cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Jack Layne /New Mexico

Jack Layne

QB · New Mexico · Jr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

2,486 PASS YDS · 13 PASS TD · 152 RUSH YDS

2026 RETURNINGReturning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to New Mexico for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Quarterback · New Mexico

Returning around him

  • 12% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
  • 1 New Mexico player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (15 in / 14 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

New Mexico · Last season: 9-4 · Talent rank #131 · 2026 recruiting class #138

QB · NEW MEXICO · MOUNTAIN WEST

Jack Layne

  • 3
  • #2
  • 6-2 | 206 lb
  • Lake Oswego, OR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

57

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by yards / att at the 68th percentile.

Heisman Heat

Awaiting

Not on the live Heisman board this week.

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

TOP QB AWARD

Davey O'Brien

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R06 · Starter

Starter. A locked-in starting role.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
New Mexico
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionQB
Class3
Jersey2
Measurements6-2 | 206 lb
HometownLake Oswego, OR
Primary teamNew Mexico

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 1 Programs changed on file
Latest destination New Mexico 2025
Transfer stars 3-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Dec 26, 2024
Season Move Context
2025 Idaho -> New Mexico 3-star | 0.8300 | Immediate

Heisman Lens

Where the model places this player relative to the rest of the Heisman field.

Current nowcast--Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast--Where the full season sim points
Win probability--Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability--Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability--Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in passing yards (2486).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Jack Layne

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmRivals: 1 mentions · belief +0 · "Bryce Underwood 21/31 251 yards (8.1 avg) 1 TD 0 INT 54.2 QBR Jack Layne 31/47 "Rivals
  • Rivals · n=1

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Jack Layne

Only 1 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the passing totals stand

final
Through 13g
2,486Pass yards
13Pass TDs
10INT
Per game
191.2Pass yards
1Pass TDs
1INT
Final
2,486Pass yards
13Pass TDs
10INT

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Jack Layne's story is about how role and output meet each other. For New Mexico, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place -- -- win | -- finalist
Role load 48.7% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Development arc The card should explain why this profile stands out

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

QB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Pass yards 2,486 13 TD | 10 INT | #63/382 (84th pct)
Completion rate 65.1% 213/327 completions | #129/383 (67th pct)
Yards/attempt 7.6 Explosiveness through the air | #118/382 (69th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Steady volume | Efficient | Dual-threat against FBS QB peers. The quickest read is whether the profile wins on volume, efficiency, explosiveness, or rushing value.

Steady volumeEfficientDual-threat

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Passing Efficiency

CMP
213 86th
ATT
327 84th
CMP%
65.1% 67th
Y/A
7.6 69th

Passing Production

YDS
2,486 84th
TD
13 81st
INT
10 8th

Rushing

CAR
87 84th
YDS
152 75th
YPC
1.7 35th
TD
4 82nd

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 13 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCMP/ATTYDSTDINTYPAQBRNote
Wk 1L 17-34@ Michigan31/47208134.455.13 INTs — rough day
Wk 2W 32-22vs Idaho State13/21155007.435.0
Wk 3W 35-10@ UCLA12/16152209.574.5
Wk 5W 38-20vs New Mexico State23/303034010.171.74 TD passes
Wk 6L 28-35@ San José State28/40344038.653.5Season-high 344 yds · 3 INTs — rough day
Wk 7L 25-41@ Boise State7/17115126.820.3
Wk 8W 24-22vs Nevada14/22138006.327.4
Wk 9W 33-14vs Utah State17/22183108.364.0
Wk 10W 40-35@ UNLV17/223423115.570.03 TD passes
Wk 12W 20-17vs Colorado State13/25226009.073.9
Wk 13W 20-3@ Air Force10/15105007.059.0
Wk 14W 23-17vs San Diego State14/25127105.136.4
BowlL 17-20@ Minnesota14/2588013.522.8
Total213/327248613107.851.0
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025New Mexico9-4HC: Jason Eck · Run-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico21332765.1%2,4867.61310136.0----
Career1 loaded season21332765.1%2,4867.61310136.0----
SeasonTeam
2025New Mexico871521.74--
Career1 loaded season871521.74--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Passing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted passing value. Positive numbers mean the quarterback is adding more value through the air than a neutral peer would in the same environment.

Role share

How much of the offense runs through the quarterback once passing and rushing responsibility are blended together.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Rush impact 152 4 rush TD | #105/408 (75th pct)
Usage 48.7% 91.3% pass share | 11.7% rush share | #92/428 (79th pct)
Passing WEPA +0.34 Opponent-adjusted passing value | #49/200 (76th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Passing Passing yards 2,486 #63/382 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Pass TD 13 #80/407 81st pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Passing Completions 213 #55/383 86th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Completion % 65.1% #129/383 67th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Passing Yards / attempt 7.6 #118/382 69th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing yards 152 #105/408 75th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Value Passing WEPA +0.34 #49/200 76th pct Opponent-adjusted passing value | 317 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Usage Role share 48.7% #92/428 79th pct Share of team offensevs FBS QB
Passing Attempts 327 #67/407 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Passing Interceptions 10 #377/407 8th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB
Rushing Carries 87 #68/408 84th pct Volumevs FBS QB
Rushing Rushing LONG 54 #40/391 90th pct Metricvs FBS QB
Rushing Rush TD 4 #74/408 82nd pct Scoringvs FBS QB
Rushing Yards / carry 1.7 #266/407 35th pct Efficiencyvs FBS QB
Usage Pass share 91.3% #49/428 89th pct Air-game usagevs FBS QB
Usage 3rd-down usage 66.7% #56/428 87th pct Money-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Passing-down usage 65.6% #75/428 83rd pct Known-passing sharevs FBS QB
Usage 2nd-down usage 49.1% #89/428 79th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage 1st-down usage 41.9% #95/428 78th pct Early-down loadvs FBS QB
Usage Standard-down usage 41.3% #102/428 76th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS QB
Usage Rush share 11.7% #139/428 68th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS QB
Value Rushing WEPA +0.16 #112/140 21st pct Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 43 weighted playsvs FBS QB
Ball Security Fumbles lost 1 #69/258 74th pct Turnoversvs FBS QB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 13 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Home6g1891.07.70.0
Road7g1931.07.91.4

