cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Isaiah Horton /Alabama

Isaiah Horton

WR · Alabama · Jr · #1

The Long Memoryas of 2026-06-22

Isaiah Horton arrives at Alabama with a new fit to prove and an old chapter behind him.

511REC YDS42REC8REC TD

Rival fans bring him up unprompted, and rarely to praise him.

low confidence1 source

Minority viewA vocal minority sees it the other way.

Read the story so far

He lines up at WR for Alabama.

On the field, the headline is 511 rec yds, with 42 rec.

Rival fans bring him up unprompted, and rarely to praise him.

Whatever the tape says, the room has already made up its mind.

Why nowHe changed programs heading into 2026 — a fresh fit to prove out.
  • season totals
  • compiled from tagged fan discourse

AI narrative · updated 2026-06-22 · compiled from CFB Zeitgeist data

2026 TRANSFERTransferred Alabama → Texas A&M for 2026

Where He Ended Up · Transfer

Transferred to Texas A&M

2025Alabama
2026Texas A&M

WR · ALABAMA · SEC

Isaiah Horton

  • 3
  • #1
  • 6-4 | 208 lb
  • Nashville, TN

CFB Zeitgeist Score

61

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec tds at the 95th percentile.

Heisman Heat

#200

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP WR AWARD

Biletnikoff

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Development Trajectory · receiving yards

2022–2025
6.02022
1682023
6162024
5112025

+8417%

Up 8417% from first season to most-recent.

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
No recruit profile
CFB
College
2 teams
2022–2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionWR
Class3
Jersey1
Measurements6-4 | 208 lb
HometownNashville, TN
Primary teamAlabama

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree Not on file No matched recruiting profile in the loaded archive
Composite rating -- Composite rating unavailable for this player
Signed with -- Commitment history unavailable
Origin -- Hometown and high school unavailable
Class Profile Context
No recruiting profile is on file for this player.

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 2 Programs changed on file
Latest destination Texas A&M 2026
Transfer stars 4-star CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility Immediate Jan 11, 2026
Season Move Context
2026 Alabama -> Texas A&M 4-star | 0.9600 | Immediate
2025 Miami -> Alabama 4-star | 0.9100 | Immediate

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#200Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#175Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

No achievements unlocked yet this season.

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Isaiah Horton

Fan sentiment ·

Belief Meter

75

Grounded Optimism

Sample 2 mentions
Confidence BELOW-FLOOR

Top Take

Trajectory

Cohort divergence mapbearishbullishheatedcalmOwn fans: 2 mentions · belief +50 · "With spring practice behind the Crimson Tide, the depth chart for 2026 has start"Own fansRivals: 2 mentions · belief +0 · "18 minutes ago al.com Alabama coach Kalen DeBoer reacts to Auburn football’s Iro"RivalsNational: 6 mentions · belief +0 · "What I've heard about Miami transfer receiver Isaiah Horton as of about noon CT,"National
  • Own fans · n=2
  • Rivals · n=2
  • National · n=6

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Isaiah Horton

Only 2 rival mention(s) — below the 4-mention floor for a defensible read.

2025 Signature · 2025 season

Receiving TDs

8

count

All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions

National rank #23 of 531
Percentile vs All FBS WRs, min 20 receptions 96th

Why it matters

#23 of 531 All FBS WRs in receiving TDs — 8 TDs on 42 receptions.

Vs cohort

This player 8 (96th)

HIGH · n=42 cohort 531

  • Also strong
  • Yards per reception#281 / 531
  • Receiving yards (total)#209 / 531

Signature Moment

Week 14 at Auburn — 3 receiving_tds

Result W 27-20

The week the volume broke through — stacked 3 td at Auburn.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

final
Through 14g
511Rec yards
42Receptions
8Rec TDs
Per game
36.5Rec yards
3Receptions
1Rec TDs
Final
511Rec yards
42Receptions
8Rec TDs

✓ Hit 8 receiving TDs · finished with 8.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Isaiah Horton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Alabama, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #200 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 6.0% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 2 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

WR season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 42 8 rec TD | #175/1110 (84th pct)
Receiving yards 511 12.2 per catch | #213/1107 (81st pct)
Scrimmage yards 511 Total offensive yardage | #213/1107 (81st pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Receiving weapon against FBS receiving peers.

Balanced profile

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
42 84th
YDS
511 81st
YPR
12.2 52nd
TD
8 98th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 14 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 17-31@ Florida State166.006
Wk 2W 73-0vs UL Monroe35117.0129
Wk 3W 38-14vs Wisconsin5489.6113
Wk 5W 24-21@ Georgia56513.0124
Wk 6W 30-14vs Vanderbilt46616.5035Season-high 66 yds
Wk 7W 27-24@ Missouri33411.3116
Wk 8W 37-20vs Tennessee122.012
Wk 11W 20-9vs LSU22613.0021
Wk 12L 21-23vs Oklahoma35618.7026
Wk 13W 56-0vs Eastern Illinois22914.5017
Wk 14W 27-20@ Auburn5357.03163 TD catches
Wk 15L 7-28vs Georgia11212.0012
BowlW 34-24@ Oklahoma56513.0037
BowlL 3-38@ Indiana2168.0010
Total4251111.5837
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2022Miami5-7HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2023Miami7-6HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced
2024Miami10-3HC: Mario Cristobal · Balanced, fast tempo
2025Alabama11-4HC: Kalen DeBoer · Balanced
SeasonTeam
2025Alabama4251112.28--
2024Miami5661611.05--
2023Miami1316812.91--
2022Miami166.00--
Career4 loaded seasons1121,30111.614--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The player's share of a team's passing-game involvement. It is the fastest way to see whether the receiver is a true focal point or more of a complementary piece.

