CFB Zeitgeist Score
12
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 33rd percentile.
Ja'Quez Cross
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
36 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 8 CARRIES
2026 Outlook
Returning to Arkansas State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Returning starter
Running back · Arkansas State
Returning around him
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75
RB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT
CFB Zeitgeist Score
12
Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 33rd percentile.
Heisman Heat
#3680
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP RB AWARD
Doak Walker
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterPart-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
4 seasons on the ladder
2021
Purdue · RB
—
2022
Arkansas State · RB
—
2023
Arkansas State · RB
—
2025
Arkansas State · RB
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · rushing yards
2021–2025Up 33% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2021 | 3-star | 0.8404 | No. 1463 recruit | HighSchool | Purdue |
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Selector Grid · 2025
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Purdue
Composite
0.8404
#1463 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
Fan sentiment ·
Belief Meter
—
Awaiting per-cohort signal
Top Take
“”
Trajectory
Rival Radar
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
Signature Story
He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.
Signature Moment
No signature moment on the ledger yet.
Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.
Scenario Explorer
Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ja'Quez Cross already has 4 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
2025 season snapshot | final
30-second read
Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.
2025 season snapshot | final
Rushing
Receiving
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 1 games
| Wk | Opp | CAR | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 1 | 8 | Season-high 36 yds |
| Total | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 1 | 8 |
Traditional history
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 8 | 36 | 4.5 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 128 | 716 | 5.6 | 7 | -- |
| 2022 | Arkansas State | 24 | 92 | 3.8 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Purdue | 13 | 27 | 2.1 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 173 | 871 | 5.0 | 8 | -- |
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | 5 | 33 | 6.6 | 1 | -- |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | 24 | 161 | 6.7 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Arkansas State | 10 | 56 | 5.6 | 0 | -- |
| 2021 | Purdue | 1 | 6 | 6.0 | 0 | -- |
| Career | 4 loaded seasons | 40 | 256 | 6.4 | 1 | -- |
Advanced metrics second
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.
How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing | Rushing yards | 36 | #560/735 | 24th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rush TD | 1 | #323/739 | 56th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Yards / carry | 4.5 | #383/735 | 48th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receptions | 5 | #315/552 | 43rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 33 | #334/548 | 39th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Role share | 19.4% | #99/738 | 87th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Carries | 8 | #558/739 | 25th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Rushing | Rushing LONG | 8 | #609/733 | 17th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 13 | #347/540 | 36th pct | Metricvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 6.6 | #295/548 | 46th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #60/552 | 89th pct | Scoringvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return avg | 30.0 | #13/199 | 94th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick return yards | 30 | #130/200 | 36th pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Returns | Kick returns | 1 | #139/206 | 33rd pct | Volumevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 29.4% | #44/738 | 94th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Rush share | 24.3% | #194/738 | 74th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 20.7% | #115/738 | 85th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 16.7% | #50/738 | 93rd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS RB |
| Usage | Pass share | 14.3% | #3/738 | 100th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS RB |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 14.3% | #76/738 | 90th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS RB |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.7% | #398/738 | 46th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS RB |
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 1 games
Home vs Road
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Home1g | 36.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 |
Win vs Loss
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wins1g | 36.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 |
First half vs Second half
| YDS/g | YPC | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-71g | 36.0 | 4.5 | 1.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort
Concern: carries (0th).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · RB · 2024
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Butch Jones
Pass share
53.7%
506 pass / 437 run
Plays / game
72.5
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
7.6%
367 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Balanced.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
1 coachPlayed his entire career under Butch Jones.
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM
All-Conf 1st team (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB |
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | AP |
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | AP |
| 2024 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB |
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Arkansas State | RB4 | #3680 | #3899 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | RB4 | #516 | #660 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2022 | Arkansas State | RB4 | #3141 | #3646 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Sun Belt |
| 2021 | Purdue | RB4 | #1460 | #1254 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | Big Ten |
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR |
| 2024 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR |
| 2023 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR |
| 2022 | Arkansas State | Sun Belt | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR |
| 2021 | Purdue | Big Ten | RB | 4 | No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR |