CFB Zeitgeist Score
52
Mid-pack in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 74th percentile.
Izayah Cummings
Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.
374 REC YDS · 37 REC · 1 REC TD
2026 Outlook
Returning to App State for 2026
2026 Depth chart
Projected starter
Tight end · App State
Returning around him
- 14% of 2024 offensive production back (Heavy turnover)
- Transfer portal: -3 net (38 in / 41 out)
2026 Award watch
No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)
App State · Last season: 5-8 · Talent rank #79 · 2026 recruiting class #116
TE · APP STATE · SUN BELT
Izayah Cummings
- 4
- #4
- 6-4 | 240 lb
- Louisville, KY
Heisman Heat
#1445
<1% win probability
Fan Belief
Awaiting
Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.
Respect Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
Reality Gap
Awaiting
Coming online with player-level FI.
ACCOLADE PROBABILITY
Heisman
<1%
TOP TE AWARD
Mackey
—
CONSENSUS
All-American
—
Player Standing · 17 rungs
Tier 2 · StarterR07 · Impact starter
Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.
Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex
Career arc · Season-by-season Standing
5 seasons on the ladder
2021
Kentucky · TE
—
2022
Kentucky · TE
—
2023
Kentucky · TE
—
2024
Louisville · TE
—
★
2025
App State · TE
R09 · All-Conference HM / 2nd team
Recognized
Development Trajectory · receiving yards
2021–2025+92%
Up 92% from first season to most-recent.
Career Arc
HS
Recruit
★★★
CFB
College
3 teams
NFL
NFL Draft
—
Identity & Role
The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.
Recruiting Pedigree
How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.
| Class | Profile | Context |
|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 3-star | 0.8719 | No. 647 recruit | HighSchool | Kentucky |
Transfer Arc
Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.
| Season | Move | Context |
|---|---|---|
| No transfer portal moves on file for this player. | ||
Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final
Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.
HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16Heisman Futures
Not yet listed on major futures markets.
Achievements
- Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (374).
Selector Grid · 2025
AP—
FWAA—
AFCA—
WCFF—
SN—
SI—
NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft
Market value, pedigree & pro outcome
Recruit stars
★★★☆☆
to Kentucky
Composite
0.8719
#647 national
Today’s Hot-Take
The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.
Anti-Take
PENDINGThe contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.
The Room on Izayah Cummings
Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal
The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.
Cohort divergence map
Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.
Rival Radar
How rival fanbases talk about Izayah Cummings
No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.
2025 Signature · 2025 season
Receiving yards (total)
374
yds
All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions
National rank #328 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 38th
Why it matters
#328 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving yards — 374 yards on 37 receptions.
Vs cohort
This player 374 (38th)
HIGH · n=37 cohort 531
- Also strong
- Yards per reception#417 / 531
- Receiving TDs#402 / 531
Signature Moment
Week 7 at Georgia State — 94 receiving_yards_total
Result W 41-20
The week the volume broke through — put up 94 yds at Georgia State.
Season Pace · Projection
Where the receiving totals stand
Through 8g
374Rec yards
37Receptions
1Rec TDs
Per game
46.8Rec yards
5Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
607.8Rec yards
60Receptions
2Rec TDs
To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 374): needs 65.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 374): needs 125.2/game over remaining 5.
To hit 60-catch season (currently 37): needs 4.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 80-catch season (currently 37): needs 8.6/game over remaining 5.
To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.4/game over remaining 5.
To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 1): needs 1.8/game over remaining 5.
Why the honors trail matters
The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.
The useful clue on this card is not just the Heisman rank, but the broader honors spine. Izayah Cummings already has 1 loaded recognition item, which helps distinguish a player who is merely productive from one who is already earning selector-level validation.
2025 Season · Final
Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.
Last season
TE season snapshot
2025 season snapshot | final
2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Player identity What kind of player is this?
30-second read
What kind of player is this?
Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.
