cfb zeitgeistZeitgeist
OFFSEASON · SUMMER 2026 · COMMITMENT SEASON
Heisman / Players / Hunter Tipton /Middle Tennessee

Hunter Tipton

TE · Middle Tennessee · Jr · #82

Below the discourse floor — the honest stats-only state.

411 REC YDS · 39 REC · 2 REC TD

2026 RETURNINGReturning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

2026 Outlook

Returning to Middle Tennessee for 2026

2026 Depth chart

Projected starter

Tight end · Middle Tennessee

Returning around him

  • 99% of 2024 offensive production back (Strong continuity)
  • 1 Middle Tennessee player drafted to NFL
  • Transfer portal: +1 net (19 in / 18 out)

2026 Award watch

No preseason watch lists yet (most drop June 15 – July 15)

Middle Tennessee · Last season: 3-9 · Talent rank #110 · 2026 recruiting class #98

TE · MIDDLE TENNESSEE · CONFERENCE USA

Hunter Tipton

  • 3
  • #82
  • 6-4 | 237 lb
  • Timpson, TX

CFB Zeitgeist Score

64

Solid starter in the position cohort. Carried by rec yards at the 81st percentile.

Heisman Heat

#4980

<1% win probability

Fan Belief

Awaiting

Player-specific FI not yet ingested. Falls back to team mood below.

Respect Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

Reality Gap

Awaiting

Coming online with player-level FI.

ACCOLADE PROBABILITY

Heisman

<1%

TOP TE AWARD

Mackey

CONSENSUS

All-American

Player Standing · 17 rungs

Tier 2 · Starter

R07 · Impact starter

Impact starter. Producing measurable value above replacement.

Not on team2-deepStarterRecognizedEliteApex

Career Arc

HS
Recruit
★★★
#103 national
CFB
College
Middle Tennessee
2025
NFL
NFL Draft
Not drafted (yet)

Identity & Role

The durable bio layer: position, size, hometown, and roster role.

PositionTE
Class3
Jersey82
Measurements6-4 | 237 lb
HometownTimpson, TX
Primary teamMiddle Tennessee

Recruiting Pedigree

How big the prospect was before college, and whether the later career arc beat that expectation.

Top pedigree 3-star No. 103 recruit
Composite rating 0.8204 JUCO
Signed with Louisiana Tech 2024
Origin Northeastern Oklahoma A&M Timpson, TX, USA
Class Profile Context
2024 3-star | 0.8204 No. 103 recruit | JUCO | Louisiana Tech

Transfer Arc

Portal movement changes role, context, and perception. This keeps that path in one place.

Portal moves 0 No portal entry on file
Latest destination -- --
Transfer stars -- CFBD transfer rating context
Eligibility -- Transfer date TBD
Season Move Context
No transfer portal moves on file for this player.

Heisman Lens · 2024 Season · Final

Where the player landed at the end of the listed season — final nowcast rank, win/finalist/ballot probabilities, and the cleanest official Heisman placement on file.

HIGH CONFIDENCE· through week 16
Current nowcast#4980Latest modeled ballot order
Season forecast#5493Where the full season sim points
Win probability0.0%Chance to actually win the trophy
Finalist probability0.0%Chance to make the finalist tier
Ballot probability0.0%Chance to appear anywhere on a ballot
Best official finish--Best completed Heisman placement on file

Heisman Futures

Not yet listed on major futures markets.

Achievements

  • Program Benchmark 5.5% Program Benchmark Season leader for the program at the player's position across the headline volume metric (passing yards / rushing yards / receiving yards). Held by 5.5% of the 2025 pool. Team leader in receiving yards (411).

Selector Grid · 2025

AP
FWAA
AFCA
WCFF
SN
SI

Selector recognition fills in once the major honors lists (AP, FWAA, AFCA, Walter Camp, Sporting News, SI) are scraped and ingested.

NIL · Recruiting · NFL Draft

Market value, pedigree & pro outcome

Recruit stars

★★★☆☆

to Louisiana Tech

Composite

0.8204

#103 national

Today’s Hot-Take

The Hot-Take engine fires when this player’s percentile profile crosses a defensible threshold (top 10% in a cohort, 100+ snap sample). When it’s quiet, the model is honoring its “must be defensible” rule.

