cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jackie Johnson III /Hawai'i

Jackie Johnson III

DL · Hawai'i · Sr · #57

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

28 TACKLES · 6.5 SACKS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Hawai'i for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Hawai'i for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Defensive line · Hawai'i

Returning around him

  • 46% of 2024 offensive production back (Moderate turnover)
  • Transfer portal: +7 net (16 in / 9 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Hawai'i · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #120 · 2026 recruiting class #124

DL · HAWAI'I · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jackie Johnson III

  • 4
  • #57
  • 6-0 | 245 lb
  • Honolulu, HI

CFB Zeitgeist Score

63

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by sacks at the 98th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#13606

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP DEFENSE AWARD

Nagurski

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 1 · 2-deep

R04 · Rotational

Rotational. Earning real snaps in the rotation.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
Hawai'i
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionDL
Class4
Jersey57
Measurements6-0 | 245 lb
HometownHonolulu, HI
Primary teamHawai'i

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#13606Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#13565Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jackie Johnson III

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jackie Johnson III

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the defensive totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
28Tackles
7.5Tackles for loss
6.5Sacks
Per game
2Tackles
0.6Tackles for loss
0.5Sacks
Projected (13g)
30Tackles
8.1Tackles for loss
7Sacks

To hit 80-tackle season (currently 28): needs 52/game over remaining 1.

To hit 100-tackle season (currently 28): needs 72/game over remaining 1.

✓ Hit 6-sack season · finished with 6.5.

To hit 10-sack season (currently 6.5): needs 3.5/game over remaining 1.

Why this is a rare defensive case

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jackie Johnson III is trying to climb the steepest award hill in college football: a defensive candidacy. The hook is the disruption profile on Hawai'i's defense, with 6.5 sacks, 7.5 tackles for loss, and -- interceptions through the current loaded season. For a defender, the question is never just production; it is whether elite disruption and team context can become nationally undeniable.

Current place #13606 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load -- Role share still loading
Profile quirk Honors spine 1 honors loaded

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

DEF season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Total tackles 28 9 solo | #1469/4942 (70th pct)
TFL 7.5 Backfield disruption | #234/4972 (95th pct)
Sacks 6.5 Pass-rush finish | #55/4972 (99th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

High-disruption defender against FBS defenders.

High-disruption defender

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Tackling & Disruption

TOT
28 70th
SOLO
9 54th
TFL
7.5 95th
SACK
6.5 99th
QBH
3 75th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppTKLSOLOTFLSACKINTPDNote
Wk 1W 23-20vs Stanford110.00.00
Wk 1L 6-40@ Arizona311.01.00
Wk 2W 37-20vs Sam Houston311.01.00
Wk 3W 23-3vs Portland State210.50.50
Wk 4L 21-23vs Fresno State100.00.00
Wk 5W 44-35@ Air Force111.01.00
Wk 7W 44-26vs Utah State210.00.00
Wk 8W 31-19@ Colorado State211.51.50
Wk 10L 38-45@ San José State200.00.00
Wk 11W 38-6vs San Diego State111.01.00
Wk 13L 10-38@ UNLV600.00.00Season-high 6 tackles
Wk 14W 27-7vs Wyoming411.50.50
Total2897.56.50
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Hawai'i9-4HC: Timmy Chang · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Hawai'i2897.56.5------
Career1 loaded season2897.56.5------
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Disruption stats

TFL, sacks, and QB hurries are grouped together because defensive Heisman cases are usually built on visible havoc, not on tackle counts alone.

