
2023 Oklahoma State WR4 #804 #804 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big 12
2022 Oklahoma State WR4 #2291 #2382 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12
2021 Oklahoma State WR4 #600 #484 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big 12

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 West Virginia Big 12 WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 209 lb | Norman, OK
2024 West Virginia Big 12 WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 209 lb | Norman, OK
2023 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 209 lb | Norman, OK
2022 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 209 lb | Norman, OK
2021 Oklahoma State Big 12 WR 4 No. 5 | 6-2 | 209 lb | Norman, OK