Anti-Take

PENDING

The contrarian read fires when the rules-engine detects a stat that complicates the Hot-Take. Quiet here means the model hasn’t found a defensible counter yet — not that one doesn’t exist.

The Room on Hunter Tipton

Fan sentiment · Awaiting signal

The Room reads fan conversation around a player — who’s talking, what they believe, and how that shifts. It publishes once weekly volume rebuilds; for most players that’s in-season, when game-week chatter spikes.

Cohort divergence map

Cohort divergence reads how different fanbases talk about this player. Returns once weekly mentions clear the publish floor.

Rival Radar

How rival fanbases talk about Hunter Tipton

No rival-bucket mentions in the current season.

Signature Story

Awaiting candidate metric

He hasn't written his page yet — we'll start filling it in when there are enough snaps to rank against his peers.

Signature Moment

No signature moment on the ledger yet.

Returns once this player puts together a multi-game body of work — single-game flashes alone don't clear the bar.

A 3-act season arc returns once this player has six or more games on the ledger.

Season Pace · Projection

Where the receiving totals stand

projecting to 13-game
Through 12g
411Rec yards
39Receptions
2Rec TDs
Per game
34.2Rec yards
3Receptions
0Rec TDs
Projected (13g)
445.2Rec yards
42Receptions
2Rec TDs

To hit 700-yard receiver (currently 411): needs 289/game over remaining 1.

To hit 1,000-yard receiver (currently 411): needs 589/game over remaining 1.

To hit 60-catch season (currently 39): needs 21/game over remaining 1.

To hit 80-catch season (currently 39): needs 41/game over remaining 1.

To hit 8 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 6/game over remaining 1.

To hit 10 receiving TDs (currently 2): needs 8/game over remaining 1.

What made this player interesting

The fast read on the thing that makes this player more than a generic stat line.

Hunter Tipton's story is about how role and output meet each other. For Middle Tennessee, the card already shows enough current-season production to explain why he is on the serious-player board, and the next layer is determining whether the profile is just very good or actually distinctive.

Current place #4980 0.0% win | 0.0% finalist
Role load 5.3% Overall usage share
Profile quirk Transfer path 0 portal moves

2025 Season · Final

Traditional stats first. Advanced context underneath.

Last season

TE season snapshot

2025 season snapshot | final

2025 season snapshot | finalData: CFBD player stats + local Heisman modelPeer context: same position + same level
Receptions 39 2 rec TD | #17/475 (97th pct)
Receiving yards 411 10.5 per catch | #34/475 (93rd pct)
Scrimmage yards 411 Total offensive yardage | #34/475 (93rd pct)
Player identity What kind of player is this?

30-second read

What kind of player is this?

Target magnet against FBS receiving peers.

Target magnet

2025 Season · Final

2025 season snapshot | final

Receiving

REC
39 97th
YDS
411 93rd
YPR
10.5 59th
TD
2 84th

Game Log · Week-by-week

2025 season · 12 games

Box score · CFBD
WkOppRECYDSAVGTDLONGNote
Wk 1L 14-34vs Austin Peay166.006
Wk 2L 10-42@ Wisconsin3227.3112
Wk 3W 14-13@ Nevada22010.0014
Wk 4L 28-42vs Marshall11212.0012
Wk 5L 16-24@ Kennesaw State34515.0021
Wk 7L 20-22vs Missouri State7547.7012
Wk 9L 28-31@ Delaware55611.2117
Wk 10L 21-24vs Jacksonville State55611.2028
Wk 11L 30-56vs Florida International22412.0018
Wk 12L 26-42@ Western Kentucky46817.0037Season-high 68 yds
Wk 13W 31-17vs Sam Houston2157.5011
Wk 14W 31-24@ New Mexico State4338.3020
Total3941110.4237
Season-by-season tables Career rows + per-season box score

Traditional history

Traditional Stats

Season rows up top, career context at the bottom.

