cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Ja'Quez Cross /Arkansas State

Ja'Quez Cross

RB · Arkansas State · Sr · #2

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

36 RUSH YDS · 1 RUSH TD · 8 CARRIES

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Arkansas State for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Arkansas State for 2026

Updated May 27

2026 Depth chart

Returning starter

Running back · Arkansas State

Returning around him

  • 59% of 2024 offensive production back (Solid continuity)
  • Transfer portal: -13 net (24 in / 37 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Arkansas State · Last season: 7-6 · Talent rank #88 · 2026 recruiting class #75

RB · ARKANSAS STATE · SUN BELT

Ja'Quez Cross

  • 4
  • #2
  • 5-9 | 190 lb
  • Hampton, AR

CFB Zeitgeist Score

12

Below cohort in the position cohort. Carried by yards / carry at the 33rd percentile.

Heisman Heat

#3680

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP RB AWARD

Doak Walker

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R05 · Part-time starter

Part-time starter. Splitting first-team reps.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career arc · Season-by-season Standing

4 seasons on the ladder

Peak: R09 All-Conference HM / 2nd team · 2025

2021

Purdue · RB

2022

Arkansas State · RB

2023

Arkansas State · RB

2025

Arkansas State · RB

R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team

Recognized

Development Trajectory · rushing yards

2021–2025
27.02021
92.02022
7162023
36.02025

+33%

Up 33% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#1463 national
CFB
College
2 teams
2021–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionRB
Class4
Jersey2
Measurements5-9 | 190 lb
HometownHampton, AR
Primary teamArkansas State

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 1463 recruit
Composite rating 0.8404 HighSchool
Signed with Purdue 2021
Origin Fordyce Fordyce, AR, USA
Class Profile Context
2021 3-star | 0.8404 No. 1463 recruit | HighSchool | Purdue

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#3680Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#3899Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Purdue

Composite

0.8404

#1463 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Ja'Quez Cross

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

Awaiting per-cohort signal

Sample 0 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmNational: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "The cumulative link to the preseason rankings can be found [here](https://www.re"National
  • National · n=2

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Ja'Quez Cross

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Scenario Explorer

Available for players with a qualifying signature metric (passing yards, rushing yards, receiving yards, sacks, etc.). The slider projects how a season finishes if the current pace holds.

Why the honors trail matters

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Ja'Quez Cross already has 4 loaded recognition items, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.

Current place #3680 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 19.4% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

RB season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Scrimmage yards 69 36 rush | 33 rec | #560/735 (24th pct)
Rush TD 1 8 carries | #323/739 (56th pct)
Yards/carry 4.5 Per-rush efficiency | #383/735 (48th pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Backfield contributor against FBS RB peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Rushing

CAR
8 25th
YDS
36 24th
YPC
4.5 48th
TD
1 56th

Receiving

REC
5 43rd
YDS
33 39th
YPR
6.6 46th
TD
1 89th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 1 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppCARYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1W 42-24vs Southeast Missouri State8364.518Season-high 36 yds
Total8364.518
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2021Purdue8-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Pass-leaning, fast tempo
2022Arkansas State3-9HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
2023Arkansas State6-7HC: Butch Jones · Run-leaning
2025Arkansas State7-6HC: Butch Jones · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State8364.51--
2023Arkansas State1287165.67--
2022Arkansas State24923.80--
2021Purdue13272.10--
Career4 loaded seasons1738715.08--
SeasonTeam
2025Arkansas State5336.61--
2023Arkansas State241616.70--
2022Arkansas State10565.60--
2021Purdue166.00--
Career4 loaded seasons402566.41--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Rushing WEPA

Opponent-adjusted rushing value. It helps separate empty volume from carries that actually move the scoreboard.