Coverage splash

Pass breakups, interceptions, and forced fumbles matter because national awards voters respond to plays that change possessions and highlight reels.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

INT -- -- pick-six TD
Pass breakups 0 Coverage disruption
QB pressures 3 Quarterback hurries | #462/1878 (75th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Defense Total tackles 28 #1469/4942 70th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense TFL 7.5 #234/4972 95th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Sacks 6.5 #55/4972 99th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense QB hurries 3 #462/1878 75th pct Disruptionvs FBS DEF
Defense Solo tackles 9 #2127/4584 54th pct Volumevs FBS DEF
Defense Fumbles recovered 2 #13/736 98th pct Takeawaysvs FBS DEF
Ball Security Fumbles lost 0 #1/773 100th pct Turnoversvs FBS DEF

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Lombardi award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Home7g2.00.60.40.0
Road5g2.80.70.70.0

Win vs Loss

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Wins8g2.00.80.70.0
Losses4g3.00.20.20.0

First half vs Second half

TKL/gTFL/gSACK/gPD/g
Weeks 1-77g1.90.50.50.0
Weeks 8+5g3.00.80.60.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the DL cohort

63Solid starter
7 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: sacks (97th). Strength: tackles for loss (91st). Concern: passes defended (17th).

Sacks#55 / 2975 · 98th pct
6.5defe
Tackles for loss#234 / 2975 · 91st pct
7.5defe
QB hurries#457 / 2975 · 82nd pct
3defe
Tackles#1469 / 2975 · 49th pct
28defe
Forced fumbles#36 / 687 · 47th pct
0fumb
Solo tackles#2127 / 2975 · 26th pct
9defe
Passes defended#1916 / 2975 · 18th pct
0defe

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · DL · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Jackie Johnson IIIHawai'iMarcAnthony ParkerNavy· 67% simEthan WesloskiNorth Texas· 65% simAmare CampbellPenn State· 64% sim
Sacks
98
III
80
Parker
74
Wesloski
89
Campbell
Tackles for loss
91
III
87
Parker
95
Wesloski
96
Campbell
QB hurries
82
III
88
Parker
95
Wesloski
88
Campbell
Tackles
49
III
98
Parker
99
Wesloski
99
Campbell
Forced fumbles
47
III
47
Parker
47
Wesloski
47
Campbell
Solo tackles
26
III
96
Parker
99
Wesloski
100
Campbell
Passes defended
18
III
18
Parker
18
Wesloski
48
Campbell

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The 3-Tech Penetrator

Disruptive interior rusher who lives in the backfield.

IDL

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Mohamed Kamara’s 2023 season.

Mohamed Kamara

80%match

Colorado State · 2023

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
#2

Mohamed Kamara

Colorado State · 2021

NFL Rd 5
78%
#3

Latrell Bankston

Houston · 2021

73%
#4

Kameron Wilson

Cincinnati · 2024

73%
#5

David Reese

California · 2023

70%

Matches Mohamed on

Weight
TFL rate
Sack rate

Differs from Mohamed on

Height (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Mohamed Kamara's sophomore season at Colorado State (2021).

Mohamed Kamara

85%match

Colorado State · 2021

All-Mountain WestNFL Rd 5
#2

Jadrian Taylor

UTEP · 2021

All-Conference USA
85%
#3

Anthony Ekpe

Ball State · 2021

All-MAC
84%
#4

Adrian Hope

Coastal Carolina · 2022

82%
#5

Maurice Westmoreland

UTEP · 2023

All-Conference USA
80%

Matches Mohamed on

Class year
TFL rate
Weight

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Timmy Chang

Pass share

60.2%

540 pass / 357 run

Plays / game

69.0

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

427 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Timmy Chang
Hawai'i

Played his entire career under Timmy Chang.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHonolulu, HI
Height6'0"
Weight245 lb
Class4
PositionDL
Jersey57

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

1 entries
🎖

ALL-CONFERENCE

All-Conf mention (2025)

All-Mountain West

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

1 all-conference honor

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Mountain West all_conference Mountain West DL

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Hawai'i DL4 #13606 #13565 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Mountain West
2023 Hawai'i DL4 #14905 #14952 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Mountain West

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Hawai'i Mountain West DL 4 No. 57 | 6-0 | 245 lb | Honolulu, HI
2024 Hawai'i Mountain West DL 4 No. 57 | 6-0 | 245 lb | Honolulu, HI
2023 Hawai'i Mountain West DL 4 No. 57 | 6-0 | 245 lb | Honolulu, HI