CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 66th percentile.
Ja'Vin Simpkins
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
590 RUSH YDS · 2 RUSH TD · 125 CARRIES
Where He Ended Up · Transfer
Transferred to UAB
RB · COASTAL CAROLINA · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rush yards at the 66th percentile.
Heisman Heat
#3045
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterImpact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2023–2025Up 357% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 3-star | 0.8869 | No. 494 recruit | HighSchool | Coastal Carolina |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Coastal Carolina -> UAB | 3-star | 0.8400 | Immediate |
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
Selector Grid · 2025
Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Coastal Carolina
Composite
0.8869
#494 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the rushing totals stand
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
Ja'Vin Simpkins's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Coastal Carolina, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Passing-game back against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 13 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | L 7-48@ Virginia | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | 1 | 8 | |
| Wk 2 | W 13-0vs Charleston Southern | 13 | 58 | 4.5 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 3 | L 0-38vs East Carolina | 4 | 25 | 6.3 | 0 | 14 | |
| Wk 4 | W 38-20@ South Alabama | 9 | 84 | 9.3 | 1 | 24 | Season-high 84 yds |
| Wk 6 | L 7-47@ Old Dominion | 8 | 39 | 4.9 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 7 | W 23-8vs UL Monroe | 10 | 63 | 6.3 | 0 | 46 | |
| Wk 8 | W 45-37@ App State | 9 | 65 | 7.2 | 0 | 26 | |
| Wk 10 | W 44-27vs Marshall | 9 | 38 | 4.2 | 0 | 17 | |
| Wk 11 | W 40-27vs Georgia State | 16 | 74 | 4.6 | 0 | 16 | |
| Wk 12 | L 40-45@ Georgia Southern | 15 | 64 | 4.3 | 0 | 27 | |
| Wk 13 | L 7-51@ South Carolina | 8 | 26 | 3.3 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 14 | L 10-59vs James Madison | 6 | 5 | 0.8 | 0 | 6 | |
| Bowl | L 14-23@ Louisiana Tech | 10 | 23 | 2.3 | 0 | 13 | |
| Total | 125 | 590 | 4.7 | 2 | 46 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | 125 | 590 | 4.7 | 2 | -- |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | 21 | 129 | 6.1 | 1 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 146 | 719 | 4.9 | 3 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | 17 | 74 | 4.4 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | 1 | 3 | 3.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 2 loaded seasons | 18 | 77 | 4.3 | 0 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 590 | #120/735 | 84th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 2 | #247/739 | 67th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.7 | #343/735 | 53rd pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 17 | #111/552 | 80th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 74 | #217/548 | 61st pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Value | Rushing WEPA | +0.06 | #279/362 | 23rd pct | Opponent-adjusted rushing value | 115 weighted playsvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 16.4% | #145/738 | 80th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 125 | #101/739 | 86th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 46 | #191/733 | 74th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 21 | #218/540 | 60th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 4.4 | #444/548 | 19th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 0 | #169/552 | 70th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 27.3% | #152/738 | 80th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 22.4% | #104/738 | 86th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 20.1% | #123/738 | 83rd pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 13.6% | #221/738 | 70th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 10.3% | #190/738 | 74th pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 9.7% | #218/738 | 71st pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 4.7% | #179/738 | 76th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Ball Security | Fumbles lost | 0 | #1/256 | 100th pct | Turnoversvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION
AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16
Why he’s here
Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.
What moves him up
What moves him down
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 13 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home6g | 43.8 | 4.5 | 0.0 |
| Road7g | 46.7 | 4.9 | 0.3 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins6g | 63.7 | 6.0 | 0.2 |
| Losses7g | 29.7 | 3.6 | 0.1 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-77g | 45.4 | 5.3 | 0.3 |
| Weeks 8+6g | 45.3 | 4.1 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Elite: fumbles lost (86th). Concern: rush tds (25th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
Plays within the scheme — consistent production without a dominant dimension.
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Jermaine Brown Jr.’s 2020 season.
Jermaine Brown Jr.
Jamal Jones
Jocquez Smith
Bill Jackson
Kaegun Williams
Matches Jermaine on
Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Gerrid Doaks’s path through Cincinnati.
Gerrid Doaks
Cyncir Bowers
Chuba Hubbard
Anwar Lewis
Clay Thevenin
Matches Gerrid on
As a junior, his production profile tracks closest to Velton Gardner's junior season at SMU (2022).
Velton Gardner
Jaivian Thomas
Qua Ashley
Alexander Diggs
Charvis Thornton
Matches Velton on
Differs from Velton on
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Tim Beck
Pass share
46.3%
399 pass / 463 run
Plays / game
66.3
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.2%
290 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Run-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2023–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Tim Beck.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned. | ||||
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Coastal Carolina | RB3 | #3045 | #3019 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | RB3 | #2099 | #2243 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Miami, FL |
| 2024 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Miami, FL |
| 2023 | Coastal Carolina | Sun Belt | RB | 3 | No. 5 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Miami, FL |