Role share

How much of the team's offense flows through this back once rushing work and receiving work are combined.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Receiving work 5 33 rec yds | #315/552 (43rd pct)
Usage 19.4% 24.3% rush share | #99/738 (87th pct)
Rushing WEPA -- Adjusted value feed still loading
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Rushing Rushing yards 36 #560/735 24th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rush TD 1 #323/739 56th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Rushing Yards / carry 4.5 #383/735 48th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receptions 5 #315/552 43rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving yards 33 #334/548 39th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage Role share 19.4% #99/738 87th pct Share of team offensevs FBS RB
Rushing Carries 8 #558/739 25th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Rushing Rushing LONG 8 #609/733 17th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving LONG 13 #347/540 36th pct Metricvs FBS RB
Receiving Yards / catch 6.6 #295/548 46th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Receiving Receiving TD 1 #60/552 89th pct Scoringvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return avg 30.0 #13/199 94th pct Efficiencyvs FBS RB
Returns Kick return yards 30 #130/200 36th pct Volumevs FBS RB
Returns Kick returns 1 #139/206 33rd pct Volumevs FBS RB
Usage 1st-down usage 29.4% #44/738 94th pct Early-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Rush share 24.3% #194/738 74th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Standard-down usage 20.7% #115/738 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS RB
Usage 3rd-down usage 16.7% #50/738 93rd pct Money-down loadvs FBS RB
Usage Pass share 14.3% #3/738 100th pct Air-game usagevs FBS RB
Usage Passing-down usage 14.3% #76/738 90th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS RB
Usage 2nd-down usage 8.7% #398/738 46th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS RB

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

ALL-CONF HM

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16

Why he’s here

All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.

What moves him up

A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.

What moves him down

A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 1 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Home1g36.04.51.0

Win vs Loss

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Wins1g36.04.51.0

First half vs Second half

YDS/gYPCTD/g
Weeks 1-71g36.04.51.0

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the RB cohort

12Below cohort
7 metrics · season cumulative

Concern: carries (0th).

Yards / carry#227 / 349 · 33rd pct
4.5rush
Rec yards#275 / 338 · 19th pct
33rece
Receptions#269 / 338 · 18th pct
5rece
Rush TDs#284 / 349 · 13th pct
1rush
Rush yards#350 / 349 · 0th pct
36rush
Long run#350 / 349 · 0th pct
8rush
Carries#350 / 349 · 0th pct
8rush

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · RB · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 7 metrics
Ja'Quez CrossArkansas StateTae MeadowsTroy· 47% simChavon WrightNorthern Illinois· 46% simJordan BrunsonMiami (OH)· 45% sim
Yards / carry
33
Cross
29
Meadows
33
Wright
41
Brunson
Rec yards
19
Cross
38
Meadows
10
Wright
3
Brunson
Receptions
18
Cross
45
Meadows
32
Wright
2
Brunson
Rush TDs
13
Cross
72
Meadows
62
Wright
50
Brunson
Rush yards
0
Cross
74
Meadows
84
Wright
80
Brunson
Long run
0
Cross
53
Meadows
49
Wright
73
Brunson
Carries
0
Cross
84
Meadows
92
Wright
85
Brunson

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

DNA Match awaiting data — similarity scores compute once season stats clear the volume gate for this position cohort.

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Butch Jones

Pass share

53.7%

506 pass / 437 run

Plays / game

72.5

13 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

7.6%

367 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025

1 coach
2021
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2022
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2023
Butch Jones
Arkansas State
2025
Butch Jones
Arkansas State

Played his entire career under Butch Jones.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownHampton, AR
Height5'9"
Weight190 lb
Class4
PositionRB
Jersey2

Trophy Case · Confirmed honors

What the selectors said

4 entries
🥈

ALL-CONFERENCE · 1ST TEAM

All-Conf 1st team (2025)

All-Sun Belt

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

All-Conference

4 all-conference honors

Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt RB
2025 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt AP
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt AP
2024 All-Sun Belt all_conference Arkansas State | Sun Belt RB

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Arkansas State RB4 #3680 #3899 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Sun Belt
2023 Arkansas State RB4 #516 #660 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | Sun Belt
2022 Arkansas State RB4 #3141 #3646 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Sun Belt
2021 Purdue RB4 #1460 #1254 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | Big Ten

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Arkansas State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR
2024 Arkansas State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR
2023 Arkansas State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR
2022 Arkansas State Sun Belt RB 4 No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR
2021 Purdue Big Ten RB 4 No. 2 | 5-9 | 190 lb | Hampton, AR