Season rows Career row

Season context · Team result + system

2025Middle Tennessee3-9HC: Derek Mason · Pass-leaning
SeasonTeam
2025Middle Tennessee3941110.52--
Career1 loaded season3941110.52--
Advanced layer Usage, value, and context

Advanced metrics second

Advanced Metrics

Usage, value, and opponent-adjusted context.

Usage Value Context
Pass share

The tight end's share of the passing offense, which helps distinguish a featured receiving tight end from a secondary option.

Role share

A blended usage view that shows how often the offense flows through the tight end compared with other same-level peers.

Peer percentile

Every percentile is compared against players at the same position and level, so an FBS quarterback is judged against FBS quarterbacks, not the whole sport.

Traditional first

The top tables stick to the stats fans already know from broadcasts and box scores. Advanced context is pushed underneath instead of replacing the basics.

Usage 5.3% 8.4% pass-game share | #128/468 (73rd pct)
Return yards 0 0 return TD
Touchdowns 2 Across offense and returns | #79/475 (84th pct)
Open full stat explorer
0 metrics visible Showing all metrics
Group Metric Value Rank Pct Why it matters
Receiving Receptions 39 #17/475 97th pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving yards 411 #34/475 93rd pct Volumevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving TD 2 #79/475 84th pct Scoringvs FBS TE
Receiving Yards / catch 10.5 #196/475 59th pct Efficiencyvs FBS TE
Usage Pass share 8.4% #128/468 73rd pct Air-game usagevs FBS TE
Receiving Receiving LONG 37 #85/475 82nd pct Metricvs FBS TE
Usage 2nd-down usage 6.3% #58/468 88th pct Middle-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Passing-down usage 5.9% #106/468 78th pct Known-passing sharevs FBS TE
Usage 1st-down usage 5.3% #67/468 86th pct Early-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Role share 5.3% #71/468 85th pct Share of team offensevs FBS TE
Usage Standard-down usage 5.0% #69/468 85th pct Base-situation sharevs FBS TE
Usage 3rd-down usage 3.9% #191/468 59th pct Money-down loadvs FBS TE
Usage Rush share 0.0% #58/468 88th pct Ground-game usagevs FBS TE

Player Standing

Universal 17-step ladder. Tier pills below; accolade streams nested.

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION

On-team2-deepStartingRecognizedEliteApex

AWAITING CLASSIFICATION · Rung None of 16

Why he’s here

Standing classification populates when honors, Heisman, and roster signals all align.

What moves him up

What moves him down

Accolade streams

StatusAwaiting tracker

The Mackey award tracker integrates per-week probability once a dedicated scraper for this award lands. Confirmed past winners and finalists for this player will surface here.

Splits · Per-game

2025 season · 12 games

Home/Road · Win/Loss · Season halves

Home vs Road

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Home6g3.027.89.40.0
Road6g3.540.711.50.3

Win vs Loss

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Wins3g2.722.78.60.0
Losses9g3.438.111.00.2

First half vs Second half

REC/gYDS/gYPRTD/g
Weeks 1-76g2.826.59.70.2
Weeks 8+6g3.742.011.20.2

Pocket and defense-quality (clean vs. pressure) splits are coming soon.

Savant · Box-rate percentiles

Where this profile ranks vs the TE cohort

64Solid starter
5 metrics · season cumulative

Elite: receptions (90th). Strength: rec yards (80th).

Receptions#17 / 175 · 90th pct
39rece
Rec yards#34 / 175 · 81st pct
411rece
Long catch#73 / 175 · 58th pct
37rece
Yards / catch#92 / 175 · 47th pct
10.5rece
Rec TDs#76 / 175 · 43rd pct
2rece

Percentiles versus same-position peers with enough snaps this season, based on box-score rates.

Advanced Savant · TE · 2024

Percentile Card

Advanced opponent-adjusted percentile bars are coming soon for this player.

P4G5All FBS
EPA / dropback
awaiting
CPOE
awaiting
Success rate
awaiting
Explosive rate (20+)
awaiting
aDOT
awaiting
Deep-ball accuracy
awaiting
Pressure-to-sack
awaiting
3rd-down EPA
awaiting
Red-zone TD rate
awaiting
Play-action EPA
awaiting
Scramble EPA
awaiting
Turnover-worthy play rate
awaiting

Advanced Savant

Opponent-adjusted advanced metrics with a cohort filter.