Role share

A blended workload view that accounts for catches, designed touches, and any return-game involvement that shapes the overall profile.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 6.0% 11.1% pass-game share | #436/1137 (62nd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 8 Across offense and returns | #23/1111 (98th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 42 #175/1110 84th pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving yards 511 #213/1107 81st pct Volumevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving TD 8 #23/1111 98th pct Scoringvs FBS WR
Receiving Yards / catch 12.2 #532/1106 52nd pct Efficiencyvs FBS WR
Usage Pass share 11.1% #436/1137 62nd pct Air-game usagevs FBS WR
Receiving Receiving LONG 37 #499/1105 55th pct Metricvs FBS WR
Usage Passing-down usage 10.4% #213/1137 81st pct Known-passing sharevs FBS WR
Usage 3rd-down usage 7.9% #378/1137 67th pct Money-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.6% #338/1137 70th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Role share 6.0% #363/1137 68th pct Share of team offensevs FBS WR
Usage 1st-down usage 4.4% #493/1137 57th pct Early-down loadvs FBS WR
Usage Standard-down usage 4.1% #509/1137 55th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS WR
Usage Rush share 0.0% #391/1137 66th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS WR

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

Heisman model tracks the top FBS contenders weekly; this player hasn't entered the watch list yet.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 14 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home8g2.636.212.90.4
Road6g3.536.89.70.8

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins10g3.542.111.70.8
Losses4g1.822.511.20.0

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-78g3.543.911.80.5
Weeks 8+6g2.326.711.20.7

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the WR cohort

61Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: rec tds (94th). Concern: long catch (24th).

Rec TDs#23 / 558 · 95th pct
8rece
Receptions#175 / 558 · 69th pct
42rece
Rec yards#213 / 558 · 62nd pct
511rece
Yards / catch#330 / 558 · 41st pct
12.2rece
Long catch#416 / 558 · 25th pct
37rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · WR · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Isaiah HortonAlabamaGermie BernardAlabama· 80% simAsaad WaseemFlorida Atlantic· 79% simElijah SarrattIndiana· 79% sim
Rec TDs
95
Horton
92
Bernard
78
Waseem
100
Sarratt
Receptions
69
Horton
93
Bernard
96
Waseem
93
Sarratt
Rec yards
62
Horton
91
Bernard
84
Waseem
88
Sarratt
Yards / catch
41
Horton
57
Bernard
21
Waseem
46
Sarratt
Long catch
25
Horton
39
Bernard
42
Waseem
55
Sarratt

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Jump-Ball Target

Wins contested catches at the goal line. Size and catch radius are the weapons.

WR

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Art Green’s 2020 season.

Art Green

70%match

Arkansas State · 2020

#2

Denzel Boston

Washington · 2024

NFL Rd 2 · Pk 7
73%
#3

Denzel Boston

Washington · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 7
72%
#4

Jason Brownlee

Southern Miss · 2020

65%
#5

Dane Key

Kentucky · 2023

67%

Matches Art on

Yards / reception
Reception volume
Class year

Differs from Art on

TD rate (higher)
Weight (higher)

Through 3 college seasons, his career arc tracks closest to Anthony Schwartz’s path through Auburn.

Anthony Schwartz

100%match

Auburn · 2020

NFL Rd 3 · Pk 28
#2

Ma'jon Wright

Arizona · 2020

98%
#3

Matt Sykes

Rice · 2024

98%
#4

Ramaud Chiaokhiao-Bowman

Northwestern · 2020

98%
#5

Tyler Vaughns

USC · 2020

97%

Matches Anthony on

Yards per reception

As a senior, his production profile tracks closest to Denzel Boston's senior season at Washington (2025).

Denzel Boston

78%match

Washington · 2025

All-Big TenNFL Rd 2 · Pk 7
#2

Elijah Arroyo

Miami · 2024

All-ACCNFL Rd 2 · Pk 18
69%
#3

Will Sheppard

Vanderbilt · 2023

69%
#4

Christian Fitzpatrick

Marshall · 2024

68%
#5

Nick Nash

San José State · 2023

Consensus All-American
66%

Matches Denzel on

TD rate
Yards / reception
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Denzel on

Reception volume (lower)
EPA / play (adj) (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Kalen DeBoer

Pass share

53.4%

523 pass / 456 run

Plays / game

65.3

15 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

6.8%

384 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Balanced.

Coaching Lineage · 2022–2025

2 coaches
2022
Nick Saban
Alabama
2023
Nick Saban
Alabama
2024
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama
era →
2025
Kalen DeBoer
Alabama

Coaching transition mid-career: Nick Saban → Kalen DeBoer. Worth noting in scheme + development context.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownNashville, TN
Height6'4"
Weight208 lb
Class3
PositionWR
Jersey1

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Miami WR3 #200 #175 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | ACC
2023 Miami WR3 #1490 #1454 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W19 snapshot | ACC
2022 Miami WR3 #3928 #4155 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W20 snapshot | ACC

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Alabama SEC WR 3 No. 1 | 6-4 | 208 lb | Nashville, TN
2024 Miami ACC WR 3 No. 1 | 6-4 | 208 lb | Nashville, TN
2023 Miami ACC WR 3 No. 1 | 6-4 | 208 lb | Nashville, TN
2022 Miami ACC WR 3 No. 1 | 6-4 | 208 lb | Nashville, TN