cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacolby Criswell /North Carolina

Jacolby Criswell

QB · North Carolina · Sr · #6

Limited signal — not enough coverage for a story yet.

ALUMNUSArkansas 2023 alumnus

QB · NORTH CAROLINA · ACC

Jacolby Criswell

  • 4
  • #6
  • 6-1 | 230 lb
  • Morrilton, AR

CFB Zeitgeist QB Score

Awaiting

Heisman Heat

#914

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R02 · Deep reserve

Deep reserve. In the program, working up the two-deep.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · passing yards

2021–2023
1792021
9.02022
1432023

-20%

Sharp dropoff (-20%) — career inflection point.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★★
#267 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2023
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class4
Jersey6
Measurements6-1 | 230 lb
HometownMorrilton, AR
Primary teamNorth Carolina

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 4-star No. 267 recruit
Composite rating 0.9070 HighSchool
Signed with North Carolina 2020
Origin Morrilton Morrilton, AR, USA
Class Profile Context
2020 4-star | 0.9070 No. 267 recruit | HighSchool | North Carolina

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 3 Programs changed on file
Latest destination East Tennessee State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 22, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 North Carolina -> East Tennessee State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2024 Arkansas -> North Carolina 3-star | 0.8500 | Immediate
2023 North Carolina -> Arkansas 3-star | 0.8800 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#914Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#866Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★★☆

to North Carolina

Composite

0.9070

#267 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacolby Criswell

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacolby Criswell

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacolby Criswell's story is about how role and output meet each other. For North Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #914 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 13.5% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Blue-chip pedigree No. 267 recruit

2023 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2023 season snapshot | final

2023 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 143 3 TD | 0 INT | #245/382 (36th pct)
Completion rate 63.0% 17/27 completions | #168/383 (56th pct)
Yards/attempt 5.3 Explosiveness through the air | #302/382 (21st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Balanced quarterback against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Balanced profile

2023 Season · Final

2023 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
17 39th
ATT
27 42nd
CMP%
63.0% 56th
Y/A
5.3 21st

Passing Production

YDS
143 36th
TD
3 57th
INT
0 100th

Rushing

CAR
23 53rd
YDS
44 53rd
YPC
1.9 37th
TD
0 44th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 2L 17-72@ Tennessee7/1276006.3--Season-high 76 yds
Total7/1276006.3
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021North Carolina6-6HC: Mack Brown · Run-leaning
2022North Carolina9-5HC: Mack Brown · Balanced
2023Arkansas4-8HC: Sam Pittman · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2023Arkansas172763.0%1435.330144.1----
2022North Carolina2633.3%91.50045.9----
2021North Carolina132161.9%1798.510149.2----
Career3 loaded seasons325459.3%3316.140135.2----
SeasonTeam
2023Arkansas23441.90--
2022North Carolina4379.20--
2021North Carolina7689.71--
Career3 loaded seasons341494.41--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 44 0 rush TD | #193/408 (53rd pct)
Usage 13.5% 21.0% pass share | 6.5% rush share | #249/428 (42nd pct)
Passing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 143 #245/382 36th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 3 #178/407 57th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 17 #233/383 39th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 63.0% #168/383 56th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 5.3 #302/382 21st pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 44 #193/408 53rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Usage Role share 13.5% #249/428 42nd pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 27 #237/407 42nd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 0 #1/407 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 60 #21/391 95th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 23 #193/408 53rd pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.9 #259/407 37th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 0 #230/408 44th pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 21.0% #254/428 41st pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 17.9% #219/428 49th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 16.1% #256/428 40th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 12.3% #244/428 43rd pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 11.9% #243/428 43rd pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 11.1% #297/428 31st pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 6.5% #236/428 45th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 3 #213/258 18th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Road1g76.00.06.30.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Losses1g76.00.06.30.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-71g76.00.06.30.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Box-score Savant card waits for a season-stat snapshot above the cohort floor. Returns once enough box-score volume lands.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator returns once this player clears the Savant metric floor (4+ scored bars).
DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Bill Belichick

Pass share

51.1%

355 pass / 340 run

Plays / game

57.9

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.4%

262 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced, slow tempo.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2023

1 coach
2021
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2022
Mack Brown
North Carolina
2023
Mack Brown
North Carolina

Played his entire career under Mack Brown.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownMorrilton, AR
Height6'1"
Weight230 lb
Class4
PositionQB
Jersey6

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 North Carolina QB4 #914 #866 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Arkansas QB4 #900 #1002 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | SEC
2022 North Carolina QB4 #829 #661 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC
2021 North Carolina QB4 #220 #178 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2024 North Carolina ACC QB 4 No. 6 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Morrilton, AR
2023 Arkansas SEC QB 4 No. 6 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Morrilton, AR
2022 North Carolina ACC QB 4 No. 6 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Morrilton, AR
2021 North Carolina ACC QB 4 No. 6 | 6-1 | 230 lb | Morrilton, AR