Advanced opponent-adjusted metrics are coming soon for this player. Selected cohort: P4.

Peer Comparator · Fingerprint match

Three closest profiles by box-rate percentile

3 peers · 5 metrics
Hunter TiptonMiddle TennesseeMax KlareOhio State· 97% simJett CarpenterNevada· 92% simJeremiah FranklinBoston College· 91% sim
Receptions
90
Tipton
93
Klare
80
Carpenter
95
Franklin
Rec yards
81
Tipton
86
Klare
74
Carpenter
90
Franklin
Long catch
58
Tipton
61
Klare
71
Carpenter
42
Franklin
Yards / catch
47
Tipton
45
Klare
51
Carpenter
42
Franklin
Rec TDs
43
Tipton
43
Klare
43
Carpenter
43
Franklin

Closest peers by overall box-score percentile profile at the same position.

Player DNA

The Complete TE

Dual-threat: blocks when needed, catches when needed. Coveted on both sides.

TE

His 2025 production profile sits closest to Boden Groen’s 2023 season.

Boden Groen

81%match

Rice · 2023

#2

Jack Endries

California · 2023

NFL Rd 7
80%
#3

Christian Sims

Bowling Green · 2022

All-MAC
79%
#4

Jyrin Johnson

Bowling Green · 2025

All-MAC
78%
#5

Camm McDonald

Florida State · 2021

77%

Matches Boden on

Height
TD rate
Total EPA (college ability)

Differs from Boden on

Class year (lower)

Not enough data yet for this comparison.

As a sophomore, his production profile tracks closest to Josiah Miamen's sophomore season at Florida International (2022).

Josiah Miamen

79%match

Florida International · 2022

#2

Camm McDonald

Florida State · 2021

79%
#3

Cade Otton

Washington · 2021

NFL Rd 4
78%
#4

Christian Sims

Bowling Green · 2021

All-MAC
78%
#5

Jake Tonges

California · 2021

77%

Matches Josiah on

Weight
Yards / reception

Differs from Josiah on

Class year (lower)
Recruiting rating (lower)
Reception volume (higher)

Supporting Cast · Scheme

Staff and system around the player

2025 season

Head Coach

Derek Mason

Pass share

61.3%

495 pass / 313 run

Plays / game

67.3

12 games

OL sack rate (allowed)

8.6%

373 dropbacks · PBP

Scheme: Pass-leaning.

Coaching Lineage · 2025

1 coach
2025
Derek Mason
Middle Tennessee

Played his entire career under Derek Mason.

Bio · Recruiting · Transfer · Roster

Off-field context — switch tabs to drill into recruit profile, transfer arc, or roster timeline.

HometownTimpson, TX
Height6'4"
Weight237 lb
Class3
PositionTE
Jersey82

Trophy Case · Detail

Every honor on the ledger, broken out by stream and selector.

Honors

No formal honors on the ledger yet

All-America, all-conference, player-of-the-week, watch-list, and postseason awards land here when they're earned. The absence is the signal: most players never collect formal honors, and that's its own kind of context.

Honors Timeline

Season-end distinction and week-by-week recognition on one timeline.

Season Honor Scope Team / Selector Context
No formal honors on the ledger yet. All-America, all-conference, weekly awards, watch lists, and postseason trophies land here when they’re earned.

Heisman By Year

Modeled rank and official finish by season.

Season Team Role Latest Model Forecast Win Finalist Official Finish Points Context
2024 Louisiana Tech TE3 #4980 #5493 0.0% 0.0% -- -- W16 snapshot | Conference USA

Roster Timeline

Team, conference, and class by season.

Season Team Conference Pos Class Bio
2025 Middle Tennessee Conference USA TE 3 No. 82 | 6-4 | 237 lb | Timpson, TX
2024 Louisiana Tech Conference USA TE 3 No. 82 | 6-4 | 237 lb | Timpson, TX