cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jacob Bostick /San Diego State

Jacob Bostick

WR · San Diego State · Jr · #86

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

157 REC YDS · 11 REC · 3 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to San Diego State for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Wide receiver · San Diego State

Returning around him

  • 80% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 San Diego State player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +0 net (26 in / 26 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

San Diego State · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #86 · 2026 recruiting class #78

WR · SAN DIEGO STATE · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jacob Bostick

  • 3
  • #86
  • 6-2 | 185 lb
  • Palatine, IL

CFB Zeitgeist Score

32

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / catch at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#2570

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#635 national
CFB
College
San Diego State
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey86
Measurements6-2 | 185 lb
HometownPalatine, IL
Primary teamSan Diego State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 635 recruit
Composite rating 0.8759 HighSchool
Signed with Iowa 2022
Origin Palatine Palatine, IL, USA
Class Profile Context
2022 3-star | 0.8759 No. 635 recruit | HighSchool | Iowa

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination San Diego State 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 1, 2025
Season Move Context
2025 Texas A&M -> San Diego State 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate
2024 Iowa -> Texas A&M 3-star | 0.8600 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#2570Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#2335Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Iowa

Composite

0.8759

#635 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jacob Bostick

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

100

Grounded Optimism

Sample 1 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +100 · "The San Diego State Aztecs are finally in the Pac-12 under 3rd-year head coach S"Own fans
  • Own fans · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jacob Bostick

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 5g
157Rec yards
11Receptions
3Rec TDs
Per game
31.4Rec yards
2Receptions
1Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
408.2Rec yards
29Receptions
8Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 157): needs 67.9/game over remaining 8.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 157): needs 105.4/game over remaining 8.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 11): needs 6.1/game over remaining 8.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 11): needs 8.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 0.6/game over remaining 8.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 3): needs 0.9/game over remaining 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jacob Bostick's story is about how role and output meet each other. For San Diego State, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #2570 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 11 3 rec TD | #559/1110 (50th pct)
Receiving yards 157 14.3 per catch | #530/1107 (52nd pct)
Scrimmage yards 157 Total offensive yardage | #530/1107 (52nd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
11 50th
YDS
157 52nd
YPR
14.3 71st
TD
3 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 5 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-0vs Stony Brook35317.7125Season-high 53 yds
Wk 2L 13-36@ Washington State34816.0135
Wk 4W 34-0vs California4256.3019
Wk 5W 6-3@ Northern Illinois
Wk 7W 44-10@ Nevada13131.0131
Total1115717.8335
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025San Diego State9-4HC: Sean Lewis · Run-heavy
SeasonTeam
2025San Diego State1115714.33--
Career1 loaded season1115714.33--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.3% 16.2% pass-game share | #192/1137 (83rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 3 Across offense and returns | #206/1111 (82nd pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 11 #559/1110 50th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 157 #530/1107 52nd pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 3 #206/1111 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 14.3 #318/1106 71st pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 16.2% #192/1137 83rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 35 #527/1105 52nd pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 11.0% #181/1137 84th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 7.5% #270/1137 76th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.4% #427/1137 63rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.3% #334/1137 71st pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.9% #435/1137 62nd pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.3% #478/1137 58th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 5 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home2g3.539.012.00.5
Road3g1.326.323.50.7

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins4g2.027.218.30.5
Losses1g3.048.016.01.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-75g2.231.417.80.6

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

32Below cohort
5 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: receptions (0th).

Yards / catch#175 / 558 · 68th pct
14.3rece
Rec TDs#205 / 558 · 57th pct
3rece
Long catch#436 / 558 · 21st pct
35rece
Rec yards#514 / 558 · 8th pct
157rece
Receptions#559 / 558 · 0th pct
11rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Jacob BostickSan Diego StateAaron TurnerRice· 42% simMichael Jackson IIIPurdue· 42% simTrent WalkerOregon State· 42% sim
Yards / catch
68
Bostick
1
Turner
9
III
40
Walker
Rec TDs
57
Bostick
68
Turner
24
III
42
Walker
Long catch
21
Bostick
65
Turner
16
III
39
Walker
Rec yards
8
Bostick
48
Turner
70
III
89
Walker
Receptions
0
Bostick
92
Turner
92
III
95
Walker

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Sean Lewis

Pass share

35.3%

290 pass / 532 run

Plays / game

63.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

224 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-heavy.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Sean Lewis
San Diego State

Played his entire career under Sean Lewis.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownPalatine, IL
Height6'2"
Weight185 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey86

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Texas A&M WR3 #2570 #2335 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | SEC
2023 Iowa WR3 #3095 #2800 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Big Ten
2022 Iowa WR3 #3225 #2983 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 San Diego State Mountain West WR 3 No. 86 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Palatine, IL
2024 Texas A&M SEC WR 3 No. 86 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Palatine, IL
2023 Iowa Big Ten WR 3 No. 86 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Palatine, IL
2022 Iowa Big Ten WR 3 No. 86 | 6-2 | 185 lb | Palatine, IL