Win vs Loss

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Wins9g1921.28.70.1
Losses4g1890.55.82.2

First half vs Second half

YDS/gTD/gYPAINT/g
Weeks 1-77g1951.17.21.3
Weeks 8+6g1870.88.50.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the QB cohort

57Solid starter
8 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: interceptions (14th).

Completion %#54 / 183 · 70th pct
65.1%pass
Yards / att#57 / 183 · 68th pct
7.6pass
Fumbles lost#32 / 174 · 66th pct
1fumb
Pass yards#63 / 183 · 66th pct
2486pass
Rush TDs#67 / 183 · 59th pct
4rush
Rush yards#83 / 183 · 55th pct
152rush
Pass TDs#80 / 183 · 55th pct
13pass
Interceptions#153 / 183 · 14th pct
10pass

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Pass Profile · Completion depth (PBP)

Where the throws are landing

117/190 (61.6%) · 7 TD · 9 INT

Short

0–9 yds
53%of completions
62 comp5.0 yds avg4 TD

Middle

10–19 yds
25%of completions
29 comp13.0 yds avg

Deep

20+ yds
22%of completions
26 comp29.1 yds avg3 TD

Overall 61.6% completion on 190 attempts · 26 deep completions averaging 29.1 yds.

Advanced Savant · QB · 2025

Percentile Card

Reads as a mid-tier profile across the board..

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback0.340
59th pct
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

wepa_passing0.34Mid (p50–p75) (n=94)
wepa_rushing0.16Below (<p25) (n=72)

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 8 metrics
Jack LayneNew MexicoJC FrenchGeorgia Southern· 86% simRocco BechtIowa State· 85% simJamal MorrisVirginia· 85% sim
Completion %
70
Layne
62
French
38
Becht
67
Morris
Yards / att
68
Layne
63
French
68
Becht
42
Morris
Fumbles lost
66
Layne
66
French
66
Becht
91
Morris
Pass yards
66
Layne
77
French
69
Becht
80
Morris
Rush TDs
59
Layne
74
French
81
Becht
68
Morris
Rush yards
55
Layne
72
French
46
Becht
65
Morris
Pass TDs
55
Layne
77
French
64
Becht
64
Morris
Interceptions
14
Layne
32
French
22
Becht
22
Morris

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Pocket Passer

Balanced passer who operates within the system. Profile sits near league average across dimensions.

QB

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Grant Wells’s 2021 season.

Grant Wells

82%match

Marshall · 2021

#2

Payton Thorne

Michigan State · 2022

82%
#3

Sean Clifford

Penn State · 2021

NFL Rd 5
79%
#4

Blake Shapen

Baylor · 2022

78%
#5

Ethan Garbers

UCLA · 2024

All-Big Ten
78%

Matches Grant on

Weight
Yards / attempt
TD rate

Differs from Grant on

Rush usage (higher)

Through 2 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Kellen Mond’s path through Texas A&M.

Kellen Mond

94%match

Texas A&M · 2020

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 2
#2

Austin Reed

Western Kentucky · 2023

All-Conference USA
93%
#3

Zac Thomas

App State · 2020

All-Sun Belt
88%
#4

Behren Morton

Texas Tech · 2025

NFL Rd 7
88%
#5

Carlos Del Rio-Wilson

Marshall · 2025

88%

Matches Kellen on

Completion %
Yards per attempt

As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Payton Thorne's junior season at Michigan State (2022).

Payton Thorne

77%match

Michigan State · 2022

#2

Cam Fancher

Marshall · 2023

75%
#3

Luke Altmyer

Illinois · 2023

All-Big Ten
74%
#4

Conner Harrell

Charlotte · 2025

72%
#5

JC French

Georgia Southern · 2025

71%

Matches Payton on

Rush yards / carry
TD rate
EPA / dropback (adj)

Differs from Payton on

Class year (lower)
Rush usage (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Jason Eck

Pass share

43.3%

350 pass / 459 run

Plays / game

62.2

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

11.3%

293 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Run-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Jason Eck
New Mexico

Played his entire career under Jason Eck.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownLake Oswego, OR
Height6'2"
Weight206 lb
Class3
PositionQB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
This player hasn’t appeared on a Heisman ballot tracked by the model.

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 New Mexico Mountain West QB 3 No. 2 | 6-2 | 206 lb | Lake Oswego, OR