2025 Season · Final
2025 season snapshot | final
Receiving
REC
37 95th
YDS
374 91st
YPR
10.1 55th
TD
1 71st
Game Log · Week-by-week
2025 season · 8 games
| Wk | Opp | REC | YDS | AVG | TD | LONG | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wk 1 | W 34-11@ Charlotte | 5 | 57 | 11.4 | 0 | 22 | |
| Wk 2 | W 20-13vs Lindenwood | 4 | 33 | 8.3 | 0 | 11 | |
| Wk 3 | L 22-38@ Southern Miss | 7 | 82 | 11.7 | 0 | 30 | |
| Wk 5 | L 14-47@ Boise State | 3 | 20 | 6.7 | 0 | 9 | |
| Wk 6 | W 27-23vs Oregon State | 2 | 10 | 5.0 | 0 | 8 | |
| Wk 7 | W 41-20@ Georgia State | 6 | 94 | 15.7 | 1 | 26 | Season-high 94 yds |
| Wk 8 | L 37-45vs Coastal Carolina | 6 | 60 | 10.0 | 0 | 20 | |
| Wk 9 | L 21-24@ Old Dominion | 4 | 18 | 4.5 | 0 | 11 | |
| Total | 37 | 374 | 9.2 | 1 | 30 |
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score
Traditional history
Traditional Stats
Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.
Season context · Team result + system
2021Kentucky9-3HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning
2022Kentucky7-6HC: Mark Stoops · Run-leaning, slow tempo
2023Kentucky7-6HC: Mark Stoops · Balanced, slow tempo
2024Louisville9-4HC: Jeff Brohm · Balanced
2025App State5-8HC: Dowell Loggains · Pass-leaning
| Season | Team | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | App State | 37 | 374 | 10.1 | 1 | -- |
| 2024 | Louisville | 3 | 33 | 11.0 | 0 | -- |
| 2023 | Kentucky | 4 | 98 | 24.5 | 0 | -- |
| 2022 | Kentucky | -- | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| 2021 | Kentucky | 14 | 195 | 13.9 | 3 | -- |
| Career | 5 loaded seasons | 58 | 700 | 12.1 | 4 | -- |
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context
Advanced metrics second
Advanced Metrics
Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.
The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.
A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.
Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.
The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.
Open full stat explorer
| Group | Metric | Value | Rank | Pct | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving | Receptions | 37 | #23/475 | 95th pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving yards | 374 | #45/475 | 91st pct | Volumevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving TD | 1 | #140/475 | 71st pct | Scoringvs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Yards / catch | 10.1 | #217/475 | 55th pct | Efficiencyvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Pass share | 14.2% | #27/468 | 94th pct | Air-game usagevs FBS TE |
| Receiving | Receiving LONG | 30 | #134/475 | 72nd pct | Metricvs FBS TE |
| Usage | 2nd-down usage | 8.8% | #21/468 | 96th pct | Middle-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Standard-down usage | 7.9% | #13/468 | 97th pct | Base-situation sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | Role share | 7.8% | #19/468 | 96th pct | Share of team offensevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 1st-down usage | 7.6% | #16/468 | 97th pct | Early-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Passing-down usage | 7.6% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Known-passing sharevs FBS TE |
| Usage | 3rd-down usage | 6.8% | #86/468 | 82nd pct | Money-down loadvs FBS TE |
| Usage | Rush share | 0.0% | #58/468 | 88th pct | Ground-game usagevs FBS TE |
Player Standing
Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.
ALL-CONF HM
On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex
ALL-CONF HM · Rung 9 of 16
Why he’s here
All-Conference honorable mention / 2nd team — the recognition has started.
What moves him up
A best-at-position run lifts to 1st team.
What moves him down
A back-end conference finish drops out of the honor list.
Accolade streams
Status—Awaiting tracker
The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.
Splits · Per-game
2025 season · 8 games
Home vs Road
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home3g | 4.0 | 34.3 | 7.8 | 0.0 |
| Road5g | 5.0 | 54.2 | 10.0 | 0.2 |
Win vs Loss
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins4g | 4.2 | 48.5 | 10.1 | 0.2 |
| Losses4g | 5.0 | 45.0 | 8.2 | 0.0 |
First half vs Second half
| REC/g | YDS/g | YPR | TD/g | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Weeks 1-76g | 4.5 | 49.3 | 9.8 | 0.2 |
| Weeks 8+2g | 5.0 | 39.0 | 7.2 | 0.0 |
Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.
Savant · Box-rate percentiles
Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort
52Mid-pack
Elite: receptions (85th). Concern: rec tds (21st).
Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.
Advanced Savant · TE · 2024
Percentile Card
Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.
P4G5All FBS
Advanced Savant
Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.
Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.
Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match
Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile
Izayah CummingsApp StateDan VillariSyracuse· 89% simHouston ThomasUTSA· 89% simJeremiah FranklinBoston College· 87% sim
Receptions
Rec yards
Yards / catch
Long catch
Rec TDs
Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.
Player DNA
The Complete TE
Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.
TE
His 2025 production profile sits closest to Dan Villari’s 2025 season.
Dan Villari
81%match
#2
Christian Sims
All-MAC
74%
#3
Jyrin Johnson
All-MAC
74%
#4
Boden Groen
73%
#5
Eli Stowers
NFL Rd 2 · Pk 22
73%
Matches Dan on
Total EPA (college ability)
Yards / reception
TD rate
Not enough data yet for this comparison.
Supporting Cast · Scheme
Staff and system around the player
Head Coach
Dowell Loggains
Pass share
55.6%
508 pass / 405 run
Plays / game
70.2
13 games
OL sack rate (allowed)
6.7%
389 dropbacks · PBP
Scheme: Pass-leaning.
Coaching Lineage · 2021–2025
2 coaches2021
Shawn Clark
App State
2022
Shawn Clark
App State
2023
Shawn Clark
App State
2024
Shawn Clark
App State
2025era →
Dowell Loggains
App State
Coaching transition mid-career: Shawn Clark → Dowell Loggains. Worth noting in scheme + development context.
Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster
Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.
HometownLouisville, KY
Height6'4"
Weight240 lb
Class4
PositionTE
Jersey4
No fields populated yet.
No fields populated yet.
Current teamApp State
ConferenceSun Belt
Joined2025
Career arc5 season(s)
Trophy Case · Confirmed honors
What the selectors said
🎖
ALL-CONFERENCE
All-Conf mention (2025)
All-Sun Belt
Trophy Case · Detail
Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.
1 all-conference honor
Conference-level recognition helps anchor whether a player is merely statistically loud or actually viewed as elite within his competitive lane.
Honors Timeline
Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.
| Season | Honor | Scope | Team / Selector | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | All-Sun Belt | all_conference | Sun Belt | TE |
Heisman By Year
Modeled rank and official finish by season.
| Season | Team | Role | Latest Model | Forecast | Win | Finalist | Official Finish | Points | Context |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Louisville | TE4 | #1445 | #1598 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W16 snapshot | ACC |
| 2023 | Kentucky | TE4 | #1538 | #1598 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W19 snapshot | SEC |
| 2022 | Kentucky | TE4 | #2859 | #2693 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
| 2021 | Kentucky | TE4 | #783 | #757 | 0.0% | 0.0% | -- | -- | W20 snapshot | SEC |
Roster Timeline
Team, conference, and class by season.
| Season | Team | Conference | Pos | Class | Bio |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | App State | Sun Belt | TE | 4 | No. 4 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Louisville, KY |
| 2024 | Louisville | ACC | TE | 4 | No. 4 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Louisville, KY |
| 2023 | Kentucky | SEC | TE | 4 | No. 4 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Louisville, KY |
| 2022 | Kentucky | SEC | TE | 4 | No. 4 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Louisville, KY |
| 2021 | Kentucky | SEC | TE | 4 | No. 4 | 6-4 | 240 lb | Louisville, KY |